California at Ole Miss College Football Betting Tips 9/21/2019

Saturday, September 21, 2019

Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Vaught-Hemingway Stadium is the site where Matt Corral and the Ole Miss Rebels will take on the California Golden Bears on Saturday. Ole Miss opens this contest as 2-point underdogs. The over/under opens at 44. The Golden Bears are 1-2-0 ATS and 0-3-0 when betting on the total. The Rebels are 1-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-2-0 against the spread.

Key California Golden Bears Injuries

09/13/19 TE McCallan Castles Transferred has left team
09/10/19 OL Will Craig Lower Body is out for season

Key Ole Miss Rebels Injuries

09/15/19 WR Braylon Sanders Hamstring is questionable Saturday vs California
09/12/19 LB Mohamed Sanogo Ankle is out indefinitely

The last time they played, the California Golden Bears played the North Texas Mean Green and earned the win by a score of 23-17. Chase Garbers led the team on the ground during the game. He broke a long run for 19 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for 70 yards by way of 18 carries which gave him an average of 3.9 yards per carry. Nikko Remigio led the team in receiving yardage by earning 53 yards on 2 receptions. He notched an average of 26.5 yards per reception during the game. Running the show from under center for the Golden Bears was Chase Garbers who went 9/22 with 129 yards passing and completed 1 TD. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. The California Golden Bears ended up running the ball 48 times and totaled 149 yards earning them an average of 3.1 yards per rushing attempt. In the game, the Golden Bears had a total of 17 first downs and they had a total of 7 penalties for 65 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. In all, they ran 70 plays which gave them a total of 278 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, California allowed 21 completions on 40 throws totaling 210 yards, and a completion percentage of 52.5%. In the running game, the Golden Bears allowed 119 yards on 31 runs which gave them an average of 3.8 yards per run allowed. In the game, they conceded a total of 329 yards and forced 2 takeaways.

The Golden Bears head into this matchup 3-0 for this year. For total yardage, they currently sit at 9th in the conference and 85th in Division 1 with 1,052 yards. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation averaging 23.3 points per contest, putting them 96th in Division 1. As a unit, they are averaging 191.3 rushing yards per contest which is 5th in the conference. The Golden Bears have one of the top tier defenses in D-1, giving up 16.3 points per game putting them 5th in the Pac-12. When it comes to passing yards, the Golden Bears have allowed 478 yards. Opponents are completing 54.6% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 5.1 yards per try. In discussing rushing yards, California is allowing 129.3 yards per contest which has them at 5th in the Pac-12 Conference and 54th in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.6 yards per carry which has them at 4th in the Pac-12 Conference and 53rd in college football overall. Overall, they have conceded 388 yards rushing through 3 contests.

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In their last game, the Ole Miss Rebels played the Southeastern Louisiana Lions and won 40-29. Scottie Phillips paced the team in rushing for the game. He had a long run of 27 yards and he tallied 1 TD in the game. He racked up a total of 103 yards on 26 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.0 yards per run. Elijah Moore led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 88 yards on 7 receptions. He averaged 12.6 yards per catch for the game. Running the show from under center for the Rebels was Matt Corral who went 21/30 with 239 yards passing and tossed 2 touchdowns. He ended the game without an interception. The Ole Miss Rebels ran the football 50 times and totaled 220 yards which had them averaging 4.4 yards per attempt. On the day, they ran 80 plays which gave them a total of 459 yards. For the game, the Rebels racked up 24 1st downs and they had a total of 3 penalties for 15 yards which tells us that they had a disciplined week in practice. When discussing the defense, Ole Miss gave up 29 catches on 45 attempts for a total of 309 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.4%. Overall, they gave up 375 yards and forced 4 turnovers. In the running game, the Rebels gave up 66 yards on 24 carries allowing their opponent an average of 2.8 yards per attempt allowed.

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The Rebels step onto the field holding a record of 2-1. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Rebels have an offense that could be called mediocre in D-1. Ole Miss is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 179 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 55th in D-1. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 537 rushing yards through 3 games, so they will want to continue to try to improve on the run game so opponents will have to respect all facets of the game. The Rebels average 371.7 yards per game overall which has them at 87th in D-1 and 13th in the SEC. The Rebels are conceding 20.3 points per game ranking them 8th in the conference and 49th in the country. When it comes to points allowed, they have given up 61 points in total. In terms of yards on the ground, they are giving up 106.3 yards per contest which puts them at 43rd in Division 1 and 6th in the SEC. This season, they have conceded 319 rushing yards and 3.9 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the middle of the road groups in Division 1. They are conceding 260.3 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Rebels sit in 11th in the conference.

Who will win tonight's Golden Bears/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rebels +2

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