Duke vs Wake Forest NCAA Football Picks Against the Spread 11/23/2019

Game: Duke Blue Devils vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Date: Saturday, November 23, 2019

Week 13

Location: BB&T Field in Winston-Salem, NC

TV: ACC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Wake Forest -6.5

Total/Over-Under: 54.5

Jamie Newman and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons host the Duke Blue Devils at BB&T Field on Saturday, November 23, 2019. The spread on this game has Wake Forest as 6.5-point favorites. The Blue Devils are 4-6-0 ATS and 7-3-0 when betting on the total. The Demon Deacons are 3-7-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-5-1 against the spread.

In their last game, the Duke Blue Devils played the Syracuse Orange and ended up taking the loss by a score of 49-6. Running the show from under center for the Blue Devils was Quentin Harris who went 19/36 with 157 yards through the air but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He gave away 2 picks on the day. Mataeo Durant paced the team in rushing in the game. He tore off a long run of 12 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for 54 yards via 11 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.9 yards per tote. Aaron Young was the receiving yardage leader by earning 63 yards on 5 catches. He had an average of 12.6 yards per reception in the game. The Blue Devils ran the ball 45 times and racked up 122 yards giving them an average of 2.7 yards per attempt. In all, they ran 85 plays for 279 yards. For the contest, the Blue Devils racked up a total of 19 1st downs and they had 4 penalties for 20 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. When it comes to their defensive performance, Duke gave up 7 completions on 16 attempts totaling 109 yards, and a completion percentage of 43.8%. On the ground, the Blue Devils gave up 286 yards on 43 attempts which is an average of 6.7 yards per carry allowed. For the game, they gave up 395 yards but didn't add to their total of forced turnovers.

The Blue Devils come into this matchup with a record of 4-6 for the 2019 season. For total yards, they currently sit at 13th in the conference and 111th in the nation with 3,379 yards. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country averaging 24.9 points per contest, putting them 92nd in the nation. As a team, they have an average of 154.6 rushing yards per contest which is 7th in the ACC. The Blue Devils have one of the middle tier defenses in Division 1, giving up 29.4 points per game which has them at 11th in the Atlantic Coast Conference. In regard to rushing yards, Duke is allowing 173.5 yards per game which has them at 10th in the Atlantic Coast Conference and 83rd in D-1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.4 yards per carry which has them at 10th in the Atlantic Coast Conference and 76th in D-1 overall. In total, they have allowed 1,735 yards rushing through 10 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Blue Devils have allowed 1,833 yards. Teams are completing 53.9% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.6 yards per attempt.

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The last time they took the field, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons took on the Clemson Tigers and were beaten 52-3. Kendrell Flowers led the team in rushing for that game. He broke a long run for 7 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He racked up a total of 27 yards by way of 9 carries which gave him an average of 3.0 yards per carry. Kendall Hinton led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 17 yards on 2 receptions. He earned an average of 8.5 yards per reception for that game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Demon Deacons was Jamie Newman who went 6/14 with 41 yards through the air but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He tossed 2 picks during the game. The Demon Deacons ran the ball a total of 37 times and totaled 64 yards giving them an average of 1.7 yards per attempt. Overall, the Demon Deacons racked up 5 1st downs and they totaled 3 infractions for 25 yards which tells us that we had a very focused team on our hands. For the game, they finished with a total of 51 plays for a total of 105 yards. In terms of defense, Wake Forest gave up 26 completions on 35 tries totaling 348 yards, and a completion percentage of 74.3%. On the day, they gave up 516 yards and earned 1 takeaway. In the running game, the Demon Deacons gave up 168 yards on 38 attempts which gave them an average of 4.4 yards per run allowed.

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The Demon Deacons come into this game with a record of 7-3. In discussing the offensive production, the Demon Deacons have one of the most prolific offenses in the country. Wake Forest is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 162.3 rushing yards per contest, which has them at 67th in the nation. As a team, they have a total of 1,623 rushing yards through 10 games, so they will want to continue to try to improve on the run game so opponents will have to respect all facets of the game. The Demon Deacons average 449.1 yards per game overall ranking them 30th in the nation and 3rd in the conference. The Demon Deacons are conceding 28.5 points per game ranking them 9th in the ACC and 73rd in the nation. When talking about points given up, they have given up 285 points in total. In discussing yards on the ground, they are conceding 164.4 yards per game ranking them 72nd in the nation and 9th in the ACC. For the 2019 season, they have allowed 1,644 yards rushing and 14 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the middling groups in D-1. They are conceding 254.2 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Demon Deacons are currently ranked 11th in the conference.

Who will win tonight's Blue Devils/Demon Deacons college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Demon Deacons -6.5

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