Colorado State vs New Mexico Picks Against the Spread

Friday, October 11, 2019

Dreamstyle Stadium

Dreamstyle Stadium is the site where Tevaka Tuioti and the New Mexico Lobos will take on the Colorado State Rams on Friday. New Mexico opens this contest as 4.5-point underdogs. The Rams are 3-3-0 ATS and 3-3-0 when betting on the total. The Lobos are 3-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-3-0 against the spread.

Key Colorado State Rams Injuries

10/06/19 WR Warren Jackson Concussion is questionable Friday vs New Mexico
09/18/19 QB Collin Hill ACL is out for season
08/23/19 DB Braylin Scott Eligibility is out indefinitely

Key New Mexico Lobos Injuries

09/25/19 WR Elijah Lilly Shoulder is out for season
09/18/19 QB Brandt Hughes Shoulder is out for season
09/10/19 DL Aaron Blackwell ACL is out for season

The last time they played, the Colorado State Rams played the San Diego State Aztecs and ended up taking the loss by a score of 24-10. Running the show from under center for the Rams was Patrick O'Brien who went 19/30 with 217 yards passing and tossed 1 TD. He threw 1 pick during the game. Marcus McElroy led the team in rushing for that game. He had a long run of 11 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He rushed for 33 yards by way of 11 carries which means he ran for an average of 3.0 yards per run. Dante Wright was the receiving yardage leader by earning 80 yards on 6 catches. He had an average of 13.3 yards per reception for that game. The Rams ran the ball a total of 25 times and added 18 yards which gave them an average of 0.7 yards per carry. For the game, they ran 57 plays for a total of 235 yards. In the game, the Rams got 13 1st downs and they totaled 5 penalties for 33 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. When it comes to their defensive performance, Colorado State gave up 16 catches on 20 throws totaling 147 yards, and a completion percentage of 80.0%. For the game, they gave up 238 yards but didn't force any takeaways. Against the run, the Rams gave up 91 yards on 43 runs allowing their opponent an average of 2.1 yards per attempt allowed.

The Rams step onto the field holding a record of 1-5 this year. For total yards, they sit in 1st in the MWC and 10th in Division 1 with 2,740 yards. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country averaging 28.7 points per game, putting them 71st in Division 1. As a team, they are averaging 154.3 rushing yards per game which is 8th in the Mountain West. The Rams have one of the worst defenses in college football, giving up 36.5 points per contest putting them 9th in the conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Rams have conceded 1,814 yards. Opponents are completing 58.8% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 7.2 yards per try. In regard to yards on the ground, Colorado State is allowing 215.2 yards per contest ranking them 10th in the Mountain West and 115th in Division 1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.2 yards per carry ranking them 10th in the conference and 116th in the country overall. In total, they have conceded 1,291 yards rushing through 6 games.

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In their last game, the New Mexico Lobos took on the San Jose State Spartans and lost 32-21. Sheriron Jones led the team on the ground for that contest. His longest run of the day went for 35 yards and he added 1 touchdown for the game. He rushed for 104 yards on 11 carries which means he ran for an average of 9.5 yards per run. Jordan Kress was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 46 yards on 2 receptions. He averaged 23.0 yards per catch for that contest. Leading the way at QB for the Lobos was Sheriron Jones who went 7/16 with 127 yards through the air and added 2 touchdowns. He walked away with 3 interceptions in the game. The Lobos ran the football 41 times and earned a total of 238 yards which gave them an average of 5.8 yards per attempt. For the game, the Lobos totaled 19 1st downs and they had a total of 9 infractions for 95 yards which shows us how undisciplined this team can be. Overall, they ran 67 plays for a total of 399 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, New Mexico conceded 26 completions on 39 attempts totaling 412 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. On the day, they gave up 464 yards and forced 1 takeaway. In the running game, the Lobos conceded 52 yards on 34 attempts which means they allowed 1.5 yards per run allowed.

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The Lobos come into this game with a record of 2-3. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Lobos have one of the middle tier offenses in the country. New Mexico is making teams fear their ground game this season by averaging 212.4 yards on the ground per contest, putting them 33rd in the nation. As a unit, they have a total of 1,062 rushing yards through 5 contests, and if they want to continue their dominance, they'll want to keep running the ball. The Lobos average 441.6 yards per contest overall putting them 45th in the nation and 5th in the Mountain West. The Lobos are giving up 39.6 points per game which puts them at 12th in the MWC and 126th in the nation. In regard to points allowed, they have allowed 198 points in total. In terms of rushing yards, they are allowing 127.8 yards per contest ranking them 46th in D-1 and 6th in the Mountain West. In 2019, they have given up a total of 639 yards rushing and 9 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the most anemic units in D-1. They are conceding 386 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Lobos are currently ranked 12th in the Mountain West.

Who will win tonight's Rams/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rams -4.5

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