Buffalo at Miami NCAA Football Tips 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Fred Yager Stadium

Fred Yager Stadium is the site where Brett Gabbert and the Miami RedHawks will play the Buffalo Bulls on Saturday. Miami (OH) opens this game as 2.5-point favorites. The Bulls are 1-3-0 ATS and 2-2-0 when betting on the total. The RedHawks are 3-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-3-0 against the spread.

Key Buffalo Bulls Injuries

09/22/19 TE Zac Lefebvre Leg is questionable Saturday vs Miami Ohio
09/09/19 P Evan Finegan Leg is out for season
08/27/19 WR Jovany Ruiz Knee is out for season

Key Miami RedHawks Injuries

09/22/19 RB Jaylon Bester Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Buffalo U

The last time they played, the Buffalo Bulls took on the Temple Owls and won 38-22. Leading the way at QB for the Bulls was Matt Myers who went 9/15 with 62 yards through the air but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He gave away 1 interception on the day. Jaret Patterson paced the team on the ground during the game. He had a long run of 26 yards and he ran for 2 touchdowns for the contest. He rushed for 133 yards by way of 27 carries which meant he was running for 4.9 yards per carry. Antonio Nunn was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 23 yards on 3 receptions. He earned an average of 7.7 yards per reception during the game. The Buffalo Bulls rushed the ball a total of 28 times and earned a total of 217 yards which earned them an average of 7.8 yards per run. For the game, they ran 43 plays which gave them a total of 279 yards. For the contest, the Bulls racked up 17 first downs and they had 7 penalties for 55 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. When it comes to their defensive performance, Buffalo allowed 25 completions on 51 tries totaling 258 yards, and a completion percentage of 49.0%. For this contest, they conceded 289 yards and forced 4 takeaways. Against the run, the Bulls allowed 31 yards on 23 carries allowing their opponent an average of 1.3 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Bulls come into this matchup with a record of 2-2 this year. For total yards, they sit in 6th in the Mid-American Conference and 73rd in Division 1 with 1,435 yards. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country averaging 26.5 points per game, ranking them 90th in Division 1. As a unit, they have an average of 223 yards on the ground per contest which is 1st in the conference. The Bulls have one of the middle tier defenses in the country, giving up 28 points per game ranking them 2nd in the MAC. In regard to yards rushing, Buffalo is giving up 84 yards per game which has them at 1st in the MAC and 17th in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.9 yards per carry ranking them 2nd in the MAC and 22nd in the nation overall. Overall, they have allowed 336 rushing yards through 4 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Bulls have allowed 543 yards. Teams are completing 63.4% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 8.5 yards per try.

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The last time they played, the Miami RedHawks played the Ohio State Buckeyes and were defeated 76-5. Leading the way at QB for the RedHawks was Brett Gabbert who went 5/15 with 48 yards passing but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He threw 1 pick during the game. Maurice Thomas paced the team on the ground for that contest. His longest run of the day went for 23 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He rushed for 44 yards on 8 carries which meant he averaged 5.5 yards per tote. Jack Sorenson was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 42 yards on 4 catches. He had an average of 10.5 yards per reception for that contest. The Miami RedHawks ran the ball a total of 41 times and added 72 yards which had them averaging 1.8 yards per rushing attempt. Overall, the RedHawks got 10 first downs and they totaled 4 penalties for 50 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. For the game, they ran 61 plays which gave them a total of 132 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Miami (OH) gave up 22 catches on 30 attempts totaling 374 yards, and a completion percentage of 73.3%. Against the run, the RedHawks gave up 227 yards on 42 runs which gave the opponent an average of 5.4 yards per carry allowed. On the day, they conceded a total of 601 yards and forced 1 takeaway.

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The RedHawks step onto the field holding a record of 1-3. Miami needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 96.3 yards on the ground per game, putting them 119th in Division 1. As a unit, they have a total of 385 rushing yards through 4 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The RedHawks average 233.3 yards per contest overall ranking them 129th in D-1 and 12th in the Mid-American Conference. The RedHawks are allowing 41.5 points per contest which puts them at 12th in the MAC and 124th in Division 1. When talking about points allowed, they have given up 166 total points. In discussing yards on the ground, they are allowing 187 yards per game ranking them 105th in college football and 7th in the conference. For the 2019 season, they have allowed 748 rushing yards and 9.2 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the middling units in college football. They are conceding 255 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the RedHawks are currently ranked 7th in the MAC.

Who will win tonight's Bulls/RedHawks college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the RedHawks -2.5

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