Saturday, October 22, 2016

Commonwealth Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The Mississippi State Bulldogs take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday, October 22, 2016 at Commonwealth Stadium. The opening line for this game has Mississippi State as 1.5 point favorites. This season the Bulldogs are 3-3-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 1-5-0. The Wildcats have an over/under record of 3-3-0 and they are 3-3-0 against the spread.

Nick Fitzgerald finished with 214 yards through the air for Mississippi State last week. He completed 17 passes out of 36 attempts for a 47% completion percentage. The Bulldogs were led in rushing by Aeris Williams, who finished with 82 yards on 21 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 4 yards per carry. Keith Mixon was the team leader in receiving with a total of 69 yards and 4 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 17 yards per reception. As a team in that game Mississippi State got a total of 23 first downs. Of those first downs, 9 came on the ground while 11 came through the air. They ran 86 total plays for 386 yards for the game. The Bulldogs ran for 163 yards on 49 attempts.

Stephen Johnson finished with 49 yards passing for Kentucky last week. He went 10 for 24, resulting in a 42% completion percentage. The Wildcats were led on the ground by Benjamin Snell, Jr., who finished with 94 yards on 20 carries. He ended the game with an average of 5 yards per rush. Garrett Johnson led the team in receiving with 20 yards and 2 catches. He finished the game with an average of 10 yards per reception. Kentucky had 20 first downs total. 18 came from running the ball and 2 came from a pass. They ran 76 total plays for 307 yards for the contest. The Wildcats ran for 258 yards on 52 carries as a team.

Mississippi State scores 24.8 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 95th in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 19.7 passes on 33.8 attempts for a 58.1 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 210 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 90th in college football. The Bulldogs run for an average of 191.7 yards per game on 40 attempts for an average of 4.8 yards per carry. That ranks them 49th in the nation. They also run 73.8 plays per contest and average 5.4 yards per play for an average of 401.7 yards per game, ranking their offense 74th overall this season. The Bulldogs average 21.7 first downs per game which ranks them 60th in the country. They accumulate 61.5 penalty yards per game via 6.5 penalties, which ranks 43rd in the nation.

Mississippi State allows 225.2 passing yards per game, ranking 64th in D-1, and they allow 26.5 points per contest on defense, which ranks 66th. They give up 19.5 completions on 32 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 60.9. The Bulldogs allow 136.2 rushing yards per game on 38.3 carries for an average of 3.6 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 37th in the country. Mississippi State allows 361.3 total yards per game including 5.1 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 38th in terms of yards per game. They force 1.7 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 7 penalties for 57 yards per game, ranking them 76th among D-1 teams.

Kentucky averages 24.5 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 97th in the country. In the passing department, they complete 11.8 passes per game on 21.3 attempts for a 55.5 percent completion percentage. They throw for 158.7 yards through the air per game, ranking them 116th in Division 1. The Wildcats run for an average of 191.8 yards per game on 41.3 attempts for an average of 4.6 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 48th on the ground. They also run 62.7 plays per game and average 5.6 yards per play for a total of 350.5 yards per game, ranking them 111th in the country on offense. The Wildcats get an average of 17.7 first downs per game, which ranks 115th in the nation. They average 45.7 penalty yards per game via 5 penalties, ranking them 105th in college football.

Kentucky allows an average of 248 passing yards per game, which ranks 83rd in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 31.3 points per contest, which has them ranked 90th in the nation. They give up 18.5 completions on 32.2 attempts for a completion percentage of 57.5 per game. The Wildcats allow 194.7 rushing yards per contest on 44.3 carries for a 4.4 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 91st in the country. Kentucky allows 442.7 total yards per game for an average of 5.8 yards per play, which ranks 101st in D-1. They force 1.3 turnovers per contest and 5.7 penalties for 43 yards in each contest, ranking 16th in the nation.

Mississippi State Betting Trends

Mississippi State is 1-5-0 against the over/under this season

Mississippi State has an ATS record of 3-3-0 this season

Kentucky Betting Trends

Kentucky is 3-3-0 against the over/under this season

Kentucky has an ATS record of 3-3-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Mississippi State

08/25/16 DB Tolando Cleveland ACL out for season

Kentucky

09/28/16 RB Mikel Horton None has left team
09/20/16 QB Drew Barker Back out indefinitely
08/28/16 DL Regie Meant Personal has left team
08/19/16 DB Darius West Knee out for season

Tony's Pick: Take Kentucky

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