Saturday, November 12, 2016

Bryant Denny Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The Mississippi State Bulldogs take on the Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday, November 12, 2016 at Bryant Denny Stadium. The opening line for this game has Alabama as 28.5 point favorites. This season the Bulldogs are 4-5-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 4-5-0. The Crimson Tide have an over/under record of 4-5-0 and they are 7-2-0 against the spread.

Nick Fitzgerald finished with 209 yards through the air for Mississippi State last week. He completed 18 passes out of 31 attempts for a 58% completion percentage. The Bulldogs were led in rushing by Nick Fitzgerald, who finished with 182 yards on 20 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 9 yards per carry. Fred Ross was the team leader in receiving with a total of 98 yards and 6 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 16 yards per reception. As a team in that game Mississippi State got a total of 29 first downs. Of those first downs, 19 came on the ground while 8 came through the air. They ran 89 total plays for 574 yards for the game. The Bulldogs ran for 365 yards on 58 attempts.

Jalen Hurts finished with 107 yards passing for Alabama last week. He went 10 for 19, resulting in a 53% completion percentage. The Crimson Tide were led on the ground by Jalen Hurts, who finished with 114 yards on 20 carries. He ended the game with an average of 6 yards per rush. ArDarius Stewart led the team in receiving with 55 yards and 3 catches. He finished the game with an average of 18 yards per reception. Alabama had 16 first downs total. 12 came from running the ball and 3 came from a pass. They ran 70 total plays for 323 yards for the contest. The Crimson Tide ran for 216 yards on 51 carries as a team.

Mississippi State scores 30.9 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 56th in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 18.8 passes on 32.2 attempts for a 58.3 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 218.6 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 79th in college football. The Bulldogs run for an average of 227.6 yards per game on 42.6 attempts for an average of 5.3 yards per carry. That ranks them 27th in the nation. They also run 74.8 plays per contest and average 6 yards per play for an average of 446.1 yards per game, ranking their offense 44th overall this season. The Bulldogs average 22.7 first downs per game which ranks them 41st in the country. They accumulate 53.8 penalty yards per game via 5.9 penalties, which ranks 70th in the nation.

Mississippi State allows 264 passing yards per game, ranking 104th in D-1, and they allow 29.8 points per contest on defense, which ranks 82nd. They give up 21.3 completions on 36.2 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 58.9. The Bulldogs allow 150.6 rushing yards per game on 37.8 carries for an average of 4 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 49th in the country. Mississippi State allows 414.6 total yards per game including 5.6 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 75th in terms of yards per game. They force 1.9 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 6.4 penalties for 51.8 yards per game, ranking them 54th among D-1 teams.

Alabama averages 40.1 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 15th in the country. In the passing department, they complete 17.6 passes per game on 27.9 attempts for a 62.9 percent completion percentage. They throw for 216 yards through the air per game, ranking them 82nd in Division 1. The Crimson Tide run for an average of 262.6 yards per game on 45.1 attempts for an average of 5.8 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 10th on the ground. They also run 73 plays per game and average 6.6 yards per play for a total of 478.6 yards per game, ranking them 30th in the country on offense. The Crimson Tide get an average of 22.1 first downs per game, which ranks 48th in the nation. They average 47.2 penalty yards per game via 6.2 penalties, ranking them 98th in college football.

Alabama allows an average of 191.9 passing yards per game, which ranks 19th in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 13.2 points per contest, which has them ranked 2nd in the nation. They give up 16.8 completions on 31.9 attempts for a completion percentage of 52.6 per game. The Crimson Tide allow 66.6 rushing yards per contest on 31.6 carries for a 2.1 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 1st in the country. Alabama allows 258.4 total yards per game for an average of 4.1 yards per play, which ranks 2nd in D-1. They force 1.9 turnovers per contest and 3.9 penalties for 34.8 yards in each contest, ranking 3rd in the nation.

Mississippi State Betting Trends

Mississippi State is 4-5-0 against the over/under this season

Mississippi State has an ATS record of 4-5-0 this season

Alabama Betting Trends

Alabama is 4-5-0 against the over/under this season

Alabama has an ATS record of 7-2-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Mississippi State

08/25/16 DB Tolando Cleveland Knee out for season

Alabama

11/06/16 OL Alphonse Taylor Concussion "?" Saturday vs. Mississippi St
11/06/16 WR Calvin Ridley Knee "?" Saturday vs. Mississippi St
11/03/16 RB B.J. Emmons Foot out indefinitely
10/23/16 DB Eddie Jackson Leg out for season
09/29/16 QB Blake Barnett Personal has left team

Guy's Pick: Take Alabama -28.5

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