Colorado at Arizona State NCAA Football Picks Against the Spread 9/21/2019

Saturday, September 21, 2019

Sun Devil Stadium

Sun Devil Stadium is the venue where Jayden Daniels and the Arizona State Sun Devils will take on the Colorado Buffaloes on Saturday. The odds on this contest have Arizona State as 7-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 53. The Buffaloes are 2-1-0 ATS and 2-1-0 when betting on the total. The Sun Devils are 0-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-2-0 against the spread.

Key Colorado Buffaloes Injuries

09/15/19 LB Carson Wells Concussion is questionable Saturday vs Arizona State
08/06/19 OL Jacob Moretti Knee is out for season

Key Arizona State Sun Devils Injuries

09/15/19 PK Brandon Ruiz Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Colorado

The last time they played, the Colorado Buffaloes faced the Air Force Falcons and took the loss by a score of 30-23. Jaren Mangham led the team on the ground during the game. He tore off a long run of 19 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for a total of 56 yards by way of 10 carries which gave him an average of 5.6 yards per run. Laviska Shenault Jr. was the receiving yardage leader by earning 124 yards on 8 catches. He notched an average of 15.5 yards per catch during the game. Running the show from under center for the Buffaloes was Steven Montez who went 26/43 with 220 yards passing and threw 2 TD's. He walked away with 1 pick in the game. The Colorado Buffaloes rushed the ball a total of 32 times and earned 105 yards which earned them an average of 3.3 yards per rush. For the contest, the Buffaloes earned 19 1st downs and they had a total of 6 penalties for 35 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. For the game, they ran 75 plays which added up to 325 yards. When discussing the defense, Colorado gave up 7 catches on 12 throws for a total of 155 yards, and a completion percentage of 58.3%. Overall, they conceded a total of 444 yards and earned 3 takeaways. On the ground, the Buffaloes gave up 289 yards on 52 attempts which gave them an average of 5.6 yards per carry allowed.

The Buffaloes head into this game 2-1 for this year. For total yardage, they sit in 6th in the Pac-12 and 47th in D-1 with 1,264 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 36.3 points per contest, putting them 40th in D-1. As a unit, they have an average of 145.7 rushing yards per contest which is 7th in the conference. The Buffaloes have one of the worst defenses in the nation, allowing 30.7 points per game putting them 9th in the Pac-12. In discussing yards on the ground, Colorado is giving up 199.7 yards per contest ranking them 11th in the conference and 114th in college football. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.6 yards per carry ranking them 11th in the Pac-12 and 96th in the nation overall. In total, they have allowed 599 yards rushing through 3 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Buffaloes have allowed 827 yards. Teams are completing 63.5% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 9.6 yards per try.

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In the last game they played, the Arizona State Sun Devils went up against the Michigan State Spartans and ended up getting the victory by a score of 10-7. Eno Benjamin paced the team in rushing in the game. His longest run of the day went for 16 yards and he ran for 1 TD for the game. He ran for 38 yards by way of 11 carries which meant he was running for 3.5 yards per run. Brandon Aiyuk led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 64 yards on 5 receptions. He notched an average of 12.8 yards per reception in the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Sun Devils was Jayden Daniels who went 15/26 with 140 yards through the air but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. The Arizona State Sun Devils ended up rushing 26 times and totaled 76 yards which gave them an average of 2.9 yards per attempt. In all, they finished with a total of 52 plays which added up to 216 yards. In the game, the Sun Devils racked up 14 1st downs and they had a total of 7 penalties for 62 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. On the defensive side of the ball, Arizona State gave up 24 completions on 39 tries totaling 291 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.5%. For this contest, they conceded 404 yards and forced 1 takeaway. In the running game, the Sun Devils gave up 113 yards on 35 tries allowing their opponent an average of 3.2 yards per attempt allowed.

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The Sun Devils come into this matchup with a record of 3-0. Arizona State is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 112.7 yards on the ground per game, ranking them 108th in the country. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 338 yards rushing through 3 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Sun Devils average 355.3 yards per contest overall ranking them 95th in D-1 and 8th in the Pac-12. The Sun Devils are giving up 7 points per contest which puts them at 1st in the Pac-12 Conference and 2nd in the nation. In discussing points given up, they have allowed 21 total points. In discussing rushing yards, they are allowing 91.7 yards per contest which puts them at 32nd in the nation and 3rd in the Pac-12 Conference. For 2019, they have conceded 275 rushing yards and 0.9 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the middling groups in Division 1. They are giving up 211.3 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Sun Devils are currently ranked 6th in the Pac-12.

Who will win tonight's Buffaloes/Sun Devils college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Sun Devils -7

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