Virginia at Navy Military Bowl Picks and Predictions 12/28/2017

Thursday, December 28, 2017

Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

Get todays College Football Odds & Lines on this game

The Navy Midshipmen host the Virginia Cavaliers at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium on Thursday, December 28, 2017. The opening line for this game has Navy as 3.5 point favorites. The Midshipmen have an over/under record of 4-7-0 and they are 5-4-2 against the spread. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 6-6-0 while their over/under record is 5-7-0.

Valuable Virginia Cavaliers Betting Trends

The Virginia Cavaliers are 5-7-0 against the over/under

The Virginia Cavaliers are 6-6-0 against the spread

Important Navy Midshipmen Betting Trends

The Navy Midshipmen are 4-7-0 against the over/under

The Navy Midshipmen are 5-4-2 against the spread

Key Virginia Cavaliers Injuries

12/04/17 LB Micah Kiser Thumb is probable Thursday vs Navy
10/09/17 WR Ben Hogg Undisclosed out for season
09/04/17 CB Tim Harris Wrist out for season

Key Navy Midshipmen Injuries

12/03/17 DE Anthony Villalobos Ankle is "?" Saturday vs Army
12/03/17 CB Elijah Merchant Undisclosed injured last game, is "?" Saturday vs Army
12/03/17 LB Hudson Sullivan Foot is "?" Saturday vs Army
12/03/17 LB Jerry Thompson Arm is out for season
12/03/17 RB Keoni-Kordell Mahekau Concussion is "?" Saturday vs Army
12/03/17 RB Micah Farrar Undisclosed is "?" Saturday vs Army
12/03/17 LB Taylor Heflin Targeting Suspension is OUT 1st Half Saturday vs Army
12/03/17 CB Tyris Wooten Undisclosed injured last game, is "?" Saturday vs Army
10/06/17 RB Tre Walker Knee out for season
09/09/17 P Erik Harris Suspension out indefinitely

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Virginia Cavaliers have run for 1,186 yards as a team, which ranks 125th in college football. They've run 371 times, averaging 3.2 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Cavaliers have been penalized on offense 59 times for 542 yards so far this season, which has them 103rd in the country in penalties. They are 102nd in the nation in points scored with 286. They have run 854 plays this season for 4,274 yards, which ranks them 43rd in Division 1 in total offense. The Cavaliers average 5 yards per play, which is 114th in college football. As a team they have accumulated a total of 230 1st downs this year, placing them 94th overall as an offensive unit. Kurt Benkert averages 6.5 yards per pass attempt and 6.8 adjusted yards per throw. He has completed 282 passes on 473 attempts for a completion percentage of 59.6%. His quarterback rating this year is 128.1. He has thrown for 3,062 yards this season.

Defensive Statistics

The Cavaliers rush defense has allowed 481 attempts for 2,149 yards this year, putting them in 77th place in D-1 against the run. Virginia has committed 64 penalties for 564 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 40th in college football. They are 63rd in the nation in points allowed on defense with 320. They have surrendered a total of 4,304 yards on D, which is 37th in the country. The Cavaliers are ranked 51st in yards per play allowed with 5.4. Opposing offenses have completed 172 passes on 322 attempts against the Virginia Cavaliers defense this season, placing them 11th and 15th in Division 1. The Virginia pass defense has also given up a total of 2,155 yards through the air, which is 15th overall in total pass defense.

Special Teams Stats

The Virginia Cavaliers have attempted 11 field goals this season and made 8, which is 118th in D-1. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 73%. Virginia Cavaliers kickers have made 100% of their extra points, going 36 for 36 this year. Their punters have totaled 3,118 yards on 72 punts, averaging 43 yards per punt. That places them 29th in Division 1 in punting average. Virginia is ranked 37th in the nation in punt returns with 22. They've accumulated 100 punt return yards and average 4.8 yards per return, which is 108th in college football. They have returned 34 kicks for 899 yards on special teams, ranking 23rd in kick return yardage. The Cavaliers average 27 yards per kick return and they are 95th in the country in all-purpose yards with 5,273.

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Midshipmen are 71st in the country in points scored with 334. They have run 798 plays this year for 4,825 yards, which ranks them 127th in Division 1 in total offense. The Navy Midshipmen average 6.1 yards per play, which is 42nd in the nation. As a team they have accumulated a total of 239 1st downs this season, ranking them 79th overall as an offensive unit. On the ground Navy has run for 3,823 yards as a unit, which ranks 3rd in college football. They've run 700 times, averaging 5.5 yards per rush as a unit. Navy has been penalized on offense 46 times for 479 yards so far this year, which has them 125th in the country in penalties. Zach Abey has passed for 803 yards this year. He's completed 30 throws while attempting 70 passes for a completion percentage of 42.9%. His quarterback rating this season is 152.2. He averages 9 adjusted yards per throw and 11.5 yards per pass attempt.

Defensive Statistics

Navy is 65th in the country in points surrendered on defense with 321. They have given up a total of 4,398 yards on D, which is 46th in D-1. The Midshipmen are 116th in yards per play allowed with 6.5. Opponent offenses have completed 187 throws on 296 attempts against the Navy defense this season, ranking them 23rd and 8th in the nation. The Navy Midshipmen pass defense has also surrendered a total of 2,640 yards in the air, which is 58th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has given up 380 attempts for 1,758 yards this season, putting them in 45th place in the country against the run. The Midshipmen have had 61 penalties for 473 yards on defense this year. That places them 11th in college football.

Special Teams Stats

Navy is 121st in the country in punt returns with 7. They've totaled 51 punt return yards and average 7.3 yards per return, which is 64th in D-1. They have returned 34 kicks for 667 yards on special teams, which puts them 73rd in kick return yardage. The Navy Midshipmen average 20 yards per kick return and they are 76th in the nation in all-purpose yards with 5,542. The Midshipmen have tried 14 field goals this year and made 8, which is 119th in college football. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 57%. Navy kickers have made 95% of their extra points, going 40 for 42 this season. Their punters have accumulated 1,496 yards on 36 punts, averaging 42 yards per punt. That ranks them 70th in the NCAA in punting average.

Who will win tonight's Cavaliers/Midshipmen college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cavaliers +3.5

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