Baylor at Kansas State College Football Betting Tips 10/5/2019

Saturday, October 5, 2019

Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Skylar Thompson and the Kansas State Wildcats host the Baylor Bears at Bill Snyder Family Stadium on Saturday, October 5, 2019. The odds on this matchup have Kansas State as 2.5-point favorites. The Bears are 1-2-0 ATS and 2-1-0 when betting on the total. The Wildcats are 2-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-0-0 against the spread.

Key Baylor Bears Injuries

09/13/19 WR Gavin Holmes ACL is out for season

Key Kansas State Wildcats Injuries

09/29/19 WR Malik Knowles Foot is questionable Saturday vs Baylor
09/26/19 LB Cody Fletcher Leg is out indefinitely
08/29/19 LB Justin Hughes ACL is out for season

The last time they took the field, the Baylor Bears faced the Iowa State Cyclones and notched a win by a score of 23-21. John Lovett led the team on the ground during the game. He tore off a long run of 11 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He rushed for 52 yards on 12 carries which meant he was running for 4.3 yards per run. Tyquan Thornton was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 141 yards on 11 catches. He had an average of 12.8 yards per catch during the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Bears was Charlie Brewer who went 26/45 with 307 yards passing and completed 3 touchdowns. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. The Baylor Bears ran the ball 34 times and added 104 yards which gave them an average of 3.1 yards per rush. Overall, they ran 79 plays which added up to 411 yards. For the contest, the Bears got 24 first downs and they totaled 7 penalties for 75 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In terms of defense, Baylor conceded 27 catches on 45 throws for a total of 342 yards, and a completion percentage of 60.0%. On the ground, the Bears conceded 63 yards on 28 runs giving the other team an average of 2.3 yards per carry allowed. In the game, they allowed a total of 405 yards and earned 2 takeaways.

The Bears step onto the field holding a record of 4-0 in 2019. For total yardage, they rank 6th in the conference and 50th in Division 1 with 1,902 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country with an average of 40.8 points per contest, ranking them 14th in Division 1. As a unit, they are averaging 216 rushing yards per contest which is 5th in the Big 12. The Bears have one of the best defenses in Division 1, giving up 16.3 points per game which has them at 2nd in the Big 12. When it comes to yards through the air, the Bears have allowed 1,038 yards. Opponents are completing 57.4% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 5.7 yards per attempt. In regard to yards on the ground, Baylor is giving up 102.5 yards per game which has them at 2nd in the Big 12 Conference and 28th in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.1 yards per rush ranking them 2nd in the Big 12 Conference and 28th in D-1 overall. Overall, they have allowed 410 yards rushing through 4 games.

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The last time they took the field, the Kansas State Wildcats played the Oklahoma State Cowboys and ended up taking the loss by a score of 26-13. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Wildcats was Skylar Thompson who went 11/23 with 118 yards through the air but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He ended the game with no interceptions. James Gilbert led the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 18 yards and he tallied 1 TD during the game. He scurried for 44 yards via 12 carries which meant he averaged 3.7 yards per run. Samuel Wheeler was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 39 yards on 2 receptions. He averaged 18.5 yards per catch for the game. The Kansas State Wildcats ended up running the ball 32 times and racked up a total of 126 yards giving them an average of 3.9 yards per carry. In all, they ran 55 plays which added up to 244 yards. On the day, the Wildcats racked up 8 first downs and they had 8 penalties for 65 yards telling us that this team had an undisciplined week of practice. In terms of defense, Kansas State gave up 16 completions on 25 attempts for a total of 153 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.0%. For this contest, they conceded a total of 526 yards and earned 2 turnovers. In the running game, the Wildcats gave up 373 yards on 44 tries which gave them an average of 8.5 yards per carry allowed.

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The Wildcats step onto the field holding a record of 3-1. Kansas State is making teams fear their ground game this season by averaging 241.5 yards on the ground per game, ranking them 14th in the nation. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 966 rushing yards through 4 contests, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Wildcats average 401.8 yards per game overall ranking them 74th in Division 1 and 8th in the Big 12. The Wildcats are conceding 16 points per contest which puts them at 1st in the Big 12 and 18th in D-1. Their pass defense is one of the elite groups in the country. They are conceding 127.3 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Wildcats sit in 1st in the Big 12 Conference. In terms of points allowed, they have allowed 64 points in total. In regard to rushing yards, they are conceding 196.3 yards per game ranking them 112th in college football and 9th in the conference. For 2019, they have conceded 785 rushing yards and 5.2 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Wildcats college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Wildcats -2.5

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