LSU at UCF Fiesta Bowl Picks and Predictions 1/1/2019

Tuesday, January 1, 2019

State Farm Stadium

Get todays College Football Odds & Lines on this game

The LSU Tigers head to State Farm Stadium to play the UCF Knights on Tuesday, January 1, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has LSU as 10 point favorites. The Tigers are 6-6-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 6-5-1. The Knights are 9-3-0 against the spread and their over/under mark is 4-8-0.

Valuable LSU Tigers Betting Trends

The LSU Tigers are 6-5-1 against the over/under

The LSU Tigers are 6-6-0 against the spread

Important UCF Knights Betting Trends

The UCF Knights are 4-8-0 against the over/under

The UCF Knights are 9-3-0 against the spread

Key LSU Tigers Injuries

12/03/18 CB Andraez Williams Personal is OUT Tuesday vs Central Florida
12/02/18 CB Kristian Fulton Foot is out indefinitely
11/23/18 DE Breiden Fehoko Biceps is out for season
10/19/18 TE Thaddeus Moss Foot is out for season
09/04/18 LB K'Lavon Chaisson Leg is out for season
08/18/18 WR Drake Davis Legal problems is out indefinitely
08/08/18 LB Tyler Taylor Suspension is out indefinitely
08/04/18 OL Ed Ingram Suspension is out indefinitely

Key UCF Knights Injuries

11/25/18 QB McKenzie Milton Knee is out indefinitely
09/19/18 LB Demetreius Mayes Suspension is out indefinitely

Useful Offensive Statistics

The LSU Tigers are 46th in the country in points scored with 382. They have run 860 plays this year for 4,672 yards, which ranks them 82nd in Division 1 in total offense. The Tigers average 5.4 yards per play, which is 93rd in the nation. As a team they have accumulated a total of 263 1st downs this season, ranking them 56th overall as an offensive unit. On the ground LSU has run for 2,096 yards as a unit, which ranks 60th in college football. They've run 508 times, averaging 4.1 yards per rush as a unit. The Tigers have been penalized on offense 70 times for 649 yards so far this year, which has them 78th in the country in penalties. Joe Burrow has passed for 2,500 yards this year. He's completed 198 throws while attempting 345 passes for a completion percentage of 57.4%. His quarterback rating this season is 127.4. He averages 7.4 adjusted yards per throw and 7.2 yards per pass attempt.

Defensive Statistics

LSU is 22nd in the country in points surrendered on defense with 251. They have given up a total of 4,153 yards on D, which is 29th in D-1. The Tigers are 23rd in yards per play allowed with 4.9. Opponent offenses have completed 211 throws on 418 attempts against the LSU Tigers defense this season, ranking them 44th and 102nd in the nation. The LSU pass defense has also surrendered a total of 2,482 yards in the air, which is 43rd overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has given up 436 attempts for 1,672 yards this season, putting them in 35th place in the country against the run. The Tigers have had 90 penalties for 802 yards on defense this year. That places them 112th in college football.

Special Teams Stats

LSU is 90th in the country in punt returns with 16. They've totaled 98 punt return yards and average 6.5 yards per return, which is 93rd in D-1. They have returned 16 kicks for 334 yards on special teams, which puts them 111th in kick return yardage. The Tigers average 22 yards per kick return and they are 100th in the nation in all-purpose yards with 5,104. The LSU Tigers have tried 29 field goals this year and made 25, which is 2nd in college football. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 86%. LSU Tigers kickers have made 100% of their extra points, going 38 for 38 this season. Their punters have accumulated 2,782 yards on 64 punts, averaging 44 yards per punt. That ranks them 26th in the NCAA in punting average.

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Knights have run for 3,329 yards as a team, which ranks 7th in college football. They've run 563 times, averaging 5.9 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The UCF Knights have been penalized on offense 85 times for 744 yards so far this season, which has them 31st in the country in penalties. They are 8th in the nation in points scored with 530. They have run 924 plays this season for 6,556 yards, which ranks them 33rd in Division 1 in total offense. UCF averages 7.1 yards per play, which is 7th in college football. As a team they have accumulated a total of 331 1st downs this year, placing them 3rd overall as an offensive unit. Darriel Mack averages 4 yards per pass attempt and 4 adjusted yards per throw. He has completed 21 passes on 43 attempts for a completion percentage of 48.8%. His quarterback rating this year is 82.8. He has thrown for 174 yards this season.

Defensive Statistics

The UCF Knights rush defense has allowed 564 attempts for 2,755 yards this year, putting them in 117th place in D-1 against the run. UCF has committed 90 penalties for 820 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 115th in college football. They are 25th in the nation in points allowed on defense with 256. They have surrendered a total of 5,110 yards on D, which is 85th in the country. The Knights are ranked 50th in yards per play allowed with 5.4. Opposing offenses have completed 208 passes on 379 attempts against the UCF defense this season, placing them 40th and 70th in Division 1. The UCF Knights pass defense has also given up a total of 2,354 yards through the air, which is 27th overall in total pass defense.

Special Teams Stats

The UCF Knights have attempted 13 field goals this season and made 11, which is 92nd in D-1. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 85%. UCF kickers have made 100% of their extra points, going 71 for 71 this year. Their punters have totaled 1,745 yards on 41 punts, averaging 43 yards per punt. That places them 42nd in Division 1 in punting average. UCF is ranked 47th in the nation in punt returns with 20. They've accumulated 190 punt return yards and average 9.5 yards per return, which is 58th in college football. They have returned 28 kicks for 484 yards on special teams, ranking 88th in kick return yardage. The UCF Knights average 18 yards per kick return and they are 6th in the country in all-purpose yards with 7,229.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Knights college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers -10

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