2018 Georgia Bulldogs Season Win Total Picks and Predictions for NCAA Football

2017 Record: 13-2

2018 Las Vegas Season Win Total: 10.5*

2018 Season Win Total Picks NCAA Football: 'Under'

Are the Bulldogs on the verge of a new SEC dynasty?

This year's Georgia squad will attempt to pick itself up off the mat after a heartbreaking overtime loss in the National Championship Game last January. It was nearly a dream season in Athens, with UGA dominating the SEC East, easily winning the SEC Championship and taking a lead into halftime against rival Alabama in the title game.

Now Georgia will be shackled with all manner of expectation heading into August. The Bulldogs will likely begin the season in the Top 5 and are on the short list of teams expected to win the national title. Right now Georgia is the No. 4 favorite to win it all, coming in at 9-to-1.

However, there is no way that this year's team will be better than last year's group. They lost seven starters from a defense that finished in the Top 10 in scoring, total defense and passing. By comparison, last year's team entered camp with 10 returning starters, four three-year starters, and all 11 guys were juniors and seniors. You don't just lose guys like Roquan Smith and Lorenzo Carter and get better.

The same goes on the offensive side of the ball. Breakout freshman quarterback Jake Fromm returns. As does four-fifths of Georgia's overwhelming offensive line. But they also lost two pro-caliber running backs in Nick Chubb and Sony Michel. They do have explosive sophomore D'Andre Swift and a stable of Top 10 recruits in the backfield and senior receiver Terry Godwin back. But Chubb and Michel will be tough to replace.

Also, the dirty little secret about Georgia's ascension last year is that the SEC sucked. It was awful. Truly, truly awful. The conference still isn't all that great this season. But you have to assume that teams like Florida and Tennessee will at least be somewhat competent under new management this year.

All that said, Georgia is legit. And even if they are not better than last year's team they do have one huge benefit this season: an easy schedule. If UGA can get past South Carolina in Week 2 - and they are preseason 12.5-point favorites - then there is nothing to stop them from being 6-0 heading into a game at LSU. Beyond that they have to worry about Florida at The Cocktail Party and they host Auburn in November. Beyond that it is a bunch of losers and pushovers.

At South Carolina, at LSU, at Florida and versus Auburn: those are the only four losable games on UGA"s schedule. An upset loss at Missouri, at Kentucky or against rival Georgia Tech would be a major stunner. So any bet on the Bulldogs is on those four tough games.

I know I'm swimming upstream in this one. But I simply don't think that Georgia is going to be as good this year. And they will have a major target on their backs. I think they will lose to one of their East rivals on the road, and I think they will slip up against one of the two SEC West powers. I'll play this one 'under'.

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