Bowling Green vs Buffalo NCAA Football Game Picks 11/29/2019

Game: Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls

Date: Friday, November 29, 2019

Week 14

Location: UB Stadium in Amherst, NY

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Buffalo -28

Total/Over-Under: 53

Kyle Vantrease and the Buffalo Bulls play the Bowling Green Falcons at UB Stadium on Friday, November 29, 2019. Buffalo opens this matchup as 28-point favorites. The Falcons are 3-8-0 ATS and 3-8-0 when betting on the total. The Bulls are 7-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 6-5-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Bowling Green Falcons took on the Ohio Bobcats and were beaten 66-24. Leading the way at QB for the Falcons was Grant Loy who went 21/32 with 250 yards through the air and added 1 TD. He threw 1 pick during the game. Davon Jones led the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 20 yards and he notched 1 TD for the game. He scurried for 95 yards via 16 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.9 yards per run. Julian Ortega-Jones was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 90 yards on 3 receptions. He earned an average of 30.0 yards per catch for the game. The Falcons rushed the ball a total of 42 times and earned 168 yards which had them averaging 4.0 yards per carry. In all, they ran 76 plays for 418 yards. For the game, the Falcons earned 25 first downs and they had 8 infractions for 55 yards which shows us how undisciplined this team can be. On the defensive side of the ball, Bowling Green conceded 14 completions on 21 throws totaling 267 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. On the ground, the Falcons conceded 342 yards on 40 attempts which gave them an average of 8.6 yards per attempt allowed. In the game, they allowed a total of 609 yards and earned 1 turnover.

The Falcons head into this game 3-8 this year. For total yardage, they currently sit at 10th in the MAC and 117th in the country with 3,651 yards. They are one of lowest scoring teams in the nation with an average of 16.8 points per game, putting them 127th in the country. As a unit, they have an average of 167.6 rushing yards per game which is 8th in the MAC. The Falcons have one of the most lackluster defenses in the country, giving up 37.6 points per contest putting them 12th in the Mid-American Conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Falcons have allowed 1,807 yards. Opponents are completing 66.7% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 9.1 yards per attempt. When it comes to yards on the ground, Bowling Green is giving up 223.5 yards per contest which has them at 11th in the Mid-American Conference and 123rd in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.5 yards per rush ranking them 12th in the Mid-American Conference and 124th in Division 1 overall. Overall, they have allowed 2,459 rushing yards through 11 contests.

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In their last game, the Buffalo Bulls went up against the Toledo Rockets and earned the win by a score of 49-30. Jaret Patterson paced the team on the ground for the game. He tore off a long run of 44 yards and he ran for 4 TD's in the game. He rushed for a total of 192 yards by way of 32 carries which meant he was running for 6.0 yards per carry. Antonio Nunn was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 89 yards on 5 catches. He had an average of 17.8 yards per catch for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Bulls was Kyle Vantrease who went 13/20 with 172 yards passing and added 1 touchdown. He ended the game with no interceptions. The Bulls ran the football 52 times and racked up 332 yards which gave them an average of 6.4 yards per attempt. On the day, the Bulls totaled 22 first downs and they totaled 5 penalties for 35 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. In all, they finished with a total of 72 plays which added up to 504 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Buffalo allowed 16 completions on 34 tries for a total of 248 yards, and a completion percentage of 47.1%. Against the run, the Bulls allowed 154 yards on 35 carries which is an average of 4.4 yards per rushing attempt allowed. Overall, they gave up 402 yards and earned 1 turnover.

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The Bulls head into this game 6-5. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Bulls have one of the average offenses in college football. Buffalo is making teams fear their ground game this season by averaging 236.1 yards on the ground per game, ranking them 17th in the nation. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 2,597 yards rushing through 11 contests, and if they want to continue their dominance, they'll want to keep running the ball. The Bulls average 380.4 yards per contest overall which has them at 89th in D-1 and 8th in the Mid-American Conference. The Bulls are giving up 23.7 points per contest ranking them 1st in the conference and 43rd in the country. Their passing defense is one of the middling units in Division 1. They are giving up 208.4 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Bulls are ranked 4th in the Mid-American Conference. When talking about points allowed, they have given up 261 total points. When talking about yards on the ground, they are allowing 94.6 yards per contest which puts them at 7th in Division 1 and 1st in the Mid-American Conference. For this season, they have allowed 1,041 yards on the ground and 14.3 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Bulls college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bulls -28

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