Saturday, November 5, 2016

McLane Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The TCU Horned Frogs take on the Baylor Bears on Saturday, November 5, 2016 at McLane Stadium. The opening line for this game has Baylor as 9 point favorites. This season the Horned Frogs are 1-7-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 4-4-0. The Bears have an over/under record of 1-6-0 and they are 2-5-0 against the spread.

Kenny Hill finished with 160 yards through the air for TCU last week. He completed 16 passes out of 29 attempts for a 55% completion percentage. The Horned Frogs were led in rushing by Sewo Olonilua, who finished with 48 yards on 7 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 7 yards per carry. Taj Williams was the team leader in receiving with a total of 52 yards and 4 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 13 yards per reception. As a team in that game TCU got a total of 25 first downs. Of those first downs, 11 came on the ground while 14 came through the air. They ran 86 total plays for 418 yards for the game. The Horned Frogs ran for 172 yards on 39 attempts.

Seth Russell finished with 226 yards passing for Baylor last week. He went 14 for 28, resulting in a 50% completion percentage. The Bears were led on the ground by Terence Williams, who finished with 180 yards on 24 carries. He ended the game with an average of 8 yards per rush. KD Cannon led the team in receiving with 86 yards and 5 catches. He finished the game with an average of 17 yards per reception. Baylor had 31 first downs total. 22 came from running the ball and 9 came from a pass. They ran 96 total plays for 624 yards for the contest. The Bears ran for 398 yards on 68 carries as a team.

TCU scores 34.4 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 36th in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 25.8 passes on 43 attempts for a 59.9 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 321.1 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 16th in college football. The Horned Frogs run for an average of 166.6 yards per game on 33.5 attempts for an average of 5 yards per carry. That ranks them 75th in the nation. They also run 76.5 plays per contest and average 6.4 yards per play for an average of 487.8 yards per game, ranking their offense 25th overall this season. The Horned Frogs average 23.8 first downs per game which ranks them 28th in the country. They accumulate 71.3 penalty yards per game via 8 penalties, which ranks 11th in the nation.

TCU allows 259.5 passing yards per game, ranking 98th in D-1, and they allow 30.1 points per contest on defense, which ranks 86th. They give up 21 completions on 33.5 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 62.7. The Horned Frogs allow 150.1 rushing yards per game on 43.4 carries for an average of 3.5 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 48th in the country. TCU allows 409.6 total yards per game including 5.3 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 67th in terms of yards per game. They force 1.4 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 5.1 penalties for 39.5 yards per game, ranking them 6th among D-1 teams.

Baylor averages 42.3 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 11th in the country. In the passing department, they complete 17.9 passes per game on 32.4 attempts for a 55.1 percent completion percentage. They throw for 260.6 yards through the air per game, ranking them 37th in Division 1. The Bears run for an average of 299.3 yards per game on 52.6 attempts for an average of 5.7 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 4th on the ground. They also run 85 plays per game and average 6.6 yards per play for a total of 559.9 yards per game, ranking them 4th in the country on offense. The Bears get an average of 26.3 first downs per game, which ranks 8th in the nation. They average 72.1 penalty yards per game via 9.4 penalties, ranking them 10th in college football.

Baylor allows an average of 179.4 passing yards per game, which ranks 15th in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 19.7 points per contest, which has them ranked 20th in the nation. They give up 14.3 completions on 29.6 attempts for a completion percentage of 48.3 per game. The Bears allow 173.6 rushing yards per contest on 46.7 carries for a 3.7 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 69th in the country. Baylor allows 353 total yards per game for an average of 4.6 yards per play, which ranks 27th in D-1. They force 2.3 turnovers per contest and 5 penalties for 38.3 yards in each contest, ranking 5th in the nation.

TCU Betting Trends

TCU is 4-4-0 against the over/under this season

TCU has an ATS record of 1-7-0 this season

Baylor Betting Trends

Baylor is 1-6-0 against the over/under this season

Baylor has an ATS record of 2-5-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

TCU

10/30/16 WR KaVontae Turpin Knee "?" Saturday vs. Baylor
10/30/16 S Kenny Iloka Knee "?" Saturday vs. Baylor
10/30/16 T Trey Elliott Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Baylor
09/21/16 OT Bryson Henderson Undisclosed out for season
09/21/16 LB Montrel Wilson Leg out indefinitely
09/21/16 RB Shaun Nixon Undisclosed out for season
08/29/16 PK Jonathan Song Toe out indefinitely

Baylor

10/31/16 RB Shock Linwood Hamstring injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. TCU
10/30/16 DT Bravvion Roy Elbow "?" Saturday vs. TCU
10/30/16 PK Chris Callahan Suspension "?" Saturday vs. TCU
10/30/16 CB Grayland Arnold Head injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. TCU
10/30/16 CB Jordan Tolbert Suspension "?" Saturday vs. TCU
10/12/16 DB Eric Ogor Suspension out for season
08/19/16 DL Byron Bonds Knee out indefinitely
08/19/16 RB Johnny Jefferson Personal out for season

Guy's Pick: Take TCU

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn