Cincinnati vs East Carolina NCAA Football Pick and Parlay 11/2/2019

Saturday, November 2, 2019

Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

Desmond Ridder and the Cincinnati Bearcats are headed to Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the East Carolina Pirates. The odds on this matchup have Cincinnati as 21-point favorites. The Bearcats are 5-2-0 ATS and 2-5-0 when betting on the total. The Pirates are 2-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-4-0 against the spread.

In their last outing, the Cincinnati Bearcats played the Tulsa Golden Hurricane and earned the victory by a score of 24-13. Leading the way at QB for the Bearcats was Desmond Ridder who went 12/22 with 172 yards through the air and threw 1 touchdown. He ended the game with no interceptions. Gerrid Doaks paced the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 27 yards and he added 2 touchdowns for the game. He ran for 91 yards by way of 17 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.4 yards per run. Alec Pierce was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 63 yards on 3 catches. He averaged 21.0 yards per catch for the game. The Bearcats rushed the ball a total of 41 times and racked up 145 yards which earned them an average of 3.5 yards per rushing attempt. On the day, they ran 63 plays for a total of 317 yards. On the day, the Bearcats had a total of 18 first downs and they had 9 penalties for 73 yards telling us that this team was extremely undisciplined. In terms of defense, Cincinnati allowed 21 completions on 43 attempts for a total of 243 yards, and a completion percentage of 48.8%. Against the run, the Bearcats allowed 134 yards on 43 attempts which gave them an average of 3.1 yards per attempt allowed. Overall, they allowed 377 yards and forced 5 takeaways.

The Bearcats step onto the field holding a record of 6-1 for the 2019 season. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation averaging 28.6 points per game, ranking them 71st in the country. As a unit, they have an average of 173.4 rushing yards per game which is 8th in the American Athletic Conference. For total yardage, they currently sit at 12th in the AAC and 109th in the country with 2,687 yards. The Bearcats have one of the top tier defenses in D-1, giving up 20.4 points per game putting them 2nd in the conference. In terms of rushing yards, Cincinnati is giving up 138.7 yards per game putting them 4th in the AAC and 44th in D-1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.6 yards per carry which has them at 4th in the American Athletic Conference and 32nd in the country overall. Overall, they have allowed 971 yards rushing through 7 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Bearcats have allowed 1,473 yards. Opponents are completing 48.6% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.6 yards per try.

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In their last game, the East Carolina Pirates played the USF Bulls and lost 45-20. Running the show from under center for the Pirates was Holton Ahlers who went 18/28 with 217 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He tossed 1 interception on the day. Demetrius Mauney led the team in rushing for that contest. He broke a long run for 18 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He rushed for a total of 50 yards by way of 13 carries which meant he was running for 3.8 yards per tote. C.J. Johnson was the receiving yardage leader by earning 85 yards on 5 catches. He notched an average of 17.0 yards per reception for that contest. The Pirates ended up running the ball 38 times and earned 102 yards giving them an average of 2.7 yards per rush. For the contest, the Pirates racked up a total of 22 first downs and they had a total of 5 penalties for 65 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. In the game, they finished with a total of 67 plays which gave them a total of 324 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, East Carolina conceded 16 completions on 25 attempts for a total of 178 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.0%. For this contest, they allowed 525 yards and forced 1 takeaway. On the ground, the Pirates conceded 347 yards on 40 carries which gave them an average of 8.7 yards per attempt allowed.

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The Pirates head into this matchup 3-5. East Carolina needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 154.6 yards on the ground per game, ranking them 80th in D-1. As a team, they have a total of 1,237 rushing yards through 8 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Pirates average 373.5 yards per contest overall putting them 91st in Division 1 and 10th in the AAC. The Pirates are conceding 28.3 points per contest ranking them 8th in the conference and 72nd in D-1. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre units in Division 1. They are conceding 225 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Pirates are ranked 8th in the AAC. In discussing points given up, they have given up 226 points in total. When it comes to rushing yards, they are conceding 192.3 yards per contest which puts them at 101st in D-1 and 9th in the conference. This year, they have conceded a total of 1,538 rushing yards and 19.2 rushing TDs.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Bearcats -21 and under the total points

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