Fresno State at Boise State Mountain West Championship Picks and Predictions 12/1/2018
Saturday, December 1, 2018
Albertsons Stadium
Get todays College Football Odds & Lines on this game
The Fresno State Bulldogs travel to Albertsons Stadium to take on the Boise State Broncos on Saturday in the Mountain West Championship game. The opening line for this game has Boise State as 2.5 point favorites. The Bulldogs have an ATS record of 8-4-0 while their over/under record is 4-8-0. The Broncos have an over/under record of 5-7-0 and they are 7-4-1 against the spread.
Valuable Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends
The Fresno State Bulldogs are 4-8-0 against the over/under
The Fresno State Bulldogs are 8-4-0 against the spread
Important Boise State Broncos Betting Trends
The Boise State Broncos are 5-7-0 against the over/under
The Boise State Broncos are 7-4-1 against the spread
Key Fresno State Bulldogs Injuries
11/25/18 DT Jasad Haynes Leg is questionable Saturday vs Boise State
11/25/18 WR Michiah Quick Leg is questionable Saturday vs Boise State
09/13/18 OL Netane Muti Achilles is out for season
Key Boise State Broncos Injuries
11/25/18 DT Chase Hatada Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Fresno State
11/25/18 WR John Hightower Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Fresno State
11/25/18 WR Khalil Shakir Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Fresno State
11/25/18 TE Matt Pistone Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Fresno State
11/25/18 WR Octavius Evans Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Fresno State
11/25/18 S Tyreque Jones Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Fresno State
11/06/18 LB Riley Whimpey ACL is out for season
10/17/18 QB Chase Cord ACL is out for season
10/09/18 NT David Moa Calf is out for season
10/09/18 S DeAndre Pierce Spleen is out for season
Useful Offensive Statistics
The Fresno State Bulldogs are 22nd in Division 1 in points scored with 436. They have run 742 plays this season for 4,670 yards, which ranks them 35th in the nation in total offense. The Bulldogs average 6.3 yards per play, which is 25th in college football. As a team they have accumulated a total of 232 1st downs this year, placing them 90th overall as an offensive unit. On the ground Fresno State has run for 1,594 yards as a team, which ranks 106th in the country. They've run 391 times, averaging 4.1 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Bulldogs have been penalized on offense 58 times for 485 yards so far this season, which has them 106th in the nation in penalties. Marcus McMaryion has thrown for 3,283 yards this season. He has completed 258 passes on 366 attempts for a completion percentage of 70.5%. His quarterback rating this year is 165.8. He averages 9 yards per pass attempt and 9.9 adjusted yards per throw.
Defensive Statistics
Fresno State is 2nd in the nation in points allowed on defense with 162. They have surrendered a total of 3,493 yards on D, which is 14th in Division 1. The Bulldogs are ranked 21st in yards per play allowed with 4.8. Opposing offenses have completed 172 passes on 342 attempts against the Fresno State Bulldogs defense this season, placing them 7th and 40th in the country. The Fresno State pass defense has also given up a total of 2,092 yards through the air, which is 14th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has allowed 392 attempts for 1,402 yards this year, putting them in 19th place in D-1 against the run. The Bulldogs have committed 56 penalties for 466 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 9th in the nation.
Special Teams Stats
Fresno State is ranked 75th in the nation in punt returns with 16. They've accumulated 94 punt return yards and average 6.2 yards per return, which is 95th in college football. They have returned 18 kicks for 334 yards on special teams, ranking 110th in kick return yardage. The Bulldogs average 19 yards per kick return and they are 93rd in the country in all-purpose yards with 5,098. The Fresno State Bulldogs have attempted 17 field goals this season and made 10, which is 93rd in D-1. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 59%. Fresno State Bulldogs kickers have made 92% of their extra points, going 48 for 52 this year. Their punters have totaled 2,075 yards on 49 punts, averaging 42 yards per punt. That places them 46th in Division 1 in punting average.
Useful Offensive Statistics
The Broncos have run for 1,754 yards as a team, which ranks 92nd in the nation. They've run 419 times, averaging 4.2 yards per rush as a unit. The Broncos have been penalized on offense 62 times for 580 yards so far this year, which has them 92nd in the country in penalties. They are 18th in Division 1 in points scored with 444. They have run 816 plays this year for 5,116 yards, which ranks them 20th in the nation in total offense. The Boise State Broncos average 6.3 yards per play, which is 23rd in college football. As a team they have accumulated a total of 272 1st downs this season, ranking them 34th overall as an offensive unit. Brett Rypien has completed 286 throws while attempting 416 passes for a completion percentage of 68.8%. He has passed for 3,580 yards this year. He averages 9.2 adjusted yards per throw and 8.6 yards per pass attempt. His quarterback rating this season is 159.9.
Defensive Statistics
The Boise State Broncos rush defense has given up 386 attempts for 1,418 yards this season, putting them in 23rd place in the country against the run. They have had 64 penalties for 473 yards on defense this year. That places them 10th in Division 1. Boise State is 37th in college football in points surrendered on defense with 268. They have given up a total of 3,914 yards on D, which is 21st in the nation. The Broncos are 63rd in yards per play allowed with 5.7. Opponent offenses have completed 191 throws on 304 attempts against the Boise State defense this season, ranking them 25th and 8th in the country. The Boise State Broncos pass defense has also surrendered a total of 2,496 yards in the air, which is 49th overall in total pass defense.
Special Teams Stats
The Boise State Broncos have tried 16 field goals this year and made 10, which is 89th in college football. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 60%. Boise State kickers have made 98% of their extra points, going 54 for 55 this season. Their punters have accumulated 1,274 yards on 36 punts, averaging 35 yards per punt. That ranks them 128th in the NCAA in punting average. Boise State is 10th in the country in punt returns with 28. They've totaled 260 punt return yards and average 9.6 yards per return, which is 57th in D-1. They have returned 23 kicks for 504 yards on special teams, which puts them 80th in kick return yardage. The Broncos average 22 yards per kick return and they are 42nd in the nation in all-purpose yards with 5,880.
Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Broncos college football game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Broncos -2.5
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of this Weeks Free College Football Picks
Get all of this Weeks Expert College Football Picks