Bowling Green vs Miami NCAA Football Picks 11/13/2019

Wednesday, November 13, 2019

Fred Yager Stadium

Brett Gabbert and the Miami RedHawks play the Bowling Green Falcons at Fred Yager Stadium on Wednesday, November 13, 2019. Miami opens this matchup as 18.5-point favorites. The Falcons are 3-6-0 ATS and 2-7-0 when betting on the total. The RedHawks are 5-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-4-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Bowling Green Falcons went up against the Akron Zips and won 35-6. Andrew Clair led the team on the ground for the game. His longest run of the day went for 10 yards and he notched 2 TD's during the game. He scurried for 86 yards on 29 carries which means he ran for an average of 3.0 yards per run. Quintin Morris was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 53 yards on 4 receptions. He had an average of 13.3 yards per catch for the game. Running the show from under center for the Falcons was Grant Loy who went 12/20 with 113 yards through the air and tossed 1 TD. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. The Falcons ended up running the ball 62 times and racked up 156 yards which gave them an average of 2.5 yards per rushing attempt. On the day, they ran 83 plays which added up to 276 yards. In the game, the Falcons totaled 17 1st downs and they totaled 11 penalties for 115 yards which shows us that this team didn't have their heads in this game. On the defensive side of the ball, Bowling Green allowed 10 completions on 26 attempts totaling 71 yards, and a completion percentage of 38.5%. On the ground, the Falcons allowed 29 yards on 31 carries which means they had an average of 0.9 yards per carry allowed. For the game, they conceded 100 yards and earned 4 turnovers.

The Falcons head into this game 3-6 this season. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the country with an average of 17.6 points per game, which has them at 122nd in the country. As a unit, they have an average of 165.7 rushing yards per contest which is 8th in the MAC. For total yardage, they sit in 10th in the Mid-American Conference and 112th in the country with 2,958 yards. The Falcons have one of the worst defenses in college football, giving up 33.8 points per contest which has them at 11th in the MAC. When talking about yards on the ground, Bowling Green is giving up 214.4 yards per contest ranking them 11th in the conference and 120th in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.2 yards per carry putting them 9th in the MAC and 113th in the country overall. In total, they have conceded 1,930 yards rushing through 9 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Falcons have conceded 1,467 yards. Teams are completing 66.9% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 8.4 yards per try.

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The last time they took the field, the Miami RedHawks played the Ohio Bobcats and earned the win by a score of 24-21. Taking the lead at quarterback for the RedHawks was Brett Gabbert who went 10/18 with 149 yards through the air and completed 1 TD. He ended the game without an interception. Jaylon Bester paced the team in rushing for that game. His longest run of the day went for 45 yards and he notched 2 TD's for the game. He racked up a total of 84 yards via 15 carries which gave him an average of 5.6 yards per carry. James Maye was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 63 yards on 2 receptions. He had an average of 31.5 yards per catch for that game. The RedHawks ran the ball a total of 28 times and earned 130 yards earning them an average of 4.6 yards per attempt. For the game, they totaled 46 plays for 279 yards. On the day, the RedHawks racked up 14 first downs and they had a total of 6 penalties for 60 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. In terms of defense, Miami allowed 15 completions on 27 tries totaling 133 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.6%. In the game, they conceded 374 yards and forced 2 turnovers. On the ground, the RedHawks allowed 241 yards on 46 carries which is an average of 5.2 yards per run allowed.

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The RedHawks step onto the field holding a record of 5-4. Miami is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 126.9 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 108th in the country. As a team, they have a total of 1,142 yards rushing through 9 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The RedHawks average 296.7 yards per contest overall putting them 123rd in Division 1 and 11th in the MAC. The RedHawks are conceding 31.7 points per game which puts them at 9th in the Mid-American Conference and 94th in the country. Their passing defense is one of the middling units in D-1. They are giving up 202.6 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the RedHawks sit in 3rd in the Mid-American Conference. In regard to points allowed, they have allowed 285 points in total. When talking about rushing yards, they are giving up 190.6 yards per contest ranking them 93rd in Division 1 and 6th in the conference. For the 2019 season, they have given up a total of 1,715 rushing yards and 18 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/RedHawks college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons +18.5

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