Alabama vs Mississippi State College Football Betting Tips 11/16/2019

Saturday, November 16, 2019

Davis Wade Stadium

Davis Wade Stadium is the site where Garrett Shrader and the Mississippi State Bulldogs will play the Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday. Mississippi State opens this game as 21-point underdogs. The Crimson Tide are 4-5-0 ATS and 5-4-0 when betting on the total. The Bulldogs are 6-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-6-0 against the spread.

In their last contest, the Alabama Crimson Tide faced the LSU Tigers and were beaten 46-41. Leading the way at QB for the Crimson Tide was Tua Tagovailoa who went 21/40 with 418 yards through the air and completed 4 touchdowns. He tossed 1 interception during the game. Najee Harris led the team in rushing for that contest. He had a long run of 31 yards and he tallied 1 TD for the game. He ran for 146 yards via 19 carries which meant he averaged 7.7 yards per tote. DeVonta Smith was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 213 yards on 7 receptions. He averaged 30.4 yards per catch for that contest. The Crimson Tide ended up running the ball 28 times and added 123 yards giving them an average of 4.4 yards per run. Overall, they ran 68 plays which added up to 541 yards. Overall, the Crimson Tide racked up 22 1st downs and they totaled 7 penalties for 53 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. On the defensive side of the ball, Alabama gave up 31 completions on 39 tries for a total of 393 yards, and a completion percentage of 79.5%. For the game, they conceded 559 yards and earned 1 turnover. On the ground, the Crimson Tide gave up 166 yards on 40 runs which is an average of 4.2 yards per run allowed.

The Crimson Tide head into this matchup 8-1 for this year. For total yards, they sit in 2nd in the conference and 10th in the country with 4,596 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country with an average of 47.8 points per game, putting them 3rd in the country. As a team, they have an average of 163.2 rushing yards per contest which is 8th in the Southeastern Conference. The Crimson Tide have one of the best defenses in the nation, giving up 18.7 points per contest ranking them 4th in the SEC. When it comes to yards through the air, the Crimson Tide have conceded 3,127 yards. Opponents are completing 58.3% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.1 yards per attempt. In discussing yards rushing, Alabama is allowing 132 yards per contest which has them at 6th in the SEC and 35th in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.7 yards per rush ranking them 6th in the Southeastern Conference and 34th in the country overall. In total, they have conceded 1,188 rushing yards through 9 games.

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In their last contest, the Mississippi State Bulldogs faced the Arkansas Razorbacks and ended up getting the win by a score of 54-24. Leading the way at QB for the Bulldogs was Tommy Stevens who went 12/18 with 172 yards passing and added 2 TD's. He ended the game without an interception. Kylin Hill paced the team on the ground for the game. His longest run of the day went for 62 yards and he added 3 touchdowns for the game. He racked up a total of 234 yards via 21 carries which had him averaging 11.1 yards per run. Deddrick Thomas was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 59 yards on 2 catches. He notched an average of 29.5 yards per reception for the game. The Bulldogs ran the ball a total of 57 times and earned 460 yards which gave them an average of 8.1 yards per rushing attempt. Overall, the Bulldogs earned a total of 27 1st downs and they had 3 infractions for 23 yards which is telling of the great week of practice this squad had. In the game, they totaled 76 plays for 640 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Mississippi State allowed 9 catches on 24 throws totaling 101 yards, and a completion percentage of 37.5%. On the day, they gave up a total of 285 yards and earned 2 turnovers. On the ground, the Bulldogs allowed 184 yards on 25 carries which gave them an average of 7.4 yards per carry allowed.

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The Bulldogs come into this game with a record of 4-5. Mississippi State is making teams fear their ground game this season by averaging 217 rushing yards per contest, which has them at 23rd in D-1. As a team, they have a total of 1,953 yards rushing through 9 contests, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Bulldogs average 407.8 yards per contest overall putting them 65th in D-1 and 8th in the SEC. The Bulldogs are allowing 30.2 points per game which puts them at 12th in the Southeastern Conference and 86th in the nation. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre units in college football. They are conceding 227.3 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Bulldogs currently sit at 10th in the Southeastern Conference. When it comes to points given up, they have allowed 272 points in total. When talking about yards on the ground, they are giving up 162.1 yards per contest which puts them at 69th in college football and 11th in the SEC. This year, they have allowed a total of 1,459 yards on the ground and 18.9 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Crimson Tide/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bulldogs +21

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