Saturday, October 1, 2016

Bobby Bowden Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The North Carolina Tar Heels take on the Florida State Seminoles on Saturday, October 1, 2016 at Bobby Bowden Field. The opening line for this game has Florida State as 12 point favorites. This season the Tar Heels are 2-2-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 3-1-0. The Seminoles have an over/under record of 3-0-0 and they are 2-1-0 against the spread.

Mitch Trubisky finished with 453 yards through the air for North Carolina last week. He completed 35 passes out of 46 attempts for a 76% completion percentage. The Tar Heels were led in rushing by Elijah Hood, who finished with 25 yards on 11 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 2 yards per carry. Ryan Switzer was the team leader in receiving with a total of 208 yards and 16 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 13 yards per reception. As a team in that game North Carolina got a total of 22 first downs. Of those first downs, 3 came on the ground while 18 came through the air. They ran 68 total plays for 471 yards for the game. The Tar Heels ran for 18 yards on 22 attempts.

Deondre Francois finished with 169 yards passing for Florida State last week. He went 11 for 19, resulting in a 58% completion percentage. The Seminoles were led on the ground by Dalvin Cook, who finished with 267 yards on 28 carries. He ended the game with an average of 10 yards per rush. Dalvin Cook led the team in receiving with 62 yards and 4 catches. He finished the game with an average of 16 yards per reception. Florida State had 31 first downs total. 20 came from running the ball and 8 came from a pass. They ran 82 total plays for 647 yards for the contest. The Seminoles ran for 478 yards on 63 carries as a team.

North Carolina scores 41.3 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 27th in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 26.8 passes on 36 attempts for a 74.3 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 334 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 13th in college football. The Tar Heels run for an average of 136.8 yards per game on 27.5 attempts for an average of 5 yards per carry. That ranks them 101st in the nation. They also run 63.5 plays per contest and average 7.4 yards per play for an average of 470.8 yards per game, ranking their offense 38th overall this season. The Tar Heels average 23 first downs per game which ranks them 48th in the country. They accumulate 74.8 penalty yards per game via 8.5 penalties, which ranks 20th in the nation.

North Carolina allows 184.5 passing yards per game, ranking 30th in D-1, and they allow 30 points per contest on defense, which ranks 87th. They give up 16.5 completions on 27.3 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 60.6. The Tar Heels allow 247.3 rushing yards per game on 48 carries for an average of 5.2 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 120th in the country. North Carolina allows 431.8 total yards per game including 5.7 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 92nd in terms of yards per game. They force 0.8 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 8.3 penalties for 66 yards per game, ranking them 99th among D-1 teams.

Florida State averages 43 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 16th in the country. In the passing department, they complete 19.5 passes per game on 32.5 attempts for a 60 percent completion percentage. They throw for 242.5 yards through the air per game, ranking them 57th in Division 1. The Seminoles run for an average of 244.8 yards per game on 45.8 attempts for an average of 5.3 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 21st on the ground. They also run 78.3 plays per game and average 6.2 yards per play for a total of 487.3 yards per game, ranking them 29th in the country on offense. The Seminoles get an average of 27.8 first downs per game, which ranks 7th in the nation. They average 80.3 penalty yards per game via 8.3 penalties, ranking them 14th in college football.

Florida State allows an average of 207.8 passing yards yards per game, which ranks 51st in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 35 points per contest, which has them ranked 108th in the nation. They give up 11.5 completions on 23.3 attempts for a completion percentage of 49.5 per game. The Seminoles allow 205.8 rushing yards per contest on 37.8 carries for a 5.5 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 98th in the country. Florida State allows 413.5 total yards per game for an average of 6.8 yards per play, which ranks 86th in D-1. They force 2.5 turnovers per contest and 7.3 penalties for 62.3 yards in each contest, ranking 90th in the nation.

North Carolina Betting Trends

North Carolina is 3-1-0 against the over/under this season

North Carolina has an ATS record of 2-2-0 this season

Florida State Betting Trends

Florida State is 3-0-0 against the over/under this season

Florida State has an ATS record of 2-1-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

North Carolina

09/25/16 DE Dajaun Drennon Foot "?" Saturday vs. Florida State
09/22/16 DE Tomon Fox Leg out indefinitely
09/14/16 LB Allen Artis Suspension out indefinitely
09/13/16 OT John Ferranto Pectoral out for season

Florida State

09/25/16 DT Adam Torres Foot "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina
09/25/16 DT Darvin Taylor II Shoulder "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina
09/25/16 OL Derrick Kelly Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina
09/25/16 DT Derrick Nnadi Ankle "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina
09/25/16 WR Ja'Vonn Harrison Migraine "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina
09/25/16 WR Keith Gavin Toe "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina
09/23/16 DE Josh Sweat Knee expected to miss 1-2 weeks
09/21/16 QB Malik Henry Suspension Served likely to redshirt
09/14/16 DB Derwin James Knee expected to miss 5-7 weeks
09/09/16 LB Sh'Mar Kilby-Lane Academics out for season
09/09/16 WR George Campbell Groin out for season
09/04/16 DT Keith Bryant Foot out for season
09/02/16 OL Corey Martinez Knee out indefinitely

Guy's Pick: Take North Carolina

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