Saturday, November 12, 2016

Mackay Stadium

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The San Diego State Aztecs take on the Nevada Wolf Pack on Saturday, November 12, 2016 at Mackay Stadium. The opening line for this game has San Diego State as 20.5 point favorites. This season the Aztecs are 5-3-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 5-4-0. The Wolf Pack have an over/under record of 3-6-0 and they are 2-7-0 against the spread.

Christian Chapman finished with 76 yards through the air for San Diego State last week. He completed 7 passes out of 15 attempts for a 47% completion percentage. The Aztecs were led in rushing by Donnel Pumphrey, who finished with 112 yards on 21 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 5 yards per carry. Juwan Washington was the team leader in receiving with a total of 24 yards and 2 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 12 yards per reception. As a team in that game San Diego State got a total of 19 first downs. Of those first downs, 14 came on the ground while 4 came through the air. They ran 58 total plays for 393 yards for the game. The Aztecs ran for 296 yards on 42 attempts.

Ty Gangi finished with 301 yards passing for Nevada last week. He went 19 for 34, resulting in a 56% completion percentage. The Wolf Pack were led on the ground by James Butler, who finished with 94 yards on 16 carries. He ended the game with an average of 6 yards per rush. Wyatt Demps led the team in receiving with 92 yards and 6 catches. He finished the game with an average of 15 yards per reception. Nevada had 19 first downs total. 7 came from running the ball and 11 came from a pass. They ran 57 total plays for 409 yards for the contest. The Wolf Pack ran for 108 yards on 23 carries as a team.

San Diego State scores 35.8 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 31st in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 11.3 passes on 18.4 attempts for a 61.4 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 141.1 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 123rd in college football. The Aztecs run for an average of 285 yards per game on 48 attempts for an average of 5.9 yards per carry. That ranks them 6th in the nation. They also run 66.4 plays per contest and average 6.4 yards per play for an average of 426.1 yards per game, ranking their offense 49th overall this season. The Aztecs average 21.2 first downs per game which ranks them 61st in the country. They accumulate 67.1 penalty yards per game via 7.7 penalties, which ranks 19th in the nation.

San Diego State allows 188.1 passing yards per game, ranking 16th in D-1, and they allow 15.1 points per contest on defense, which ranks 7th. They give up 17.1 completions on 33 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 51.9. The Aztecs allow 86 rushing yards per game on 30.6 carries for an average of 2.8 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 2nd in the country. San Diego State allows 274.1 total yards per game including 4.3 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 4th in terms of yards per game. They force 2 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 6.1 penalties for 57 yards per game, ranking them 85th among D-1 teams.

Nevada averages 22.9 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 109th in the country. In the passing department, they complete 17.9 passes per game on 29.8 attempts for a 60.1 percent completion percentage. They throw for 211.3 yards through the air per game, ranking them 88th in Division 1. The Wolf Pack run for an average of 162.9 yards per game on 37.9 attempts for an average of 4.3 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 83rd on the ground. They also run 67.7 plays per game and average 5.5 yards per play for a total of 374.2 yards per game, ranking them 98th in the country on offense. The Wolf Pack get an average of 21.6 first downs per game, which ranks 57th in the nation. They average 48.7 penalty yards per game via 5.3 penalties, ranking them 89th in college football.

Nevada allows an average of 166.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 5th in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 28.3 points per contest, which has them ranked 70th in the nation. They give up 12.3 completions on 20.1 attempts for a completion percentage of 61.3 per game. The Wolf Pack allow 281.2 rushing yards per contest on 50.8 carries for a 5.5 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 127th in the country. Nevada allows 447.6 total yards per game for an average of 6.3 yards per play, which ranks 102nd in D-1. They force 1.2 turnovers per contest and 6.3 penalties for 60.1 yards in each contest, ranking 92nd in the nation.

San Diego State Betting Trends

San Diego State is 5-4-0 against the over/under this season

San Diego State has an ATS record of 5-3-1 this season

Nevada Betting Trends

Nevada is 3-6-0 against the over/under this season

Nevada has an ATS record of 2-7-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

San Diego State

10/27/16 TE Kahale Warring Knee out for season
10/27/16 RB Marcus Stamps Knee out for season
10/23/16 CB Billy Vaughn, Jr. Suspension out indefinitely
10/23/16 CB Derek Babiash Suspension out indefinitely
10/23/16 DL Fred Melifonwu Suspension out indefinitely
10/10/16 S Na'im McGee Foot out for season
10/10/16 DL Randy Ricks Toe out for season
10/04/16 C Turner Bernard Knee out for season
08/29/16 OL Joe Salcedo Knee out for season
08/29/16 OL Ryan Pope Lung out indefinitely

Nevada

11/06/16 LB Jake Lacaden Concussion "?" Saturday vs. San Diego State
11/06/16 LB Travis Wilson Foot "?" Saturday vs. San Diego State
11/05/16 DB Riley Brand Concussion out for season
11/03/16 DB Randy Uzoma Shoulder out for season
10/30/16 QB Tyler Stewart Shoulder out for season
10/18/16 RB Akeel Lynch Concussion out for season
09/29/16 WR Brayden Sanchez Foot out for season
09/29/16 WR Victor Gonzalez Shoulder out for season
09/29/16 DL Salesa Faraimo Pectoral out indefinitely
09/13/16 LB Lucas Weber Knee out for season
08/31/16 LB Colton Concellos Knee out for season
08/31/16 DE Kori Collins Foot expected to miss 3-4 weeks
08/31/16 DB Tyler Crandall Knee out for season
08/29/16 TE Evan Faunce Knee out indefinitely

Tony's Pick: Take Nevada +20.5

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