Army vs Air Force NCAA Football Game Picks 11/2/2019

Saturday, November 2, 2019

Falcon Stadium

Falcon Stadium is the site where Donald Hammond and the Air Force Falcons will play the Army Black Knights on Saturday. Air Force opens this game as 14-point favorites. The Black Knights are 2-6-0 ATS and 3-4-1 when betting on the total. The Falcons are 5-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-3-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Army Black Knights played the San Jose State Spartans and lost 34-29. Christian Anderson paced the team in rushing for that contest. He had a long run of 33 yards and he ran for 2 touchdowns for the game. He ran for a total of 87 yards via 16 carries which had him averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Camden Harrison was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 54 yards on 4 catches. He notched an average of 13.5 yards per reception for that contest. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Black Knights was Kelvin Hopkins Jr. who went 2/3 with 50 yards through the air and threw 1 TD. He ended the game with no interceptions. The Black Knights ran the ball 70 times and earned a total of 326 yards which earned them an average of 4.7 yards per rushing attempt. Overall, the Black Knights racked up a total of 28 1st downs and they totaled 9 infractions for 74 yards which shows us how undisciplined this team can be. For the game, they totaled 83 plays which gave them a total of 429 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Army gave up 20 catches on 31 throws for a total of 314 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.5%. In the game, they gave up 403 yards but didn't force any takeaways. In the running game, the Black Knights gave up 89 yards on 17 runs which is an average of 5.2 yards per run allowed.

The Black Knights head into this game 3-5 for the 2019 season. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country averaging 26.1 points per contest, ranking them 88th in the country. As a team, they are averaging 263.5 yards on the ground per contest which is 1st among Independent teams. For total yards, they sit in 4th among D-1 Independent teams and 108th in the country with 2,711 yards. The Black Knights have one of the middle tier defenses in the country, giving up 23.3 points per game which has them at 2nd among D-1 Independent teams. When it comes to passing yards, the Black Knights have conceded 1,620 yards. Teams are completing 65.4% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.5 yards per attempt. In regard to rushing yards, Army is giving up 150.4 yards per game putting them 1st among FBS Independent teams and 55th in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per rush putting them 1st among Independent teams and 64th in D-1 overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,203 rushing yards through 8 contests.

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The last time they took the field, the Air Force Falcons played the Utah State Aggies and earned the victory by a score of 31-7. Timothy Jackson led the team on the ground for the game. His longest run of the day went for 40 yards and he ran for 1 TD for the game. He rushed for a total of 148 yards via 25 carries which meant he was running for 5.9 yards per run. Benjamin Waters was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 24 yards on 2 receptions. He earned an average of 12.0 yards per reception for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Falcons was Donald Hammond III who went 1/5 with 16 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He ended the game without an interception. The Falcons ended up rushing 78 times and racked up 448 yards earning them an average of 5.7 yards per carry. On the day, the Falcons racked up a total of 30 first downs and they had 4 infractions for 40 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. Overall, they ran 84 plays which added up to 472 yards. When discussing the defense, Air Force gave up 14 catches on 23 tries totaling 114 yards, and a completion percentage of 60.9%. For the game, they allowed 128 yards but didn't force any takeaways. In the running game, the Falcons gave up 14 yards on 13 carries which is an average of 1.1 yards per carry allowed.

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The Falcons come into this game with a record of 6-2. In discussing the offensive production, the Falcons have one of the best offenses in the nation. Air Force is making teams fear their ground game this season by averaging 267.6 yards on the ground per contest, putting them 4th in the country. As a team, they have a total of 2,141 rushing yards through 8 contests, and if they want to continue their dominance, they'll want to keep running the ball. The Falcons average 384.6 yards per contest overall which has them at 84th in college football and 8th in the Mountain West. The Falcons are giving up 21.9 points per game ranking them 4th in the Mountain West and 37th in the country. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre units in the country. They are allowing 202.6 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Falcons currently sit at 4th in the Mountain West. When it comes to points allowed, they have allowed 175 total points. In regard to yards on the ground, they are giving up 91.1 yards per contest which puts them at 9th in Division 1 and 2nd in the Mountain West. This season, they have allowed a total of 729 rushing yards and 8.8 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Black Knights/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons -14

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