BYU at Toledo NCAA Football Betting Tips 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Glass Bowl

Glass Bowl is the site where Mitchell Guadagni and the Toledo Rockets will take on the BYU Cougars on Saturday. Toledo opens this game as 3.5-point dogs. The Cougars are 2-2-0 ATS and 2-2-0 when betting on the total. The Rockets are 2-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-2-0 against the spread.

Key BYU Cougars Injuries

09/22/19 RB Ty'Son Williams ACL is out for season
09/21/19 LB Zayne Anderson Undisclosed is out for season
08/01/19 WR Neil Pau'u Suspension is out for season
07/08/19 RB Beau Hoge Leg is out for season

Key Toledo Rockets Injuries

08/06/19 OL Bryce Harris Knee is out for season

In the last game they played, the BYU Cougars played the Washington Huskies and lost 45-19. Emmanuel Esukpa paced the team on the ground for the game. He tore off a long run of 23 yards and he ran for 1 touchdown during the game. He racked up a total of 49 yards on 9 carries which meant he averaged 5.4 yards per carry. Matt Bushman was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 89 yards on 6 catches. He notched an average of 14.8 yards per reception for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Cougars was Zach Wilson who went 26/42 with 277 yards through the air and tossed 1 touchdown. He gave away 1 pick during the game. The BYU Cougars ended up running the ball 27 times and racked up a total of 79 yards giving them an average of 2.9 yards per carry. On the day, they ran 69 plays which added up to 356 yards. For the contest, the Cougars totaled 21 first downs and they totaled 9 penalties for 80 yards which shows us that this team didn't have their heads in this game. When it comes to their defensive performance, BYU conceded 24 completions on 28 tries totaling 290 yards, and a completion percentage of 85.7%. Overall, they allowed a total of 483 yards and forced 2 takeaways. On the ground, the Cougars conceded 193 yards on 36 carries which means they allowed 5.4 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Cougars come into this matchup with a record of 2-2 this season. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation with an average of 22.5 points per game, which has them at 105th in D-1. As a team, they are averaging 102.3 rushing yards per game which is 5th among Independent teams. For total yards, they sit in 2nd among FBS Independent teams and 75th in D-1 with 1,425 yards. The Cougars have one of the most lackluster defenses in the country, allowing 32 points per contest which has them at 4th among Independent teams. When talking about yards on the ground, BYU is allowing 217 yards per contest which has them at 3rd among Independent teams and 119th in the nation. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.9 yards per rush putting them 2nd among D-1 Independent teams and 108th in the nation overall. In total, they have allowed 868 yards rushing through 4 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Cougars have conceded 853 yards. Opponents are completing 73.6% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 8.0 yards per attempt.

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The last time they played, the Toledo Rockets played the Colorado State Rams and earned the victory by a score of 41-35. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Rockets was Mitchell Guadagni who went 6/15 with 111 yards through the air and completed 1 TD. He finished the game without throwing an interception. Bryant Koback paced the team in rushing during the game. His longest run of the day went for 75 yards and he notched 3 touchdowns during the game. He ran for a total of 228 yards by way of 19 carries which means he ran for an average of 12.0 yards per tote. Bryce Mitchell was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 69 yards on 3 receptions. He earned an average of 23.0 yards per catch during the game. The Toledo Rockets ran the ball 46 times and earned a total of 436 yards earning them an average of 9.5 yards per rush. For the game, the Rockets got 20 first downs and they had a total of 10 penalties for 100 yards which is telling in terms of discipline. In all, they ran 61 plays for 547 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Toledo allowed 32 catches on 54 attempts totaling 405 yards, and a completion percentage of 59.3%. In the running game, the Rockets allowed 289 yards on 36 tries which gave them an average of 8.0 yards per attempt allowed. For the game, they allowed 694 yards and earned 1 takeaway.

Related: Get college football predictions on all of today's games

The Rockets come into this matchup with a record of 1-1. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Rockets have one of the top tier offenses in Division 1. Toledo is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 123.7 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 99th in Division 1. As a team, they have compiled a total of 371 rushing yards through 3 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Rockets average 295 yards per contest overall which has them at 119th in the nation and 10th in the MAC. The Rockets are allowing 24.3 points per game ranking them 1st in the conference and 60th in college football. Their pass defense is one of the top units in the country. They are allowing 148 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Rockets are ranked 1st in the MAC. When talking about points allowed, they have given up 73 points in total. In discussing rushing yards, they are conceding 103 yards per game ranking them 33rd in college football and 3rd in the MAC. For the 2019 season, they have conceded a total of 309 yards on the ground and 3 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Cougars/Rockets college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Cougars -3.5

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