Boise State vs Colorado State Expert College Football Picks Against the Spread 11/29/2019

Game: Boise State Broncos vs Colorado State Rams

Date: Friday, November 29, 2019

Week 14

Location: Canvas Stadium in Fort Collins, CO

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado State +13.5

Total/Over-Under: 57

Jaylon Henderson and the Boise State Broncos are headed to Canvas Stadium on Friday where they'll take on the Colorado State Rams. Boise State opens this contest as 13.5-point favorites. The Broncos are 6-4-1 ATS and 6-5-0 when betting on the total. The Rams are 4-7-0 when wagering on the over/under and 6-5-0 against the spread.

In their last contest, the Boise State Broncos faced the Utah State Aggies and earned the win by a score of 56-21. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Broncos was Jaylon Henderson who went 16/28 with 187 yards passing and completed 3 TD's. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. George Holani paced the team in rushing for the game. He tore off a long run of 36 yards and he added 2 TD's for the game. He ran for 178 yards via 16 carries which had him averaging 11.1 yards per tote. John Hightower was the receiving yardage leader by earning 56 yards on 3 catches. He notched an average of 18.7 yards per catch for the game. The Broncos ran the ball a total of 46 times and racked up 297 yards giving them an average of 6.5 yards per attempt. In the game, they totaled 75 plays which gave them a total of 484 yards. On the day, the Broncos racked up a total of 27 first downs and they totaled 3 penalties for 15 yards which is telling in terms of how disciplined they are. In terms of defense, Boise State conceded 27 catches on 47 tries for a total of 307 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.4%. In the running game, the Broncos conceded 121 yards on 34 runs which means they had an average of 3.6 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For the game, they conceded 428 yards and forced 2 takeaways.

The Broncos head into this game 10-1 this season. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 37.9 points per contest, putting them 12th in D-1. As a unit, they are averaging 184.5 yards on the ground per game which is 4th in the conference. For total yardage, they are currently ranked 2nd in the Mountain West and 22nd in D-1 with 5,033 yards. The Broncos have one of the best defenses in Division 1, allowing 21.3 points per contest ranking them 4th in the MWC. When it comes to passing yards, the Broncos have allowed 3,003 yards. Opponents are completing 55.5% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.9 yards per attempt. In terms of yards rushing, Boise State is allowing 118.3 yards per game ranking them 4th in the MWC and 24th in the country. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.5 yards per carry ranking them 4th in the MWC and 27th in college football overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,301 rushing yards through 11 games.

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The last time they took the field, the Colorado State Rams took on the Wyoming Cowboys and lost 17-7. Jaylen Thomas led the team on the ground for that contest. His longest run of the day went for 6 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He racked up a total of 23 yards via 14 carries which had him averaging 1.6 yards per run. Warren Jackson was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 95 yards on 6 receptions. He had an average of 15.8 yards per catch for that contest. Running the show from under center for the Rams was Patrick O'Brien who went 17/29 with 217 yards passing and completed 1 touchdown. He gave away 1 interception in the game. The Rams ran the football 30 times and earned 48 yards which had them averaging 1.6 yards per carry. Overall, the Rams had a total of 15 first downs and they had 5 penalties for 56 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. For the game, they ran 59 plays which gave them a total of 265 yards. When discussing the defense, Colorado State allowed 8 catches on 15 throws for a total of 81 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.3%. For this contest, they gave up 273 yards but didn't add to their total of forced turnovers. On the ground, the Rams allowed 192 yards on 50 runs which is an average of 3.8 yards per run allowed.

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The Rams head into this game 4-7. In discussing the offensive production, the Rams have one of the average offenses in the nation. Colorado State needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 136 yards on the ground per contest, putting them 100th in Division 1. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 1,496 yards rushing through 11 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Rams average 442.7 yards per game overall ranking them 36th in D-1 and 3rd in the MWC. The Rams are conceding 31.2 points per contest which puts them at 6th in the conference and 92nd in D-1. Their passing defense is one of the best units in the country. They are giving up 175.1 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Rams are ranked 1st in the MWC. When it comes to points given up, they have given up 343 points in total. When it comes to yards rushing, they are allowing 205.5 yards per game which puts them at 113th in the nation and 11th in the Mountain West. For the 2019 season, they have conceded 2,261 yards rushing and 20.9 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Rams college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Broncos -13.5

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