UMass at Mississippi State College Football Picks & Predictions 11/4/2017

Saturday, November 4, 2017

Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field

Get todays College Football Odds & Lines on this game

The Mississippi State Bulldogs host the UMass Minutemen at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field on Saturday, November 4, 2017. The opening line for this game has Mississippi State as 28 point favorites. The Bulldogs have an over/under record of 2-6-0 and they are 6-2-0 against the spread. The Minutemen have an ATS record of 4-4-0 while their over/under record is 5-3-0.

Valuable UMass Minutemen Betting Trends

The UMass Minutemen are 5-3-0 against the over/under

The UMass Minutemen are 4-4-0 against the spread

Important Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 2-6-0 against the over/under

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 6-2-0 against the spread

Key UMass Minutemen Injuries

10/29/17 QB Andrew Ford Neck left last game, is "?" Saturday vs. Mississippi St
08/21/17 LB Shane Huber Knee out for season

Key Mississippi State Bulldogs Injuries

10/29/17 WR Gabe Myles Undisclosed is "?" Saturday vs. Massachusetts
10/29/17 OL Martinas Rankin Ankle is "?" Saturday vs. Massachusetts
10/29/17 OL Michael Story Knee is "?" Saturday vs. Massachusetts
10/10/17 WR Malik Dear Knee out for season
09/04/17 DL Chauncey Rivers Redshirt out for season

Useful Offensive Statistics

The UMass Minutemen have run for 1,174 yards as a team, which ranks 88th in college football. They've run 293 times, averaging 4 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Minutemen have been penalized on offense 52 times for 441 yards so far this season, which has them 58th in the country in penalties. They are 55th in the nation in points scored with 239. They have run 589 plays this season for 3,544 yards, which ranks them 20th in Division 1 in total offense. The Minutemen average 6 yards per play, which is 50th in college football. As a team they have accumulated a total of 181 1st downs this year, placing them 39th overall as an offensive unit. Andrew Ford averages 8.5 yards per pass attempt and 9 adjusted yards per throw. He has completed 151 passes on 235 attempts for a completion percentage of 64.3%. His quarterback rating this year is 151.1. He has thrown for 1,990 yards this season.

Defensive Statistics

The Minutemen rush defense has allowed 331 attempts for 1,546 yards this year, putting them in 95th place in D-1 against the run. UMass has committed 61 penalties for 600 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 117th in college football. They are 86th in the nation in points allowed on defense with 244. They have surrendered a total of 3,107 yards on D, which is 65th in the country. The Minutemen are ranked 68th in yards per play allowed with 5.6. Opposing offenses have completed 123 passes on 226 attempts against the UMass Minutemen defense this season, placing them 21st and 31st in Division 1. The UMass pass defense has also given up a total of 1,561 yards through the air, which is 34th overall in total pass defense.

Special Teams Stats

The UMass Minutemen have attempted 9 field goals this season and made 5, which is 113th in D-1. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 56%. UMass Minutemen kickers have made 93% of their extra points, going 28 for 30 this year. Their punters have totaled 1,836 yards on 44 punts, averaging 42 yards per punt. That places them 71st in Division 1 in punting average. UMass is ranked 43rd in the nation in punt returns with 14. They've accumulated 57 punt return yards and average 4.1 yards per return, which is 108th in college football. They have returned 36 kicks for 711 yards on special teams, ranking 10th in kick return yardage. The Minutemen average 20 yards per kick return and they are 25th in the country in all-purpose yards with 4,312.

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Bulldogs are 38th in the country in points scored with 271. They have run 603 plays this year for 3,466 yards, which ranks them 110th in Division 1 in total offense. The Mississippi State Bulldogs average 5.7 yards per play, which is 62nd in the nation. As a team they have accumulated a total of 187 1st downs this season, ranking them 24th overall as an offensive unit. On the ground Mississippi State has run for 2,080 yards as a unit, which ranks 14th in college football. They've run 375 times, averaging 5.5 yards per rush as a unit. Mississippi State has been penalized on offense 47 times for 382 yards so far this year, which has them 79th in the country in penalties. Nick Fitzgerald has passed for 1,320 yards this year. He's completed 119 throws while attempting 209 passes for a completion percentage of 56.9%. His quarterback rating this season is 122.9. He averages 5.8 adjusted yards per throw and 6.3 yards per pass attempt.

Defensive Statistics

Mississippi State is 16th in the country in points surrendered on defense with 139. They have given up a total of 2,254 yards on D, which is 7th in D-1. The Bulldogs are 21st in yards per play allowed with 4.8. Opponent offenses have completed 99 throws on 196 attempts against the Mississippi State defense this season, ranking them 6th and 8th in the nation. The Mississippi State Bulldogs pass defense has also surrendered a total of 1,264 yards in the air, which is 5th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has given up 273 attempts for 990 yards this season, putting them in 24th place in the country against the run. The Bulldogs have had 31 penalties for 313 yards on defense this year. That places them 15th in college football.

Special Teams Stats

Mississippi State is 51st in the country in punt returns with 13. They've totaled 105 punt return yards and average 8.1 yards per return, which is 56th in D-1. They have returned 10 kicks for 228 yards on special teams, which puts them 123rd in kick return yardage. The Mississippi State Bulldogs average 23 yards per kick return and they are 66th in the nation in all-purpose yards with 3,799. The Bulldogs have tried 10 field goals this year and made 8, which is 72nd in college football. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 80%. Mississippi State kickers have made 94% of their extra points, going 33 for 35 this season. Their punters have accumulated 1,439 yards on 34 punts, averaging 42 yards per punt. That ranks them 58th in the NCAA in punting average.

Who will win tonight's Minutemen/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -28

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