Baylor at Vanderbilt Texas Bowl Picks and Predictions 12/27/2018

Thursday, December 27, 2018

NRG Stadium

Get todays College Football Odds & Lines on this game

The Baylor Bears travel to NRG Stadium to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores on Thursday, December 27, 2018. The opening line for this game has Vanderbilt as 2.5 point favorites. The Bears have an ATS record of 5-6-1 while their over/under record is 6-6-0. The Commodores have an over/under record of 3-9-0 and they are 8-4-0 against the spread.

Valuable Baylor Bears Betting Trends

The Baylor Bears are 6-6-0 against the over/under

The Baylor Bears are 5-6-1 against the spread

Important Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Trends

The Vanderbilt Commodores are 3-9-0 against the over/under

The Vanderbilt Commodores are 8-4-0 against the spread

Key Baylor Bears Injuries

12/02/18 RB JaMycal Hasty Knee is questionable Thursday vs Vanderbilt
11/08/18 WR Gavin Holmes ACL is out for season
10/16/18 DE Deonte Williams Arm is out for season
09/19/18 WR Tony Nicholson Left Team is out for season
09/03/18 OL Josh Malin Knee is out indefinitely
08/31/18 DT Micheal Johnson Dismissed is out for season

Key Vanderbilt Commodores Injuries

11/10/18 LB Charles Wright Leg is out indefinitely
11/06/18 S Zaire Jones Suspension is out for season
09/28/18 WR Cam Johnson Leg is out for season
09/08/18 TE Turner Cockrell Medical is out indefinitely
08/06/18 QB Deuce Wallace Suspension is out for season

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Baylor Bears are 73rd in Division 1 in points scored with 340. They have run 906 plays this season for 5,300 yards, which ranks them 25th in the nation in total offense. The Bears average 5.8 yards per play, which is 60th in college football. As a team they have accumulated a total of 301 1st downs this year, placing them 15th overall as an offensive unit. On the ground Baylor has run for 1,914 yards as a team, which ranks 79th in the country. They've run 456 times, averaging 4.2 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Bears have been penalized on offense 94 times for 913 yards so far this season, which has them 15th in the nation in penalties. Charlie Brewer has thrown for 2,635 yards this season. He has completed 219 passes on 356 attempts for a completion percentage of 61.5%. His quarterback rating this year is 135. He averages 7.4 yards per pass attempt and 7.3 adjusted yards per throw.

Defensive Statistics

Baylor is 86th in the nation in points allowed on defense with 374. They have surrendered a total of 4,951 yards on D, which is 73rd in Division 1. The Bears are ranked 108th in yards per play allowed with 6.3. Opposing offenses have completed 229 passes on 372 attempts against the Baylor Bears defense this season, placing them 76th and 62nd in the country. The Baylor pass defense has also given up a total of 2,851 yards through the air, which is 74th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has allowed 414 attempts for 2,100 yards this year, putting them in 77th place in D-1 against the run. The Bears have committed 77 penalties for 706 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 83rd in the nation.

Special Teams Stats

Baylor is ranked 76th in the nation in punt returns with 16. They've accumulated 106 punt return yards and average 7 yards per return, which is 85th in college football. They have returned 28 kicks for 504 yards on special teams, ranking 82nd in kick return yardage. The Bears average 18 yards per kick return and they are 48th in the country in all-purpose yards with 5,910. The Baylor Bears have attempted 22 field goals this season and made 14, which is 48th in D-1. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 64%. Baylor Bears kickers have made 90% of their extra points, going 37 for 41 this year. Their punters have totaled 2,164 yards on 52 punts, averaging 42 yards per punt. That places them 44th in Division 1 in punting average.

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Commodores have run for 1,892 yards as a team, which ranks 83rd in the nation. They've run 409 times, averaging 4.6 yards per rush as a unit. The Commodores have been penalized on offense 68 times for 542 yards so far this year, which has them 82nd in the country in penalties. They are 76th in Division 1 in points scored with 332. They have run 787 plays this year for 4,774 yards, which ranks them 58th in the nation in total offense. The Vanderbilt Commodores average 6.1 yards per play, which is 48th in college football. As a team they have accumulated a total of 253 1st downs this season, ranking them 65th overall as an offensive unit. Kyle Shurmur has completed 236 throws while attempting 369 passes for a completion percentage of 64%. He has passed for 2,844 yards this year. He averages 8.2 adjusted yards per throw and 7.7 yards per pass attempt. His quarterback rating this season is 146.

Defensive Statistics

The Vanderbilt Commodores rush defense has given up 464 attempts for 2,248 yards this season, putting them in 87th place in the country against the run. They have had 79 penalties for 682 yards on defense this year. That places them 78th in Division 1. Vanderbilt is 49th in college football in points surrendered on defense with 301. They have given up a total of 5,038 yards on D, which is 80th in the nation. The Commodores are 87th in yards per play allowed with 5.9. Opponent offenses have completed 236 throws on 383 attempts against the Vanderbilt defense this season, ranking them 86th and 74th in the country. The Vanderbilt Commodores pass defense has also surrendered a total of 2,791 yards in the air, which is 69th overall in total pass defense.

Special Teams Stats

The Vanderbilt Commodores have tried 20 field goals this year and made 12, which is 80th in college football. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 60%. Vanderbilt kickers have made 100% of their extra points, going 42 for 42 this season. Their punters have accumulated 2,209 yards on 49 punts, averaging 45 yards per punt. That ranks them 10th in the NCAA in punting average. Vanderbilt is 86th in the country in punt returns with 16. They've totaled 176 punt return yards and average 11 yards per return, which is 39th in D-1. They have returned 29 kicks for 574 yards on special teams, which puts them 68th in kick return yardage. The Commodores average 20 yards per kick return and they are 73rd in the nation in all-purpose yards with 5,524.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Commodores college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Commodores -2.5

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