Saturday, October 29, 2016

Scott Stadium

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The Louisville Cardinals take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Saturday, October 29, 2016 at Scott Stadium. The opening line for this game has Louisville as 27 point favorites. This season the Cardinals are 4-2-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 6-1-0. The Cavaliers have an over/under record of 2-4-1 and they are 3-3-1 against the spread.

Lamar Jackson finished with 355 yards through the air for Louisville last week. He completed 20 passes out of 34 attempts for a 59% completion percentage. The Cardinals were led in rushing by Lamar Jackson, who finished with 76 yards on 17 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 4 yards per carry. Cole Hikutini was the team leader in receiving with a total of 118 yards and 6 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 20 yards per reception. As a team in that game Louisville got a total of 24 first downs. Of those first downs, 10 came on the ground while 12 came through the air. They ran 80 total plays for 553 yards for the game. The Cardinals ran for 163 yards on 44 attempts.

Kurt Benkert finished with 126 yards passing for Virginia last week. He went 19 for 32, resulting in a 59% completion percentage. The Cavaliers were led on the ground by Taquan Mizzell, who finished with 106 yards on 19 carries. He ended the game with an average of 6 yards per rush. Taquan Mizzell led the team in receiving with 25 yards and 7 catches. He finished the game with an average of 4 yards per reception. Virginia had 19 first downs total. 8 came from running the ball and 10 came from a pass. They ran 84 total plays for 253 yards for the contest. The Cavaliers ran for 110 yards on 39 carries as a team.

Louisville scores 52.6 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 1st in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 20.7 passes on 35 attempts for a 59.2 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 331.6 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 14th in college football. The Cardinals run for an average of 285.3 yards per game on 42.4 attempts for an average of 6.7 yards per carry. That ranks them 6th in the nation. They also run 77.4 plays per contest and average 8 yards per play for an average of 616.9 yards per game, ranking their offense 2nd overall this season. The Cardinals average 28.7 first downs per game which ranks them 2nd in the country. They accumulate 82.6 penalty yards per game via 9 penalties, which ranks 4th in the nation.

Louisville allows 185.1 passing yards per game, ranking 19th in D-1, and they allow 22.7 points per contest on defense, which ranks 37th. They give up 16 completions on 31.1 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 51.4. The Cardinals allow 116.1 rushing yards per game on 36 carries for an average of 3.2 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 19th in the country. Louisville allows 301.3 total yards per game including 4.5 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 10th in terms of yards per game. They force 2.1 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 7.6 penalties for 71.6 yards per game, ranking them 117th among D-1 teams.

Virginia averages 26.3 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 84th in the country. In the passing department, they complete 23.1 passes per game on 41.6 attempts for a 55.7 percent completion percentage. They throw for 268.3 yards through the air per game, ranking them 35th in Division 1. The Cavaliers run for an average of 113.6 yards per game on 31.1 attempts for an average of 3.6 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 117th on the ground. They also run 72.7 plays per game and average 5.3 yards per play for a total of 381.9 yards per game, ranking them 90th in the country on offense. The Cavaliers get an average of 21 first downs per game, which ranks 72nd in the nation. They average 63.7 penalty yards per game via 7.1 penalties, ranking them 35th in college football.

Virginia allows an average of 285 passing yards per game, which ranks 113th in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 32.7 points per contest, which has them ranked 100th in the nation. They give up 21.6 completions on 34.4 attempts for a completion percentage of 62.7 per game. The Cavaliers allow 171 rushing yards per contest on 39.4 carries for a 4.3 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 72nd in the country. Virginia allows 456 total yards per game for an average of 6.2 yards per play, which ranks 108th in D-1. They force 1.6 turnovers per contest and 6.3 penalties for 60.9 yards in each contest, ranking 90th in the nation.

Louisville Betting Trends

Louisville is 6-1-0 against the over/under this season

Louisville has an ATS record of 4-2-1 this season

Virginia Betting Trends

Virginia is 2-4-1 against the over/under this season

Virginia has an ATS record of 3-3-1 this season

Injuries to Watch

Louisville

10/23/16 RB L.J. Scott Hamstring "?" Saturday vs. Virginia
09/29/16 S London Iakopo Knee out for season
09/26/16 LB Trevon Young Hip out for season
08/19/16 DB Cornelius Sturghill Foot out for season

Virginia

10/23/16 WR Warren Craft Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Louisville
10/23/16 DE Christian Baumgardner Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Louisville
10/14/16 CB Darious Latimore Knee out for season
10/14/16 CB Myles Robinson Toe out for season
09/27/16 OG Sean Karl Back out for season
09/27/16 CB Tim Harris Shoulder out for season
09/27/16 DE Christian Brooks Shoulder out for season
09/27/16 LB Malcolm Cook Illness out for season

Josh's Pick: Take Louisville

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