Florida at Kentucky Expert College Football Picks 9/14/2019

Saturday, September 14, 2019

Kroger Field

Sawyer Smith and the Kentucky Wildcats host the Florida Gators at Kroger Field on Saturday, September 14, 2019. Florida opens this contest as 7-point favorites. The over/under is set at 50. The Gators are 1-1-0 ATS and 0-2-0 when betting on the total. The Wildcats are 2-0-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-0-0 against the spread.

Key Florida Gators Injuries

09/09/19 CB C.J. Henderson Lower Body left last game, is questionable Saturday vs Kentucky

Key Kentucky Wildcats Injuries

09/09/19 QB Sawyer Smith None has been named the starter Saturday vs Florida
09/08/19 QB Terry Wilson Knee is out for season
08/30/19 S Davonte Robinson Quad is out for season
08/07/19 WR Isaiah Epps Foot is out indefinitely

In their last game, the Florida Gators played the Tennessee Martin Skyhawks and left there with a win by a score of 45-0. Lamical Perine led the team on the ground for that game. He tore off a long run of 12 yards and he ran for 1 TD in the game. He ran for 51 yards by way of 10 carries which had him averaging 5.1 yards per tote. Van Jefferson was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 94 yards on 4 catches. He notched an average of 23.5 yards per reception for that game. Running the show from under center for the Gators was Feleipe Franks who went 25/27 with 270 yards through the air and tossed 2 TD's. He finished the game without throwing an interception. The Florida Gators ran the ball 38 times and earned a total of 231 yards giving them an average of 6.1 yards per carry. Overall, they totaled 74 plays which added up to 543 yards. For the contest, the Gators racked up a total of 26 1st downs and they totaled 3 penalties for 30 yards which is telling in terms of how disciplined they are. On the defensive side of the ball, Florida allowed 15 catches on 23 attempts for a total of 140 yards, and a completion percentage of 65.2%. For the game, they allowed 194 yards and earned 1 turnover. In the running game, the Gators allowed 54 yards on 27 runs which means they allowed 2.0 yards per attempt allowed.

The Gators step onto the field holding a record of 2-0 for this year. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 34.5 points per contest, putting them 53rd in D-1. As a team, they are averaging 141.5 rushing yards per game which is 11th in the Southeastern Conference. For total yardage, they rank 8th in the SEC and 54th in D-1 with 849 yards. The Gators have one of the best defenses in Division 1, allowing 10 points per game ranking them 2nd in the conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Gators have conceded 566 yards. Opponents are completing 64.2% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.7 yards per try. In discussing rushing yards, Florida is allowing 74 yards per contest ranking them 3rd in the conference and 17th in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.3 yards per rush putting them 1st in the SEC and 18th in D-1 overall. In total, they have conceded 148 yards rushing through 2 games.

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In the last game they played, the Kentucky Wildcats played the Eastern Michigan Eagles and added a win to their record by a score of 38-17. Leading the way at QB for the Wildcats was Terry Wilson who went 14/26 with 114 yards through the air but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He walked away with no picks. Kavosiey Smoke led the team in rushing for that game. He had a long run of 32 yards and he added 1 TD in the game. He rushed for 92 yards on 11 carries which had him averaging 8.4 yards per run. Ahmad Wagner was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 71 yards on 3 catches. He averaged 23.7 yards per reception for that game. The Kentucky Wildcats rushed the ball a total of 39 times and generated 239 yards earning them an average of 6.1 yards per rush. In the game, the Wildcats earned 26 1st downs and they had 7 penalties for 84 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. Overall, they ran 75 plays which gave them a total of 461 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Kentucky allowed 34 completions on 53 throws for a total of 337 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.2%. For this contest, they allowed 386 yards and earned 2 turnovers. On the ground, the Wildcats allowed 49 yards on 22 runs giving the other team an average of 2.2 yards per carry allowed.

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The Wildcats step onto the field holding a record of 2-0. Kentucky is making teams fear their ground game this season by averaging 207.5 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 40th in college football. As a team, they have a total of 415 yards rushing through 2 contests, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Wildcats average 441.5 yards per contest overall which has them at 55th in Division 1 and 6th in the conference. The Wildcats are allowing 20.5 points per contest which puts them at 8th in the conference and 49th in Division 1. In regard to points given up, they have given up 41 total points. In regard to yards rushing, they are giving up 115 yards per game which puts them at 48th in D-1 and 7th in the conference. In 2019, they have conceded a total of 230 yards on the ground and 3 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre groups in Division 1. They are conceding 251.5 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Wildcats sit in 13th in the SEC.

Who will win tonight's Gators/Wildcats NCAA football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Wildcats +7

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