Saturday, October 22, 2016

Michigan Stadium

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The Illinois Fighting Illini take on the Michigan Wolverines on Saturday, October 22, 2016 at Michigan Stadium. The opening line for this game has Michigan as 28 point favorites. This season the Fighting Illini are 3-3-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 2-4-0. The Wolverines have an over/under record of 5-1-0 and they are 4-2-0 against the spread.

Chayce Crouch finished with 92 yards through the air for Illinois last week. He completed 6 passes out of 14 attempts for a 43% completion percentage. The Fighting Illini were led in rushing by Kendrick Foster, who finished with 108 yards on 21 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 5 yards per carry. Ke'Shawn Vaughn was the team leader in receiving with a total of 61 yards and 2 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 31 yards per reception. As a team in that game Illinois got a total of 10 first downs. Of those first downs, 9 came on the ground while 1 came through the air. They ran 57 total plays for 320 yards for the game. The Fighting Illini ran for 228 yards on 43 attempts.

Wilton Speight finished with 100 yards passing for Michigan last week. He went 6 for 13, resulting in a 46% completion percentage. The Wolverines were led on the ground by Chris Evans, who finished with 153 yards on 11 carries. He ended the game with an average of 14 yards per rush. Amara Darboh led the team in receiving with 65 yards and 2 catches. He finished the game with an average of 33 yards per reception. Michigan had 23 first downs total. 18 came from running the ball and 4 came from a pass. They ran 72 total plays for 600 yards for the contest. The Wolverines ran for 481 yards on 56 carries as a team.

Illinois scores 26 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 84th in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 16 passes on 26.8 attempts for a 59.6 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 181.5 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 103rd in college football. The Fighting Illini run for an average of 189.8 yards per game on 33.5 attempts for an average of 5.7 yards per carry. That ranks them 50th in the nation. They also run 60.3 plays per contest and average 6.2 yards per play for an average of 371.3 yards per game, ranking their offense 99th overall this season. The Fighting Illini average 16.2 first downs per game which ranks them 124th in the country. They accumulate 72.5 penalty yards per game via 8.7 penalties, which ranks 13th in the nation.

Illinois allows 203.3 passing yards per game, ranking 33rd in D-1, and they allow 26.2 points per contest on defense, which ranks 61st. They give up 17.5 completions on 27.2 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 64.4. The Fighting Illini allow 185.2 rushing yards per game on 42.8 carries for an average of 4.3 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 86th in the country. Illinois allows 388.5 total yards per game including 5.6 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 56th in terms of yards per game. They force 2.2 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 4.5 penalties for 37.8 yards per game, ranking them 7th among D-1 teams.

Michigan averages 50 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 2nd in the country. In the passing department, they complete 18.2 passes per game on 29 attempts for a 62.6 percent completion percentage. They throw for 215 yards through the air per game, ranking them 84th in Division 1. The Wolverines run for an average of 255 yards per game on 45 attempts for an average of 5.7 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 15th on the ground. They also run 74 plays per game and average 6.4 yards per play for a total of 470 yards per game, ranking them 32nd in the country on offense. The Wolverines get an average of 23 first downs per game, which ranks 38th in the nation. They average 40.7 penalty yards per game via 4.3 penalties, ranking them 114th in college football.

Michigan allows an average of 113.7 passing yards per game, which ranks 1st in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 10.3 points per contest, which has them ranked 1st in the nation. They give up 10.5 completions on 24.8 attempts for a completion percentage of 42.3 per game. The Wolverines allow 99.2 rushing yards per contest on 34.7 carries for a 2.9 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 9th in the country. Michigan allows 212.8 total yards per game for an average of 3.6 yards per play, which ranks 1st in D-1. They force 1.7 turnovers per contest and 6 penalties for 44.3 yards in each contest, ranking 22nd in the nation.

Illinois Betting Trends

Illinois is 2-4-0 against the over/under this season

Illinois has an ATS record of 3-3-0 this season

Michigan Betting Trends

Michigan is 5-1-0 against the over/under this season

Michigan has an ATS record of 4-2-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Illinois

10/16/16 DB Cameron Watkins Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Michigan
10/16/16 2nd QB Chayce Crouch Shoulder injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Michigan
10/16/16 WR Desmond Cain Knee "?" Saturday vs. Michigan
10/16/16 QB Wes Lunt Back "?" Saturday vs. Michigan
09/17/16 DB Caleb Day ACL out for season
09/08/16 RB Dre Brown ACL out indefinitely
09/08/16 WR Mike Dudek ACL out indefinitely

Michigan

10/03/16 OL Grant Newsome Knee out for season
09/26/16 CB Jeremy Clark Knee out for season
09/26/16 RB Kareem Walker Academics out for season

Tony's Pick: Take Michigan

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