Arkansas State at Georgia State NCAA Football Point Spread Picks 10/5/2019

Saturday, October 5, 2019

Georgia State Stadium

Dan Ellington and the Georgia State Panthers host the Arkansas State Red Wolves at Georgia State Stadium on Saturday, October 5, 2019. Arkansas State opens this game as 7-point favorites. The Red Wolves are 1-3-0 ATS and 2-2-0 when betting on the total. The Panthers are 3-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-1-2 against the spread.

Key Arkansas State Red Wolves Injuries

09/29/19 RB Marcel Murray Ankle is questionable Saturday vs Georgia State
09/25/19 RB Ryan Graham ACL is out for season
09/25/19 DL Kevin Thurmon Hand is out 2-4 weeks
09/25/19 QB Logan Bonner Thumb is out for season
09/19/19 CB Jerry Jacobs Undisclosed is out for season

Key Georgia State Panthers Injuries

No key injuries to report

In their last game, the Arkansas State Red Wolves took on the Troy Trojans and ended up getting the victory by a score of 50-43. Jamal Jones led the team in rushing for that game. His longest run of the day went for 15 yards and he tallied 1 TD for the contest. He ran for a total of 54 yards via 14 carries which means he ran for an average of 3.9 yards per carry. Omar Bayless was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 213 yards on 10 receptions. He notched an average of 21.3 yards per catch for that game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Red Wolves was Layne Hatcher who went 25/35 with 440 yards passing and tossed 4 touchdowns. He walked away with 2 interceptions during the game. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ended up rushing 34 times and racked up 103 yards giving them an average of 3.0 yards per carry. Overall, they finished with a total of 70 plays for 558 yards. In the game, the Red Wolves racked up a total of 24 first downs and they had a total of 13 penalties for 138 yards telling us that this team was extremely undisciplined. When it comes to their defensive performance, Arkansas State allowed 34 catches on 58 attempts for a total of 367 yards, and a completion percentage of 58.6%. Against the run, the Red Wolves allowed 145 yards on 33 attempts allowing their opponent an average of 4.4 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For the game, they conceded 512 yards and forced 2 turnovers.

The Red Wolves head into this game 3-2 in 2019. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 32.8 points per contest, which has them at 52nd in D-1. As a team, they have an average of 113.4 rushing yards per game which is 9th in the Sun Belt. For total yardage, they sit in 3rd in the Sun Belt Conference and 19th in D-1 with 2,164 yards. The Red Wolves have one of the worst defenses in college football, giving up 36 points per game putting them 8th in the Sun Belt. When it comes to passing yards, the Red Wolves have conceded 1,597 yards. Opponents are completing 60.2% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.6 yards per attempt. When it comes to rushing yards, Arkansas State is allowing 195.6 yards per contest putting them 8th in the Sun Belt and 111th in D-1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.9 yards per rush ranking them 7th in the Sun Belt Conference and 110th in college football overall. Overall, they have allowed 978 yards rushing through 5 games.

In their last game, the Georgia State Panthers played the Texas State Bobcats and ended up taking the loss by a score of 37-34. Destin Coates led the team on the ground for that game. He tore off a long run of 44 yards and he notched 1 TD for the contest. He rushed for 95 yards on 21 carries which gave him an average of 4.5 yards per run. Sam Pinckney led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 95 yards on 7 catches. He averaged 13.6 yards per catch for that game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Panthers was Dan Ellington who went 24/39 with 219 yards through the air and added 3 TD's. He walked away with 1 pick in the game. The Georgia State Panthers ended up running the ball 53 times and totaled 204 yards which earned them an average of 3.8 yards per carry. In the game, they finished with a total of 93 plays which gave them a total of 423 yards. In the game, the Panthers earned a total of 27 first downs and they had 4 penalties for 41 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. When it comes to their defensive performance, Georgia State gave up 16 completions on 25 throws totaling 129 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.0%. Against the run, the Panthers gave up 221 yards on 50 carries which gave them an average of 4.4 yards per carry allowed. On the day, they conceded 350 yards but didn't get any takeaways.

Related: Get college football picks & tips on all of today's games

The Panthers come into this game with a record of 2-2. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Panthers have one of the most prolific offenses in D-1. Georgia State has made teams game plan around their running game by averaging 207.8 yards on the ground per contest, which has them at 31st in the nation. As a unit, they have a total of 831 rushing yards through 4 contests, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Panthers average 419.3 yards per game overall putting them 64th in the nation and 7th in the Sun Belt Conference. The Panthers are allowing 41.5 points per game which puts them at 10th in the conference and 128th in the nation. Their passing defense is one of the middle of the road groups in college football. They are conceding 251.8 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Panthers are ranked 7th in the conference. In regard to points given up, they have given up 166 points in total. In terms of yards on the ground, they are conceding 244.8 yards per game which puts them at 126th in the country and 10th in the Sun Belt. This year, they have conceded 979 yards on the ground and 13.2 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Red Wolves/Panthers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Wolves -7

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