Alabama vs Texas A&M Predictions Against the Spread

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Kyle Field

Tua Tagovailoa and the Alabama Crimson Tide travel to Kyle Field on Saturday where they'll meet the Texas A&M Aggies. The spread on this contest has Alabama as 13-point favorites. The Crimson Tide are 2-3-0 ATS and 3-2-0 when betting on the total. The Aggies are 1-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-2-0 against the spread.

Key Alabama Crimson Tide Injuries

10/06/19 DL DJ Dale Knee is questionable Saturday vs Texas A&M
10/06/19 DL Justin Eboigbe Foot is questionable Saturday vs Texas A&M
10/06/19 PK Will Reichard Hip is questionable Saturday vs Texas A&M
10/06/19 OL Chris Owens Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Texas A&M
10/06/19 OL Deonte Brown Suspension is questionable Saturday vs Texas A&M
10/06/19 WR Henry Ruggs III Hip is questionable Saturday vs Texas A&M
09/16/19 DL Labryan Ray Foot is out indefinitely
09/13/19 DL Antonio Alfano Academics is out indefinitely
08/31/19 OL Emil Ekiyor Jr. Knee is out indefinitely
08/28/19 LB Dylan Moses Knee is out for season
08/15/19 RB Trey Sanders Knee is out indefinitely
08/12/19 LB Joshua McMillon Knee is out for season

Key Texas A&M Aggies Injuries

09/30/19 WR Roshauud Paul Redshirt is out for season
09/09/19 RB Jashaun Corbin Hamstring is out for season
08/14/19 TE Baylor Cupp Tibia is out indefinitely
07/17/19 RB Vernon Jackson Neck is out for season

In their last contest, the Alabama Crimson Tide played the Ole Miss Rebels and ended up getting the win by a score of 59-31. Running the show from under center for the Crimson Tide was Tua Tagovailoa who went 26/36 with 418 yards through the air and completed 6 touchdowns. He ended the game without an interception. Najee Harris led the team in rushing during the game. He tore off a long run of 13 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for 71 yards on 9 carries which had him averaging 7.9 yards per carry. DeVonta Smith was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 274 yards on 11 receptions. He earned an average of 24.9 yards per catch during the game. The Crimson Tide ended up rushing 29 times and racked up 157 yards which earned them an average of 5.4 yards per run. Overall, the Crimson Tide earned 28 first downs and they totaled 10 penalties for 76 yards telling us that this team was extremely undisciplined. In all, they ran 66 plays for a total of 575 yards. In terms of defense, Alabama conceded 12 completions on 30 attempts totaling 197 yards, and a completion percentage of 40.0%. On the ground, the Crimson Tide conceded 280 yards on 57 attempts which means they allowed 4.9 yards per attempt allowed. For the game, they conceded 477 yards and forced 1 turnover.

The Crimson Tide come into this matchup with a record of 5-0 for this year. For total yards, they sit in 2nd in the conference and 9th in Division 1 with 2,775 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country with an average of 51.8 points per contest, putting them 3rd in Division 1. As a unit, they are averaging 174.4 yards on the ground per game which is 7th in the conference. The Crimson Tide have one of the best defenses in Division 1, allowing 14.8 points per game ranking them 4th in the conference. In regard to rushing yards, Alabama is giving up 135 yards per game which has them at 8th in the SEC and 51st in college football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.7 yards per rush ranking them 7th in the SEC and 49th in Division 1 overall. Overall, they have conceded 675 yards rushing through 5 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Crimson Tide have allowed 1,903 yards. Teams are completing 57.3% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 5.6 yards per attempt.

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In their last contest, the Texas A&M Aggies played the Arkansas Razorbacks and ended up getting the victory by a score of 31-27. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Aggies was Kellen Mond who went 23/35 with 251 yards through the air and added 3 TD's. He threw 1 interception in the game. Jacob Kibodi led the team on the ground for the game. He had a long run of 14 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He racked up a total of 38 yards by way of 9 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.2 yards per carry. Jhamon Ausbon was the receiving yardage leader by earning 82 yards on 7 receptions. He averaged 11.7 yards per reception for the game. The Aggies rushed the ball a total of 32 times and earned 90 yards which gave them an average of 2.8 yards per carry. In the game, they finished with a total of 67 plays which added up to 341 yards. On the day, the Aggies earned a total of 24 1st downs and they totaled 6 penalties for 55 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. On the defensive side of the ball, Texas A&M allowed 27 completions on 44 attempts for a total of 297 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.4%. For the game, they conceded a total of 396 yards and forced 1 takeaway. On the ground, the Aggies allowed 99 yards on 25 runs which gave the opponent an average of 4.0 yards per attempt allowed.

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The Aggies head into this matchup 3-2. Texas A&M is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 133.6 rushing yards per contest, ranking them 97th in the nation. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 668 rushing yards through 5 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Aggies average 426.4 yards per game overall which has them at 59th in the nation and 8th in the SEC. The Aggies are conceding 17.8 points per game which puts them at 5th in the SEC and 20th in the country. When it comes to points allowed, they have given up 89 points in total. When talking about rushing yards, they are giving up 109 yards per game ranking them 29th in D-1 and 7th in the conference. This year, they have conceded 545 rushing yards and 5 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the top groups in college football. They are conceding 191.4 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Aggies are currently ranked 4th in the Southeastern Conference.

Who will win tonight's Crimson Tide/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Crimson Tide -13

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