Air Force vs New Mexico NCAA Football Tips 11/9/2019

Saturday, November 9, 2019

Dreamstyle Stadium

Dreamstyle Stadium is the site where Tevaka Tuioti and the New Mexico Lobos will take on the Air Force Falcons on Saturday. New Mexico opens this matchup as 21-point dogs. The Falcons are 5-4-0 ATS and 5-4-0 when betting on the total. The Lobos are 4-5-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-6-0 against the spread.

In their last outing, the Air Force Falcons went up against the Army Black Knights and ended up getting the win by a score of 17-13. Timothy Jackson led the team in rushing during the game. He broke a long run for 40 yards and he added 1 touchdown during the game. He ran for a total of 155 yards on 20 carries which meant he was running for 7.8 yards per carry. Geraud Sanders was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 19 yards on 2 catches. He notched an average of 9.5 yards per reception during the game. Leading the way at QB for the Falcons was Donald Hammond III who went 1/6 with 19 yards passing but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He gave away 1 interception during the game. The Falcons rushed the ball a total of 55 times and added 328 yards which earned them an average of 6.0 yards per rush. Overall, they ran 63 plays for 344 yards. For the contest, the Falcons earned a total of 17 first downs and they had 5 penalties for 28 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. When it comes to their defensive performance, Air Force conceded 9 catches on 14 throws totaling 214 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.3%. Overall, they gave up 343 yards but weren't able to add any takeaways. On the ground, the Falcons conceded 129 yards on 38 attempts which is an average of 3.4 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Falcons step onto the field holding a record of 7-2 for this season. For total yardage, they sit in 3rd in the Mountain West and 28th in the country with 3,893 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 34.4 points per game, putting them 32nd in the country. As a team, they have an average of 324.1 rushing yards per contest which is 1st in the conference. The Falcons have one of the top tier defenses in the country, allowing 20.9 points per game ranking them 3rd in the Mountain West. When it comes to passing yards, the Falcons have allowed 976 yards. Opponents are completing 64.1% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.6 yards per attempt. When talking about yards on the ground, Air Force is giving up 96.9 yards per contest ranking them 2nd in the Mountain West and 11th in the country. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.4 yards per rush putting them 3rd in the MWC and 26th in the country overall. In total, they have allowed 872 rushing yards through 9 games.

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In their last contest, the New Mexico Lobos played the Nevada Wolf Pack and lost 21-10. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Lobos was Tevaka Tuioti who went 19/36 with 237 yards through the air but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. Ahmari Davis paced the team on the ground for that contest. He tore off a long run of 19 yards and he tallied 1 touchdown for the game. He ran for 80 yards via 15 carries which meant he was running for 5.3 yards per carry. Marcus Williams was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 74 yards on 6 receptions. He had an average of 12.3 yards per reception for that contest. The Lobos ran the football 29 times and added 109 yards giving them an average of 3.8 yards per rushing attempt. In the game, the Lobos earned a total of 17 first downs and they had a total of 7 penalties for 70 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. In all, they ran 65 plays which added up to 346 yards. In terms of defense, New Mexico allowed 28 catches on 40 throws totaling 305 yards, and a completion percentage of 70.0%. Against the run, the Lobos allowed 64 yards on 34 tries which means they had an average of 1.9 yards per run allowed. For this contest, they allowed 369 yards but didn't force any takeaways.

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The Lobos head into this matchup 2-7. New Mexico is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 188.2 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 43rd in the country. As a team, they have a total of 1,694 rushing yards through 9 contests, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Lobos average 380.6 yards per contest overall putting them 83rd in Division 1 and 5th in the conference. The Lobos are giving up 35.8 points per game which puts them at 11th in the Mountain West and 120th in D-1. Their pass defense is one of the least effective units in D-1. They are conceding 306.6 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Lobos currently sit at 12th in the conference. In terms of points allowed, they have given up 322 points in total. In discussing rushing yards, they are giving up 142.7 yards per contest ranking them 52nd in the country and 7th in the Mountain West. This season, they have conceded 1,284 yards rushing and 16.2 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Lobos +21

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