Air Force at New Mexico College Football Picks & Predictions 9/30/2017

Saturday, September 30, 2017

Dreamstyle Stadium

Get todays College Football Odds & Lines on this game

The Air Force Falcons head to Dreamstyle Stadium to play the New Mexico Lobos on Saturday, September 30, 2017. The opening line for this matchup has Air Force as 1 point favorites. The total has been set at 50.5. The Falcons are 2-1-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 2-1-0. The Lobos are 2-2-0 against the spread and their over/under mark is 0-4-0.

Valuable Air Force Falcons Betting Trends

The Air Force Falcons are 2-1-0 against the over/under

The Air Force Falcons are 2-1-0 against the spread

Important New Mexico Lobos Betting Trends

The New Mexico Lobos are 0-4-0 against the over/under

The New Mexico Lobos are 2-2-0 against the spread

Key Air Force Falcons Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key New Mexico Lobos Injuries

09/25/17 3rd QB Coltin Gerhart Shoulder probable Saturday vs. Air Force
09/25/17 TE Dyson Chmura Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Air Force
09/24/17 OL Charlie Grammel Concussion "?" Saturday vs. Air Force
09/24/17 QB Lamar Jordan Concussion "?" Saturday vs. Air Force
09/24/17 2nd QB Tevaka Tuioti Concussion "?" Saturday vs. Air Force
09/18/17 OL Kameron Smith Personal has left team
09/18/17 OL Nick Iacovangelo None has left team
09/08/17 WR Emmanuel Harris Knee out for season

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Air Force Falcons are 86th in the country in points scored with 99. They have run 205 plays this year for 1,132 yards, which ranks them 125th in Division 1 in total offense. The Falcons average 5.5 yards per play, which is 86th in the nation. As a team they have accumulated a total of 61 1st downs this season, ranking them 109th overall as an offensive unit. On the ground Air Force has run for 845 yards as a unit, which ranks 30th in college football. They've run 176 times, averaging 4.8 yards per rush as a unit. The Falcons have been penalized on offense 13 times for 134 yards so far this year, which has them 124th in the country in penalties. Arion Worthman has passed for 238 yards this year. He's completed 10 throws while attempting 24 passes for a completion percentage of 41.7%. His quarterback rating this season is 157.9. He averages 10.5 adjusted yards per throw and 9.9 yards per pass attempt.

Defensive Statistics

Air Force is 21st in the country in points surrendered on defense with 57. They have given up a total of 821 yards on D, which is 11th in D-1. The Falcons are 34th in yards per play allowed with 4.9. Opponent offenses have completed 34 throws on 58 attempts against the Air Force Falcons defense this season, ranking them 4th and 2nd in the nation. The Air Force pass defense has also surrendered a total of 389 yards in the air, which is 5th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has given up 111 attempts for 432 yards this season, putting them in 37th place in the country against the run. The Falcons have had 9 penalties for 92 yards on defense this year. That places them 3rd in college football.

Special Teams Stats

Air Force is 90th in the country in punt returns with 5. They've totaled 24 punt return yards and average 4.8 yards per return, which is 81st in D-1. They have returned 6 kicks for 94 yards on special teams, which puts them 122nd in kick return yardage. The Falcons average 16 yards per kick return and they are 121st in the nation in all-purpose yards with 1,250. The Air Force Falcons have tried 4 field goals this year and made 3, which is 85th in college football. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 75%. Air Force Falcons kickers have made 91% of their extra points, going 10 for 11 this season. Their punters have accumulated 601 yards on 14 punts, averaging 43 yards per punt. That ranks them 51st in the NCAA in punting average.

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Lobos have run for 971 yards as a team, which ranks 15th in college football. They've run 187 times, averaging 5.2 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The New Mexico Lobos have been penalized on offense 24 times for 187 yards so far this season, which has them 58th in the country in penalties. They are 91st in the nation in points scored with 96. They have run 273 plays this season for 1,634 yards, which ranks them 101st in Division 1 in total offense. New Mexico averages 6 yards per play, which is 53rd in college football. As a team they have accumulated a total of 85 1st downs this year, placing them 47th overall as an offensive unit. Coltin Gerhart averages 6.5 yards per pass attempt and 3.9 adjusted yards per throw. He has completed 16 passes on 27 attempts for a completion percentage of 59.3%. His quarterback rating this year is 111.1. He has thrown for 175 yards this season.

Defensive Statistics

The New Mexico Lobos rush defense has allowed 110 attempts for 389 yards this year, putting them in 27th place in D-1 against the run. New Mexico has committed 30 penalties for 262 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 102nd in college football. They are 60th in the nation in points allowed on defense with 85. They have surrendered a total of 1,332 yards on D, which is 56th in the country. The Lobos are ranked 40th in yards per play allowed with 5. Opposing offenses have completed 97 passes on 158 attempts against the New Mexico defense this season, placing them 124th and 125th in Division 1. The New Mexico Lobos pass defense has also given up a total of 943 yards through the air, which is 85th overall in total pass defense.

Special Teams Stats

The New Mexico Lobos have attempted 7 field goals this season and made 6, which is 30th in D-1. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 86%. New Mexico kickers have made 100% of their extra points, going 8 for 8 this year. Their punters have totaled 734 yards on 16 punts, averaging 46 yards per punt. That places them 15th in Division 1 in punting average. New Mexico is ranked 79th in the nation in punt returns with 5. They've accumulated 24 punt return yards and average 4.8 yards per return, which is 84th in college football. They have returned 9 kicks for 170 yards on special teams, ranking 81st in kick return yardage. The New Mexico Lobos average 19 yards per kick return and they are 63rd in the country in all-purpose yards with 1,828.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Lobos +1

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