Saturday, October 22, 2016

Scott Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The North Carolina Tar Heels take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Saturday, October 22, 2016 at Scott Stadium. The opening line for this game has North Carolina as 9 point favorites. This season the Tar Heels are 4-3-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 3-4-0. The Cavaliers have an over/under record of 2-3-1 and they are 3-2-1 against the spread.

Mitch Trubisky finished with 299 yards through the air for North Carolina last week. He completed 33 passes out of 46 attempts for a 72% completion percentage. The Tar Heels were led in rushing by T.J. Logan, who finished with 84 yards on 15 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 6 yards per carry. Johnathan Howard was the team leader in receiving with a total of 156 yards and 10 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 16 yards per reception. As a team in that game North Carolina got a total of 23 first downs. Of those first downs, 12 came on the ground while 11 came through the air. They ran 89 total plays for 461 yards for the game. The Tar Heels ran for 162 yards on 43 attempts.

Kurt Benkert finished with 278 yards passing for Virginia last week. He went 20 for 45, resulting in a 44% completion percentage. The Cavaliers were led on the ground by Taquan Mizzell, who finished with 95 yards on 12 carries. He ended the game with an average of 8 yards per rush. Olamide Zaccheaus led the team in receiving with 83 yards and 3 catches. He finished the game with an average of 28 yards per reception. Virginia had 19 first downs total. 6 came from running the ball and 11 came from a pass. They ran 71 total plays for 378 yards for the contest. The Cavaliers ran for 100 yards on 25 carries as a team.

North Carolina scores 32.1 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 53rd in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 26.3 passes on 37.3 attempts for a 70.5 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 299.7 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 24th in college football. The Tar Heels run for an average of 130.7 yards per game on 30.6 attempts for an average of 4.3 yards per carry. That ranks them 111th in the nation. They also run 67.9 plays per contest and average 6.3 yards per play for an average of 430.4 yards per game, ranking their offense 51st overall this season. The Tar Heels average 21.1 first downs per game which ranks them 68th in the country. They accumulate 66.6 penalty yards per game via 8.4 penalties, which ranks 27th in the nation.

North Carolina allows 201.3 passing yards per game, ranking 31st in D-1, and they allow 28.9 points per contest on defense, which ranks 79th. They give up 15.6 completions on 27 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 57.7. The Tar Heels allow 216 rushing yards per game on 48.3 carries for an average of 4.5 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 106th in the country. North Carolina allows 417.3 total yards per game including 5.5 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 79th in terms of yards per game. They force 0.9 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 7.9 penalties for 65.1 yards per game, ranking them 109th among D-1 teams.

Virginia averages 28.3 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 71st in the country. In the passing department, they complete 23.3 passes per game on 41 attempts for a 56.9 percent completion percentage. They throw for 289.2 yards through the air per game, ranking them 27th in Division 1. The Cavaliers run for an average of 114.2 yards per game on 29.8 attempts for an average of 3.8 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 119th on the ground. They also run 70.8 plays per game and average 5.7 yards per play for a total of 403.3 yards per game, ranking them 71st in the country on offense. The Cavaliers get an average of 21.3 first downs per game, which ranks 63rd in the nation. They average 60.7 penalty yards per game via 6.8 penalties, ranking them 45th in college football.

Virginia allows an average of 280.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 114th in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 32.3 points per contest, which has them ranked 94th in the nation. They give up 21.2 completions on 35 attempts for a completion percentage of 60.5 per game. The Cavaliers allow 169.8 rushing yards per contest on 40 carries for a 4.2 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 78th in the country. Virginia allows 450.7 total yards per game for an average of 6 yards per play, which ranks 107th in D-1. They force 1.5 turnovers per contest and 6.2 penalties for 61 yards in each contest, ranking 91st in the nation.

North Carolina Betting Trends

North Carolina is 3-4-0 against the over/under this season

North Carolina has an ATS record of 4-3-0 this season

Virginia Betting Trends

Virginia is 2-3-1 against the over/under this season

Virginia has an ATS record of 3-2-1 this season

Injuries to Watch

North Carolina

10/16/16 DT Aaron Crawford Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Virginia
10/16/16 DE Dajaun Drennon Hamstring "?" Saturday vs. Virginia
09/22/16 DE Tomon Fox Leg out indefinitely
09/14/16 LB Allen Artis Suspension out indefinitely
09/13/16 OT John Ferranto Pectoral out for season

Virginia

10/16/16 LB Eric Gallon Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina
10/14/16 CB Darious Latimore Knee out for season
10/14/16 CB Myles Robinson Toe out for season
09/27/16 CB Tim Harris Shoulder out for season
09/27/16 DE Christian Brooks Shoulder out for season
09/27/16 LB Malcolm Cook Illness out for season
09/27/16 OG Sean Karl Back out for season

Tony's Pick: Take Virginia

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