Saturday, November 26, 2016

Gerald J. Ford Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The Navy Midshipmen take on the SMU Mustangs on Saturday, November 26, 2016 at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. The opening line for this game has Navy as 8 point favorites. This season the Midshipmen are 6-3-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 7-3-0. The Mustangs have an over/under record of 4-7-0 and they are 8-3-0 against the spread.

Will Worth finished with 113 yards through the air for Navy last week. He completed 3 passes out of 5 attempts for a 60% completion percentage. The Midshipmen were led in rushing by Will Worth, who finished with 159 yards on 28 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 6 yards per carry. Jamir Tillman was the team leader in receiving with a total of 66 yards and 2 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 33 yards per reception. As a team in that game Navy got a total of 28 first downs. Of those first downs, 24 came on the ground while 3 came through the air. They ran 73 total plays for 593 yards for the game. The Midshipmen ran for 480 yards on 68 attempts.

Ben Hicks finished with 170 yards passing for SMU last week. He went 17 for 31, resulting in a 55% completion percentage. The Mustangs were led on the ground by Ke'Mon Freeman, who finished with 83 yards on 16 carries. He ended the game with an average of 5 yards per rush. Courtland Sutton led the team in receiving with 70 yards and 6 catches. He finished the game with an average of 12 yards per reception. SMU had 19 first downs total. 7 came from running the ball and 11 came from a pass. They ran 72 total plays for 308 yards for the contest. The Mustangs ran for 100 yards on 32 carries as a team.

Navy scores 38.4 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 20th in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 6.7 passes on 11.2 attempts for a 59.8 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 130.4 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 125th in college football. The Midshipmen run for an average of 326.8 yards per game on 57.4 attempts for an average of 5.7 yards per carry. That ranks them 3rd in the nation. They also run 68.6 plays per contest and average 6.7 yards per play for an average of 457.2 yards per game, ranking their offense 35th overall this season. The Midshipmen average 23.1 first downs per game which ranks them 39th in the country. They accumulate 20.6 penalty yards per game via 2.6 penalties, which ranks 128th in the nation.

Navy allows 258.3 passing yards per game, ranking 103rd in D-1, and they allow 30 points per contest on defense, which ranks 76th. They give up 18.9 completions on 29.8 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 63.4. The Midshipmen allow 183.2 rushing yards per game on 36.9 carries for an average of 5 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 78th in the country. Navy allows 441.5 total yards per game including 6.6 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 94th in terms of yards per game. They force 1.1 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 4.7 penalties for 37.4 yards per game, ranking them 3rd among D-1 teams.

SMU averages 27.4 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 76th in the country. In the passing department, they complete 19.7 passes per game on 37.3 attempts for a 52.9 percent completion percentage. They throw for 257.9 yards through the air per game, ranking them 42nd in Division 1. The Mustangs run for an average of 169.4 yards per game on 40.1 attempts for an average of 4.2 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 71st on the ground. They also run 77.4 plays per game and average 5.5 yards per play for a total of 427.3 yards per game, ranking them 55th in the country on offense. The Mustangs get an average of 21.4 first downs per game, which ranks 62nd in the nation. They average 53.1 penalty yards per game via 5.8 penalties, ranking them 73rd in college football.

SMU allows an average of 255.1 passing yards per game, which ranks 96th in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 32.7 points per contest, which has them ranked 99th in the nation. They give up 21.3 completions on 36.3 attempts for a completion percentage of 58.6 per game. The Mustangs allow 184.5 rushing yards per contest on 40.9 carries for a 4.5 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 79th in the country. SMU allows 439.6 total yards per game for an average of 5.7 yards per play, which ranks 91st in D-1. They force 2.3 turnovers per contest and 8 penalties for 74.2 yards in each contest, ranking 125th in the nation.

Navy Betting Trends

Navy is 7-3-0 against the over/under this season

Navy has an ATS record of 6-3-1 this season

SMU Betting Trends

SMU is 4-7-0 against the over/under this season

SMU has an ATS record of 8-3-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Navy

11/20/16 SB Joshua Walker Shoulder "?" Saturday vs. SMU
11/20/16 LB Josiah Powell Leg "?" Saturday vs. SMU
11/20/16 S Kyle Battle Knee "?" Saturday vs. SMU
11/17/16 SB Josh Brown Foot out for season
10/07/16 LB Daniel Gonzales Foot out for season
09/05/16 QB Tago Smith Knee out for season
08/31/16 G Robert Lindsey Back out indefinitely
08/29/16 K DJ Grant-Johnson Leg out indefinitely

SMU

10/18/16 RB Xavier Jones Shoulder out indefinitely
09/19/16 LB Nick Horton Undisclosed out for season
09/12/16 QB Matt Davis Knee out for season
08/30/16 OL Chad Pursley ACL out for season

Guy's Pick: Take SMU +8

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