Arizona State vs UCLA Expert College Football Picks Against the Spread 10/26/2019

Saturday, October 26, 2019

Rose Bowl

Rose Bowl is the site where Dorian Thompson-Robinson and the UCLA Bruins will take on the Arizona State Sun Devils on Saturday. UCLA opens this matchup as 3-point dogs. The Sun Devils are 3-4-0 ATS and 2-5-0 when betting on the total. The Bruins are 3-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-4-1 against the spread.

In their last game, the Arizona State Sun Devils took on the Utah Utes and ended up taking the loss by a score of 21-3. Eno Benjamin paced the team on the ground for the game. He tore off a long run of 32 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for a total of 104 yards by way of 15 carries which meant he was running for 6.9 yards per carry. Frank Darby was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 12 yards on 2 catches. He earned an average of 6.0 yards per reception for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Sun Devils was Jayden Daniels who went 4/18 with 25 yards through the air but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He threw 1 interception on the day. The Sun Devils ran the ball 33 times and racked up a total of 111 yards giving them an average of 3.4 yards per run. Overall, they totaled 51 plays for 136 yards. For the game, the Sun Devils earned 8 1st downs and they had 12 penalties for 122 yards telling us that this team was extremely undisciplined. On the defensive side of the ball, Arizona State gave up 14 catches on 24 tries totaling 191 yards, and a completion percentage of 58.3%. In the running game, the Sun Devils gave up 151 yards on 43 attempts which means they had an average of 3.5 yards per rushing attempt allowed. On the day, they allowed 342 yards and forced 4 turnovers.

The Sun Devils head into this game 5-2 for this year. For total yards, they sit in 10th in the Pac-12 and 94th in college football with 2,552 yards. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation averaging 22.1 points per contest, ranking them 105th in college football. As a unit, they are averaging 131 yards on the ground per game which is 9th in the conference. The Sun Devils have one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing 18.1 points per game which has them at 3rd in the Pac-12 Conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Sun Devils have allowed 1,635 yards. Opponents are completing 62.9% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.8 yards per try. In discussing yards on the ground, Arizona State is giving up 100.1 yards per game putting them 2nd in the Pac-12 Conference and 18th in D-1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.1 yards per carry ranking them 2nd in the Pac-12 and 19th in the nation overall. In total, they have conceded 701 rushing yards through 7 contests.

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The last time they took the field, the UCLA Bruins played the Stanford Cardinal and ended up getting the win by a score of 34-16. Running the show from under center for the Bruins was Dorian Thompson-Robinson who went 21/34 with 192 yards through the air and added 2 TD's. He gave away 1 pick in the game. Joshua Kelley paced the team in rushing during the game. He broke a long run for 54 yards and he notched 1 TD for the game. He rushed for 176 yards via 18 carries which meant he was running for 9.8 yards per tote. Kyle Philips was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 100 yards on 10 catches. He had an average of 10.0 yards per catch during the game. The Bruins ran the football 43 times and earned 263 yards which had them averaging 6.1 yards per carry. Overall, they ran 77 plays which added up to 455 yards. Overall, the Bruins earned 20 1st downs and they totaled 8 penalties for 72 yards telling us that this team was extremely undisciplined. On the defensive side of the ball, UCLA allowed 15 completions on 32 throws for a total of 143 yards, and a completion percentage of 46.9%. In the running game, the Bruins allowed 55 yards on 30 attempts which means they had an average of 1.8 yards per rushing attempt allowed. In the game, they gave up a total of 198 yards and forced 1 turnover.

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The Bruins head into this matchup 2-5. UCLA is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 160 rushing yards per contest, ranking them 73rd in college football. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 1,120 yards rushing through 7 contests, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Bruins average 405.6 yards per contest overall ranking them 69th in the country and 9th in the conference. The Bruins are conceding 34.6 points per contest which puts them at 11th in the conference and 115th in the country. When talking about points allowed, they have allowed 242 total points. When it comes to yards rushing, they are conceding 147.3 yards per game which puts them at 57th in D-1 and 5th in the Pac-12 Conference. For the 2019 season, they have allowed a total of 1,031 yards on the ground and 9.1 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the most anemic units in the country. They are giving up 312.4 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Bruins currently sit at 11th in the conference.

Who will win tonight's Sun Devils/Bruins college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Sun Devils -3

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