California at Oregon NCAA Football Picks Against the Spread 10/5/2019

Saturday, October 5, 2019

Autzen Stadium

Autzen Stadium is the venue where Justin Herbert and the Oregon Ducks will take on the California Golden Bears on Saturday. California opens this game as 15.5-point dogs. The Golden Bears are 2-2-0 ATS and 1-3-0 when betting on the total. The Ducks are 1-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-2-0 against the spread.

Key California Golden Bears Injuries

09/29/19 WR Kekoa Crawford Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Oregon
09/29/19 QB Chase Garbers Shoulder left last game, is questionable Saturday vs Oregon
09/29/19 CB Traveon Beck Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Oregon
09/26/19 DE Chinedu Udeogu Lower Body is out for season
09/13/19 TE McCallan Castles Transferred has left team
09/10/19 OL Will Craig Lower Body is out for season

Key Oregon Ducks Injuries

09/29/19 DL Austin Faoliu Thigh is questionable Saturday vs California
09/29/19 OL Jake Hanson Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs California
09/29/19 K Zach Emerson Legal problems is questionable Saturday vs California
09/29/19 WR Juwan Johnson Calf is questionable Saturday vs California
09/17/19 TE Cam McCormick Ankle is out for season
09/02/19 WR JR Waters Foot is out for season
09/02/19 LB Adrian Jackson Foot is out for season
08/22/19 WR Mycah Pittman Shoulder is out indefinitely
08/06/19 WR Brenden Schooler Foot is out indefinitely

In their last game, the California Golden Bears played the Arizona State Sun Devils and were beaten 24-17. Christopher Brown Jr. led the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 13 yards and he ran for 1 touchdown in the game. He rushed for 54 yards via 18 carries which means he ran for an average of 3.0 yards per run. Trevon Clark was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 68 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 17.0 yards per reception for the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Golden Bears was Chase Garbers who went 9/12 with 117 yards passing and tossed 1 touchdown. He ended the game with no interceptions. The California Golden Bears ended up rushing 37 times and racked up 105 yards which had them averaging 2.8 yards per rush. On the day, the Golden Bears racked up 13 1st downs and they had a total of 2 infractions for 15 yards which means they were extremely disciplined in this game. Overall, they finished with a total of 63 plays which gave them a total of 245 yards. In terms of defense, California gave up 14 completions on 24 attempts totaling 174 yards, and a completion percentage of 58.3%. Against the run, the Golden Bears gave up 191 yards on 48 runs giving the other team an average of 4.0 yards per carry allowed. On the day, they allowed 365 yards and forced 1 takeaway.

The Golden Bears come into this game with a record of 4-1 this season. For total yards, they sit in 10th in the conference and 78th in the nation with 1,730 yards. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation averaging 23 points per game, putting them 100th in the nation. As a unit, they are averaging 147.8 rushing yards per game which is 6th in the Pac-12. The Golden Bears have one of the top tier defenses in D-1, allowing 18.6 points per contest ranking them 5th in the Pac-12. When it comes to yards on the ground, California is allowing 151.2 yards per game which has them at 9th in the Pac-12 and 71st in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.9 yards per carry ranking them 5th in the Pac-12 and 62nd in Division 1 overall. Overall, they have allowed 756 rushing yards through 5 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Golden Bears have conceded 991 yards. Opponents are completing 56.7% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.0 yards per try.

Related: Gambling 101 Series on How Odds are Calculated - Watch Tony George Explain

In their last contest, the Oregon Ducks played the Stanford Cardinal and notched a win by a score of 21-6. CJ Verdell led the team in rushing in the game. His longest run of the day went for 11 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He ran for 82 yards by way of 24 carries which had him averaging 3.4 yards per run. Jacob Breeland led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 78 yards on 5 catches. He had an average of 15.6 yards per reception in the game. Leading the way at QB for the Ducks was Justin Herbert who went 19/24 with 259 yards through the air and tossed 3 touchdowns. He ended the game with no interceptions. The Oregon Ducks ended up running the ball 30 times and earned 61 yards which gave them an average of 2.0 yards per rush. Overall, the Ducks had a total of 17 1st downs and they had a total of 2 penalties for 30 yards which tells us that we had a very focused team on our hands. In the game, they ran 54 plays for a total of 320 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Oregon allowed 16 completions on 30 throws totaling 120 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.3%. Against the run, the Ducks allowed 114 yards on 33 attempts allowing their opponent an average of 3.5 yards per carry allowed. For this contest, they allowed 234 yards and earned 1 takeaway.

Related: Get college football picks & tips on all of today's games

The Ducks head into this game 3-1. Oregon hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 154.8 yards on the ground per game, ranking them 69th in D-1. As a unit, they have a total of 619 rushing yards through 4 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Ducks average 458.8 yards per game overall which has them at 28th in D-1 and 3rd in the Pac-12 Conference. The Ducks are allowing 10.5 points per contest ranking them 1st in the Pac-12 Conference and 7th in the nation. Their passing defense is one of the elite groups in the country. They are allowing 160 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Ducks are ranked 1st in the Pac-12. In regard to points given up, they have given up 42 points in total. When it comes to yards rushing, they are giving up 102.8 yards per contest which puts them at 29th in D-1 and 3rd in the Pac-12. For 2019, they have conceded a total of 411 yards rushing and 1.2 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Golden Bears/Ducks college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Ducks -15.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn