Saturday, November 19, 2016

The Rose Bowl

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The USC Trojans take on the UCLA Bruins on Saturday, November 19, 2016 at The Rose Bowl. The opening line for this game has USC as 10.5 point favorites. This season the Trojans are 6-4-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 2-8-0. The Bruins have an over/under record of 4-5-1 and they are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Sam Darnold finished with 309 yards through the air for USC last week. He completed 28 passes out of 40 attempts for a 70% completion percentage. The Trojans were led in rushing by Ronald Jones II, who finished with 171 yards on 20 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 9 yards per carry. Deontay Burnett was the team leader in receiving with a total of 87 yards and 7 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 12 yards per reception. As a team in that game USC got a total of 28 first downs. Of those first downs, 14 came on the ground while 12 came through the air. They ran 81 total plays for 579 yards for the game. The Trojans ran for 270 yards on 40 attempts.

Mike Fafaul finished with 185 yards passing for UCLA last week. He went 15 for 29, resulting in a 52% completion percentage. The Bruins were led on the ground by Soso Jamabo, who finished with 66 yards on 23 carries. He ended the game with an average of 3 yards per rush. Darren Andrews led the team in receiving with 88 yards and 6 catches. He finished the game with an average of 15 yards per reception. UCLA had 14 first downs total. 3 came from running the ball and 7 came from a pass. They ran 59 total plays for 210 yards for the contest. The Bruins ran for 25 yards on 30 carries as a team.

USC scores 31.4 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 52nd in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 22.7 passes on 34.2 attempts for a 66.4 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 266.8 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 34th in college football. The Trojans run for an average of 201.1 yards per game on 37.6 attempts for an average of 5.3 yards per carry. That ranks them 38th in the nation. They also run 71.8 plays per contest and average 6.5 yards per play for an average of 467.9 yards per game, ranking their offense 30th overall this season. The Trojans average 23.5 first downs per game which ranks them 31st in the country. They accumulate 68.4 penalty yards per game via 7.5 penalties, which ranks 14th in the nation.

USC allows 224.6 passing yards per game, ranking 59th in D-1, and they allow 22.5 points per contest on defense, which ranks 32nd. They give up 19.6 completions on 34 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 57.6. The Trojans allow 138.8 rushing yards per game on 35.8 carries for an average of 3.9 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 36th in the country. USC allows 363.4 total yards per game including 5.2 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 35th in terms of yards per game. They force 1.5 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 4.8 penalties for 42.4 yards per game, ranking them 13th among D-1 teams.

UCLA averages 27.5 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 73rd in the country. In the passing department, they complete 24.5 passes per game on 43.2 attempts for a 56.7 percent completion percentage. They throw for 316 yards through the air per game, ranking them 14th in Division 1. The Bruins run for an average of 87.2 yards per game on 30.2 attempts for an average of 2.9 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 127th on the ground. They also run 73.4 plays per game and average 5.5 yards per play for a total of 403.2 yards per game, ranking them 72nd in the country on offense. The Bruins get an average of 21.6 first downs per game, which ranks 60th in the nation. They average 57.7 penalty yards per game via 6.5 penalties, ranking them 53rd in college football.

UCLA allows an average of 195.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 25th in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 25.8 points per contest, which has them ranked 50th in the nation. They give up 18.8 completions on 35.6 attempts for a completion percentage of 52.8 per game. The Bruins allow 160.3 rushing yards per contest on 39.1 carries for a 4.1 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 56th in the country. UCLA allows 356.1 total yards per game for an average of 4.8 yards per play, which ranks 26th in D-1. They force 2.1 turnovers per contest and 7.2 penalties for 70.1 yards in each contest, ranking 119th in the nation.

USC Betting Trends

USC is 2-8-0 against the over/under this season

USC has an ATS record of 6-4-0 this season

UCLA Betting Trends

UCLA is 4-5-1 against the over/under this season

UCLA has an ATS record of 4-6-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

USC

11/13/16 CB Johathan Lockett Hip "?" Saturday vs. UCLA
10/27/16 DT Kenny Bigelow Knee out for season
10/24/16 DE Jabari Ruffin Suspension out indefinitely
10/18/16 WR Steven Mitchell Knee out for season
09/28/16 DT Noah Jefferson Academics out indefinitely
09/21/16 T E.J. Price Personal out indefinitely
09/21/16 RB Vavae Malepeai Shoulder out indefinitely
09/18/16 DE Don Hill Suspension out indefinitely
09/14/16 DE Osa Masina Dismissed has left team
09/09/16 C Toa Lobendahn Knee out for season

UCLA

11/13/16 OL Andre James Concussion "?" Saturday vs. USC
11/08/16 OL Kolton Miller Ankle out indefinitely
10/30/16 QB Josh Rosen Shoulder out for season
09/20/16 LB Mique Juarez Personal out indefinitely

Tony's Pick: Take UCLA +10.5

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