Air Force at Boise State Expert College Football Picks 9/20/2019

Friday, September 20, 2019

Albertsons Stadium

Albertsons Stadium is the venue where Hank Bachmeier and the Boise State Broncos will take on the Air Force Falcons on Friday. Air Force opens this game as 9.5-point dogs. The O/U is set at 53. The Falcons are 2-0-0 ATS and 1-1-0 when betting on the total. The Broncos are 2-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-1-0 against the spread.

Key Air Force Falcons Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Boise State Broncos Injuries

09/15/19 S DeAndre Pierce Undisclosed is questionable Friday vs Air Force
09/15/19 OL Ezra Cleveland Undisclosed is questionable Friday vs Air Force
09/15/19 OL John Ojukwu Knee is questionable Friday vs Air Force
09/15/19 RB Robert Mahone Shoulder is questionable Friday vs Air Force

In their last game, the Air Force Falcons took on the Colorado Buffaloes and earned the win by a score of 30-23. Kadin Remsberg led the team on the ground for that game. His longest run of the day went for 25 yards and he ran for 1 TD for the game. He ran for 146 yards via 23 carries which gave him an average of 6.3 yards per run. Benjamin Waters led the team in receiving yardage by earning 92 yards on 2 catches. He had an average of 46.0 yards per catch for that game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Falcons was Donald Hammond III who went 7/12 with 155 yards passing and added 2 TD's. He threw 1 pick during the game. The Air Force Falcons ran the ball 52 times and added 289 yards earning them an average of 5.6 yards per run. In the game, the Falcons got 22 1st downs and they had a total of 4 penalties for 30 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. Overall, they ran 64 plays which added up to 444 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Air Force allowed 26 completions on 43 attempts for a total of 220 yards, and a completion percentage of 60.5%. Overall, they conceded 325 yards and earned 1 turnover. Against the run, the Falcons allowed 105 yards on 32 runs which means they allowed 3.3 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 2-0 for 2019. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation with an average of 39 points per contest, which has them at 29th in the nation. As a unit, they have an average of 356 rushing yards per game which is 1st in the conference. For total yards, they sit in 8th in the Mountain West and 103rd in the nation with 908 yards. The Falcons have one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing 15 points per game which has them at 2nd in the conference. In regard to yards rushing, Air Force is allowing 90 yards per contest which has them at 4th in the conference and 30th in college football. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.8 yards per carry ranking them 3rd in the Mountain West and 24th in Division 1 overall. Overall, they have allowed 180 rushing yards through 2 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Falcons have allowed 196 yards. Teams are completing 60.7% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 5.0 yards per attempt.

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In their last game, the Boise State Broncos faced the Portland State Vikings and ended up getting the win by a score of 45-10. Robert Mahone led the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 28 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He rushed for 59 yards on 6 carries which had him averaging 9.8 yards per carry. John Hightower was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 79 yards on 4 catches. He earned an average of 19.8 yards per catch for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Broncos was Hank Bachmeier who went 16/25 with 238 yards through the air and tossed 2 touchdowns. He walked away with 1 pick during the game. The Boise State Broncos ran the ball 31 times and earned 150 yards which gave them an average of 4.8 yards per rushing attempt. On the day, they totaled 68 plays which added up to 491 yards. In the game, the Broncos had a total of 22 1st downs and they had 7 penalties for 65 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. When it comes to their defensive performance, Boise State gave up 11 catches on 24 throws for a total of 133 yards, and a completion percentage of 45.8%. On the day, they conceded 244 yards and earned 0 takeaways. On the ground, the Broncos gave up 111 yards on 39 runs which means they allowed 2.8 yards per carry allowed.

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The Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 3-0. Boise State needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 123 rushing yards per game, putting them 98th in the nation. As a unit, they have a total of 369 rushing yards through 3 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Broncos average 352.7 yards per contest overall which has them at 97th in college football and 9th in the MWC. The Broncos are giving up 16 points per game which puts them at 3rd in the conference and 32nd in college football. Their pass defense is one of the elite units in D-1. They are allowing 127.7 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Broncos are currently ranked 2nd in the MWC. When talking about points allowed, they have allowed 48 points in total. In terms of rushing yards, they are allowing 71.7 yards per game ranking them 11th in the nation and 2nd in the Mountain West. For 2019, they have allowed 215 yards on the ground and 2.1 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Broncos college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Broncos -9.5

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