Saturday, November 12, 2016

Ross Ade Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The Northwestern Wildcats take on the Purdue Boilermakers on Saturday, November 12, 2016 at Ross Ade Stadium. The opening line for this game has Northwestern as 10.5 point favorites. This season the Wildcats are 5-4-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 2-7-0. The Boilermakers have an over/under record of 7-2-0 and they are 4-5-0 against the spread.

Clayton Thorson finished with 277 yards through the air for Northwestern last week. He completed 28 passes out of 52 attempts for a 54% completion percentage. The Wildcats were led in rushing by Justin Jackson, who finished with 42 yards on 13 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 3 yards per carry. Austin Carr was the team leader in receiving with a total of 132 yards and 12 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 11 yards per reception. As a team in that game Northwestern got a total of 14 first downs. Of those first downs, 2 came on the ground while 12 came through the air. They ran 71 total plays for 316 yards for the game. The Wildcats ran for 39 yards on 19 attempts.

David Blough finished with 391 yards passing for Purdue last week. He went 29 for 48, resulting in a 60% completion percentage. The Boilermakers were led on the ground by Markell Jones, who finished with 50 yards on 13 carries. He ended the game with an average of 4 yards per rush. Cameron Posey led the team in receiving with 128 yards and 7 catches. He finished the game with an average of 18 yards per reception. Purdue had 19 first downs total. 4 came from running the ball and 13 came from a pass. They ran 77 total plays for 414 yards for the contest. The Boilermakers ran for 23 yards on 28 carries as a team.

Northwestern scores 23.1 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 107th in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 21.7 passes on 38.3 attempts for a 56.5 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 247 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 50th in college football. The Wildcats run for an average of 127.7 yards per game on 35.9 attempts for an average of 3.6 yards per carry. That ranks them 112th in the nation. They also run 74.2 plays per contest and average 5 yards per play for an average of 374.7 yards per game, ranking their offense 96th overall this season. The Wildcats average 20.3 first downs per game which ranks them 85th in the country. They accumulate 31.6 penalty yards per game via 3.9 penalties, which ranks 125th in the nation.

Northwestern allows 260.3 passing yards per game, ranking 99th in D-1, and they allow 22 points per contest on defense, which ranks 28th. They give up 24 completions on 37.4 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 64.1. The Wildcats allow 146.9 rushing yards per game on 38.7 carries for an average of 3.8 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 43rd in the country. Northwestern allows 407.2 total yards per game including 5.4 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 66th in terms of yards per game. They force 1.2 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 4.7 penalties for 46.7 yards per game, ranking them 31st among D-1 teams.

Purdue averages 26 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 84th in the country. In the passing department, they complete 27.1 passes per game on 47.8 attempts for a 56.7 percent completion percentage. They throw for 314.2 yards through the air per game, ranking them 16th in Division 1. The Boilermakers run for an average of 101.4 yards per game on 30.2 attempts for an average of 3.4 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 125th on the ground. They also run 78 plays per game and average 5.3 yards per play for a total of 415.7 yards per game, ranking them 60th in the country on offense. The Boilermakers get an average of 21.8 first downs per game, which ranks 55th in the nation. They average 40.1 penalty yards per game via 4.6 penalties, ranking them 117th in college football.

Purdue allows an average of 203.2 passing yards per game, which ranks 32nd in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 37.7 points per contest, which has them ranked 118th in the nation. They give up 15.7 completions on 26.8 attempts for a completion percentage of 58.5 per game. The Boilermakers allow 248.4 rushing yards per contest on 43.1 carries for a 5.8 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 122nd in the country. Purdue allows 451.7 total yards per game for an average of 6.5 yards per play, which ranks 104th in D-1. They force 1.1 turnovers per contest and 7.6 penalties for 69.8 yards in each contest, ranking 116th in the nation.

Northwestern Betting Trends

Northwestern is 2-7-0 against the over/under this season

Northwestern has an ATS record of 5-4-0 this season

Purdue Betting Trends

Purdue is 7-2-0 against the over/under this season

Purdue has an ATS record of 4-5-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Northwestern

10/24/16 CB Matthew Harris Undisclosed has left team
09/18/16 RB Warren Long Hand expected to miss 3-4 weeks
08/19/16 DB Keith Watkins II Knee out for season

Purdue

11/07/16 RB David Yancey Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern
11/07/16 DT Jake Replogle Undisclosed injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern
11/07/16 RB Markell Jones Undisclosed injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern
11/07/16 OL Michael Mendez Knee injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern
11/06/16 RB Richie Worship Leg "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern
11/06/16 CB Tim Cason Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern
11/06/16 OT Jalen Neal Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern
11/06/16 OG Jason King Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern
11/06/16 CB Myles Norwood Concussion "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern
10/29/16 S Brandon Roberts Disciplinary out indefinitely
10/29/16 CB David Rose Disciplinary out indefinitely
10/12/16 WR Domonique Young Knee out for season
10/08/16 OL Martesse Patterson Legal problems out indefinitely
08/29/16 RB D.J. Knox Knee out for season

Josh's Pick: Take Purdue +10.5

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