Thursday, November 10, 2016

Wallace Wade Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The North Carolina Tar Heels take on the Duke Blue Devils on Thursday, November 10, 2016 at Wallace Wade Stadium. The opening line for this game has North Carolina as 10.5 point favorites. This season the Tar Heels are 6-3-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 4-5-0. The Blue Devils have an over/under record of 2-7-0 and they are 6-3-0 against the spread.

Mitch Trubisky finished with 329 yards through the air for North Carolina last week. He completed 20 passes out of 32 attempts for a 63% completion percentage. The Tar Heels were led in rushing by Elijah Hood, who finished with 168 yards on 12 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 14 yards per carry. Johnathan Howard was the team leader in receiving with a total of 120 yards and 6 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 20 yards per reception. As a team in that game North Carolina got a total of 26 first downs. Of those first downs, 10 came on the ground while 16 came through the air. They ran 70 total plays for 636 yards for the game. The Tar Heels ran for 283 yards on 35 attempts.

Daniel Jones finished with 148 yards passing for Duke last week. He went 18 for 31, resulting in a 58% completion percentage. The Blue Devils were led on the ground by Daniel Jones, who finished with 99 yards on 18 carries. He ended the game with an average of 6 yards per rush. Aaron Young led the team in receiving with 48 yards and 4 catches. He finished the game with an average of 12 yards per reception. Duke had 24 first downs total. 12 came from running the ball and 9 came from a pass. They ran 76 total plays for 375 yards for the contest. The Blue Devils ran for 227 yards on 45 carries as a team.

North Carolina scores 34.2 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 39th in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 25.7 passes on 36.3 attempts for a 70.6 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 306.8 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 20th in college football. The Tar Heels run for an average of 152.9 yards per game on 31.7 attempts for an average of 4.8 yards per carry. That ranks them 92nd in the nation. They also run 68 plays per contest and average 6.8 yards per play for an average of 459.7 yards per game, ranking their offense 40th overall this season. The Tar Heels average 22.1 first downs per game which ranks them 50th in the country. They accumulate 63.4 penalty yards per game via 8 penalties, which ranks 31st in the nation.

North Carolina allows 192.9 passing yards per game, ranking 21st in D-1, and they allow 26.2 points per contest on defense, which ranks 60th. They give up 15.1 completions on 27.2 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 55.5. The Tar Heels allow 217.3 rushing yards per game on 48.3 carries for an average of 4.5 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 104th in the country. North Carolina allows 410.2 total yards per game including 5.4 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 71st in terms of yards per game. They force 1.1 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 7.6 penalties for 62.7 yards per game, ranking them 104th among D-1 teams.

Duke averages 24.1 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 93rd in the country. In the passing department, they complete 21.4 passes per game on 34.8 attempts for a 61.7 percent completion percentage. They throw for 230.9 yards through the air per game, ranking them 66th in Division 1. The Blue Devils run for an average of 168 yards per game on 41.2 attempts for an average of 4.1 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 72nd on the ground. They also run 76 plays per game and average 5.2 yards per play for a total of 398.9 yards per game, ranking them 74th in the country on offense. The Blue Devils get an average of 21.2 first downs per game, which ranks 63rd in the nation. They average 36.6 penalty yards per game via 4.9 penalties, ranking them 120th in college football.

Duke allows an average of 216.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 48th in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 23.9 points per contest, which has them ranked 39th in the nation. They give up 13.3 completions on 26.2 attempts for a completion percentage of 50.8 per game. The Blue Devils allow 177.4 rushing yards per contest on 41.3 carries for a 4.3 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 74th in the country. Duke allows 393.8 total yards per game for an average of 5.8 yards per play, which ranks 55th in D-1. They force 1.8 turnovers per contest and 5.6 penalties for 44 yards in each contest, ranking 19th in the nation.

North Carolina Betting Trends

North Carolina is 4-5-0 against the over/under this season

North Carolina has an ATS record of 6-3-0 this season

Duke Betting Trends

Duke is 2-7-0 against the over/under this season

Duke has an ATS record of 6-3-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

North Carolina

11/07/16 DE Dajaun Drennon Hamstring is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. Duke
10/21/16 OL Caleb Peterson Back out for season
10/21/16 LB Jonathan Smith Foot out for season
10/17/16 WR Mack Hollins Collarbone out for season
09/22/16 DE Tomon Fox Leg out indefinitely
09/14/16 LB Allen Artis Suspension out indefinitely
09/13/16 OT John Ferranto Pectoral out for season

Duke

11/06/16 P Austin Parker Undisclosed "?" Thursday vs. North Carolina
11/03/16 WR Anthony Nash Collarbone out indefinitely
10/31/16 RB Jela Duncan Achilles out for season
09/29/16 LB Tinashe Bere Knee out for season
09/26/16 CB DeVon Edwards Knee out for season
09/01/16 DT Zach Morris Knee out for season
08/28/16 QB Thomas Sirk Achilles out for season

Tony's Pick: Take Duke +10.5

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