Arkansas vs Kentucky Line and Predictions ATS

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Kroger Field

Nick Starkel and the Arkansas Razorbacks head to Kroger Field on Saturday where they'll take on the Kentucky Wildcats. Kentucky opens this contest as 7-point favorites. The Razorbacks are 2-3-0 ATS and 1-4-0 when betting on the total. The Wildcats are 3-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-2-0 against the spread.

Key Arkansas Razorbacks Injuries

10/06/19 RB Chase Hayden Concussion is questionable Saturday vs Kentucky
10/06/19 OL Colton Jackson Leg is questionable Saturday vs Kentucky
10/06/19 WR De'Vion Warren Concussion is questionable Saturday vs Kentucky
10/06/19 DB Montaric Brown Upper Body is questionable Saturday vs Kentucky
10/06/19 QB Nick Starkel Arm is questionable Saturday vs Kentucky
09/02/19 DL Dorian Gerald Neck is out for season
08/20/19 WR Deon Stewart ACL is out for season
08/20/19 WR Jordan Jones Ankle is out indefinitely
08/07/19 OL Noah Gatlin ACL is out for season

Key Kentucky Wildcats Injuries

10/06/19 QB Sawyer Smith Shoulder is questionable Saturday vs Arkansas
09/14/19 QB Nik Scalzo ACL is out for season
09/08/19 QB Terry Wilson Knee is out for season
08/30/19 S Davonte Robinson Quad is out for season
08/07/19 WR Isaiah Epps Foot is out indefinitely

In the last game they played, the Arkansas Razorbacks played the Texas A&M Aggies and ended up taking the loss by a score of 31-27. Rakeem Boyd paced the team in rushing for the game. He tore off a long run of 24 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He racked up a total of 89 yards on 18 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.9 yards per run. Cheyenne O'Grady was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 91 yards on 8 catches. He averaged 11.4 yards per catch for the game. Running the show from under center for the Razorbacks was Ben Hicks who went 15/27 with 188 yards through the air and tossed 1 touchdown. He ended the game with no interceptions. The Razorbacks ended up running the ball 25 times and racked up a total of 99 yards which earned them an average of 4.0 yards per run. For the contest, the Razorbacks racked up 26 1st downs and they had a total of 8 infractions for 48 yards telling us that this team had an undisciplined week of practice. Overall, they totaled 69 plays which gave them a total of 396 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Arkansas conceded 23 completions on 35 throws totaling 251 yards, and a completion percentage of 65.7%. In the running game, the Razorbacks conceded 90 yards on 32 tries which gave them an average of 2.8 yards per rushing attempt allowed. In the game, they gave up a total of 341 yards and earned 2 takeaways.

The Razorbacks head into this matchup 2-3 for the 2019 season. For total yards, they sit in 9th in the conference and 62nd in D-1 with 2,159 yards. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation averaging 28.6 points per contest, ranking them 73rd in D-1. As a team, they are averaging 142 rushing yards per contest which is 10th in the Southeastern Conference. The Razorbacks have one of the average defenses in college football, giving up 28 points per game which has them at 11th in the Southeastern Conference. When talking about yards on the ground, Arkansas is allowing 145.6 yards per contest ranking them 10th in the Southeastern Conference and 58th in Division 1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per rush which has them at 11th in the SEC and 73rd in college football overall. In total, they have allowed 728 yards rushing through 5 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Razorbacks have allowed 1,449 yards. Opponents are completing 61.5% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.2 yards per attempt.

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In their last outing, the Kentucky Wildcats played the South Carolina Gamecocks and lost 24-7. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Wildcats was Sawyer Smith who went 11/32 with 90 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He walked away with 1 interception in the game. Christopher Rodriguez Jr. paced the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 44 yards and he added 1 TD for the game. He rushed for 65 yards by way of 6 carries which means he ran for an average of 10.8 yards per run. Ahmad Wagner was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 35 yards on 2 catches. He earned an average of 17.5 yards per reception for the game. The Wildcats ended up rushing 28 times and totaled 115 yards giving them an average of 4.1 yards per run. In the game, the Wildcats racked up 9 first downs and they had 4 penalties for 20 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. On the day, they finished with a total of 62 plays for 212 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Kentucky allowed 15 completions on 27 tries for a total of 140 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.6%. For the game, they conceded 387 yards and earned 1 takeaway. On the ground, the Wildcats allowed 247 yards on 46 carries giving the other team an average of 5.4 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

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The Wildcats come into this game with a record of 2-3. In discussing the offensive production, the Wildcats have one of the average offenses in the nation. Kentucky has built a respectable ground game this year by averaging 164.8 yards on the ground per contest, which has them at 62nd in the nation. As a team, they have a total of 824 rushing yards through 5 games, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Wildcats average 377.6 yards per contest overall ranking them 87th in Division 1 and 12th in the Southeastern Conference. The Wildcats are allowing 24.4 points per contest ranking them 8th in the SEC and 54th in the nation. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road groups in D-1. They are conceding 224.6 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Wildcats currently sit at 8th in the SEC. When talking about points allowed, they have allowed 122 points in total. When it comes to yards on the ground, they are conceding 171.2 yards per game ranking them 88th in D-1 and 13th in the SEC. For this season, they have allowed a total of 856 rushing yards and 12 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Razorbacks/Wildcats college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Wildcats -7

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