Air Force vs Hawaii NCAA Football Tips

Saturday, October 19, 2019

Aloha Stadium

Donald Hammond and the Air Force Falcons travel to Aloha Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Hawaii Warriors. Hawaii opens this matchup as 1.5-point dogs. The Falcons are 3-3-0 ATS and 4-2-0 when betting on the total. The Warriors are 3-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-3-0 against the spread.

The last time they took the field, the Air Force Falcons went up against the Fresno State Bulldogs and ended up getting the victory by a score of 43-24. Leading the way at QB for the Falcons was Donald Hammond III who went 2/3 with 81 yards passing and threw 1 TD. He ended the game with no interceptions. Timothy Jackson led the team on the ground during the game. He had a long run of 15 yards and he tallied 1 TD in the game. He racked up a total of 117 yards on 20 carries which meant he was running for 5.9 yards per run. Benjamin Waters was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 54 yards on 2 receptions. He earned an average of 27.0 yards per catch during the game. The Falcons ended up running the ball 67 times and added 344 yards giving them an average of 5.1 yards per attempt. In the game, the Falcons earned a total of 28 1st downs and they had 1 penalty for 5 yards which tells us that they had a disciplined week in practice. On the day, they totaled 70 plays for 425 yards. When discussing the defense, Air Force conceded 20 completions on 27 throws for a total of 209 yards, and a completion percentage of 74.1%. For the game, they conceded a total of 268 yards and earned 1 turnover. Against the run, the Falcons conceded 59 yards on 15 attempts which is an average of 3.9 yards per attempt allowed.

The Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 4-2 for this season. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation with an average of 34.3 points per contest, putting them 37th in college football. As a team, they have an average of 298.5 yards on the ground per game which is 1st in the conference. For total yards, they rank 4th in the Mountain West and 51st in college football with 2,558 yards. The Falcons have one of the average defenses in college football, allowing 23.7 points per game ranking them 4th in the MWC. When it comes to yards through the air, the Falcons have allowed 767 yards. Opponents are completing 64.5% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.3 yards per try. In terms of yards rushing, Air Force is allowing 107.8 yards per game putting them 3rd in the MWC and 24th in college football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.4 yards per carry which has them at 4th in the Mountain West and 33rd in Division 1 overall. In total, they have conceded 647 yards rushing through 6 contests.

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The last time they took the field, the Hawaii Warriors faced the Boise State Broncos and took the defeat by a score of 59-37. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Warriors was Cole McDonald who went 23/41 with 251 yards through the air and tossed 3 TD's. He ended the game with no interceptions. Cole McDonald led the team on the ground for that game. His longest run of the day went for 17 yards and he tallied 1 touchdown during the game. He racked up a total of 54 yards via 8 carries which gave him an average of 6.8 yards per run. Melquise Stovall led the team in receiving yardage by earning 114 yards on 8 catches. He had an average of 14.3 yards per reception for that game. The Warriors ended up rushing 19 times and earned a total of 113 yards which gave them an average of 5.9 yards per carry. On the day, they finished with a total of 69 plays for 438 yards. Overall, the Warriors had a total of 24 1st downs and they had 10 penalties for 88 yards which is telling in terms of discipline. When it comes to their defensive performance, Hawaii allowed 21 catches on 37 tries for a total of 315 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.8%. On the ground, the Warriors allowed 203 yards on 39 attempts which is an average of 5.2 yards per rushing attempt allowed. In the game, they allowed 518 yards and forced 1 takeaway.

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The Warriors head into this game 4-2. Hawaii hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 122.7 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 108th in D-1. As a team, they have compiled a total of 736 yards rushing through 6 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Warriors average 474.2 yards per game overall ranking them 22nd in the country and 2nd in the conference. The Warriors are allowing 32.7 points per contest ranking them 8th in the MWC and 107th in the nation. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre units in college football. They are giving up 233.2 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Warriors are currently ranked 7th in the MWC. In discussing points allowed, they have allowed 196 points in total. When talking about yards on the ground, they are allowing 180 yards per game which puts them at 90th in Division 1 and 9th in the MWC. For this season, they have given up a total of 1,080 yards on the ground and 13.2 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Warriors college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Warriors +1.5

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