Friday, December 30, 2016

Orange Bowl

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The Michigan Wolverines take on the Florida State Seminoles on Friday, December 30, 2016 in the Orange Bowl. The opening line for this game has Michigan as 6.5 point favorites. This season the Wolverines are 6-6-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 8-4-0. The Seminoles have an over/under record of 5-6-0 and they are 7-4-0 against the spread.

Wilton Speight finished with 219 yards through the air for Michigan in his last game. He completed 23 passes out of 36 attempts for a 64% completion percentage. The Wolverines were led in rushing by De'Veon Smith, who finished with 60 yards on 21 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 3 yards per carry. Amara Darboh was the team leader in receiving with a total of 68 yards and 8 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 9 yards per reception. As a team in that game Michigan got a total of 16 first downs. Of those first downs, 7 came on the ground while 9 came through the air. They ran 79 total plays for 310 yards for the game. The Wolverines ran for 91 yards on 43 attempts.

Deondre Francois finished with 138 yards passing for Florida State in his last contest. He went 15 for 26, resulting in a 58% completion percentage. The Seminoles were led on the ground by Dalvin Cook, who finished with 153 yards on 26 carries. He ended the game with an average of 6 yards per rush. Travis Rudolph led the team in receiving with 63 yards and 4 catches. He finished the game with an average of 16 yards per reception. Florida State had 18 first downs total. 10 came from running the ball and 6 came from a pass. They ran 66 total plays for 387 yards for the contest. The Seminoles ran for 249 yards on 40 carries as a team.

Michigan scores 41 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 12th in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 17.3 passes on 27.7 attempts for a 62.3 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 216.1 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 82nd in college football. The Wolverines run for an average of 223.3 yards per game on 44.8 attempts for an average of 5 yards per carry. That ranks them 30th in the nation. They also run 72.5 plays per contest and average 6.1 yards per play for an average of 439.3 yards per game, ranking their offense 48th overall this season. The Wolverines average 22.3 first downs per game which ranks them 42nd in the country. They accumulate 46.3 penalty yards per game via 4.9 penalties, which ranks 96th in the nation.

Michigan allows 135.9 passing yards per game, ranking 1st in D-1, and they allow 12.5 points per contest on defense, which ranks 2nd. They give up 11.2 completions on 25.1 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 44.5. The Wolverines allow 116.8 rushing yards per game on 37.2 carries for an average of 3.1 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 13th in the country. Michigan allows 252.7 total yards per game including 4.1 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 2nd in terms of yards per game. They force 1.4 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 5.3 penalties for 39.9 yards per game, ranking them 12th among D-1 teams.

Florida State averages 35.3 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 31st in the country. In the passing department, they complete 19.6 passes per game on 32.8 attempts for a 59.6 percent completion percentage. They throw for 267.6 yards through the air per game, ranking them 29th in Division 1. The Seminoles run for an average of 206.8 yards per game on 40.3 attempts for an average of 5.1 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 38th on the ground. They also run 73.1 plays per game and average 6.5 yards per play for a total of 474.3 yards per game, ranking them 25th in the country on offense. The Seminoles get an average of 25.5 first downs per game, which ranks 8th in the nation. They average 73.6 penalty yards per game via 7.8 penalties, ranking them 5th in college football.

Florida State allows an average of 225.9 passing yards per game, which ranks 65th in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 24.4 points per contest, which has them ranked 43rd in the nation. They give up 16.9 completions on 30.5 attempts for a completion percentage of 55.5 per game. The Seminoles allow 131.3 rushing yards per contest on 35.1 carries for a 3.7 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 27th in the country. Florida State allows 357.2 total yards per game for an average of 5.4 yards per play, which ranks 29th in D-1. They force 1.8 turnovers per contest and 6.8 penalties for 60.9 yards in each contest, ranking 100th in the nation.

Michigan Betting Trends

Michigan is 8-4-0 against the over/under this season

Michigan has an ATS record of 6-6-0 this season

Florida State Betting Trends

Florida State is 5-6-0 against the over/under this season

Florida State has an ATS record of 7-4-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Michigan

12/04/16 QB Wilton Speight Shoulder probable Friday vs. Florida State
11/18/16 WR Jack Wangler Suspension out indefinitely
11/18/16 LB Jared Wangler Suspension out indefinitely
11/08/16 RB Drake Johnson Hamstring out for season
10/03/16 OL Grant Newsome Knee out for season
09/26/16 CB Jeremy Clark Knee out for season
09/26/16 RB Kareem Walker Academics out for season

Florida State

12/04/16 DB Calvin Brewton Head "?" Friday vs. Michigan
12/04/16 WR Da'Vante Phillips Wrist "?" Friday vs. Michigan
12/04/16 DB Marcus Lewis Hip "?" Friday vs. Michigan
12/04/16 DE Jalen Wilkerson Concussion "?" Friday vs. Michigan
12/04/16 LB Josh Brown Foot "?" Friday vs. Michigan
11/10/16 RB Johnathan Vickers Concussion out indefinitely
11/07/16 WR Jesus Wilson Foot out for season
11/04/16 DT Adam Torres Foot out for season
11/04/16 OL Landon Dickerson Knee out for season
10/12/16 DB Nate Andrews Pectoral out for season
09/28/16 WR Ja'Vonn Harrison Suspension out indefinitely
09/21/16 QB Malik Henry Suspension Served likely to redshirt
09/14/16 DB Derwin James Knee out for season
09/09/16 WR George Campbell Groin out for season
09/09/16 LB Sh'Mar Kilby-Lane Academics out for season
09/04/16 DT Keith Bryant Foot out for season

Guy's Pick: Take Florida State +6.5

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