Monday, January 2, 2017

Outback Bowl

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The Florida Gators take on the Iowa Hawkeyes on Monday, January 2, 2017 in the Outback Bowl. The opening line for this game has Florida as 2 point favorites. This season the Gators are 4-7-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 4-8-0. The Hawkeyes have an over/under record of 5-7-0 and they are 6-6-0 against the spread.

Austin Appleby finished with 261 yards through the air for Florida in his last game. He completed 26 passes out of 39 attempts for a 67% completion percentage. The Gators were led in rushing by Jordan Scarlett, who finished with 17 yards on 11 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 2 yards per carry. DeAndre Goolsby was the team leader in receiving with a total of 91 yards and 7 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 13 yards per reception. As a team in that game Florida got a total of 16 first downs. Of those first downs, 2 came on the ground while 13 came through the air. They ran 69 total plays for 261 yards for the game. The Gators ran for 0 yards on 30 attempts.

C.J. Beathard finished with 144 yards passing for Iowa in his last contest. He went 10 for 15, resulting in a 67% completion percentage. The Hawkeyes were led on the ground by LeShun Daniels, who finished with 158 yards on 29 carries. He ended the game with an average of 5 yards per rush. Riley McCarron led the team in receiving with 108 yards and 5 catches. He finished the game with an average of 22 yards per reception. Iowa had 13 first downs total. 7 came from running the ball and 5 came from a pass. They ran 62 total plays for 408 yards for the contest. The Hawkeyes ran for 264 yards on 47 carries as a team.

Florida scores 23.4 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 110th in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 18.9 passes on 32.1 attempts for a 59 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 215.3 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 84th in college football. The Gators run for an average of 129.8 yards per game on 35 attempts for an average of 3.7 yards per carry. That ranks them 113th in the nation. They also run 67.1 plays per contest and average 5.1 yards per play for an average of 345.1 yards per game, ranking their offense 115th overall this season. The Gators average 18.7 first downs per game which ranks them 108th in the country. They accumulate 58.2 penalty yards per game via 6.7 penalties, which ranks 47th in the nation.

Florida allows 156.3 passing yards per game, ranking 3rd in D-1, and they allow 17.9 points per contest on defense, which ranks 10th. They give up 11.8 completions on 25.3 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 46.4. The Gators allow 142.3 rushing yards per game on 37.3 carries for an average of 3.8 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 36th in the country. Florida allows 298.6 total yards per game including 4.8 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 6th in terms of yards per game. They force 1.8 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 4.6 penalties for 38 yards per game, ranking them 4th among D-1 teams.

Iowa averages 26.8 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 77th in the country. In the passing department, they complete 14 passes per game on 23.8 attempts for a 58.7 percent completion percentage. They throw for 161.3 yards through the air per game, ranking them 114th in Division 1. The Hawkeyes run for an average of 171.9 yards per game on 38.4 attempts for an average of 4.5 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 72nd on the ground. They also run 62.3 plays per game and average 5.4 yards per play for a total of 333.3 yards per game, ranking them 120th in the country on offense. The Hawkeyes get an average of 16.9 first downs per game, which ranks 122nd in the nation. They average 43.9 penalty yards per game via 5.3 penalties, ranking them 103rd in college football.

Iowa allows an average of 199.7 passing yards per game, which ranks 28th in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 17.9 points per contest, which has them ranked 11th in the nation. They give up 15.7 completions on 31.3 attempts for a completion percentage of 50 per game. The Hawkeyes allow 153.2 rushing yards per contest on 38.3 carries for a 4 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 47th in the country. Iowa allows 352.8 total yards per game for an average of 5.1 yards per play, which ranks 24th in D-1. They force 1.3 turnovers per contest and 4.9 penalties for 38.5 yards in each contest, ranking 7th in the nation.

Florida Betting Trends

Florida is 4-8-0 against the over/under this season

Florida has an ATS record of 4-7-1 this season

Iowa Betting Trends

Iowa is 5-7-0 against the over/under this season

Iowa has an ATS record of 6-6-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Florida

12/05/16 DL Bryan Cox, Jr. Ankle probable Monday vs. Iowa
12/04/16 WR C.J. Worton Ankle "?" Monday vs. Iowa
12/04/16 OL Cameron Dillard Knee "?" Monday vs. Iowa
12/04/16 DL Justus Reed Undisclosed "?" Monday vs. Iowa
12/04/16 QB Luke Del Rio Shoulder "?" Monday vs. Iowa
12/04/16 RB Mark Herndon Hamstring "?" Monday vs. Iowa
12/04/16 DB Nick Washington Ankle "?" Monday vs. Iowa
12/04/16 OL Tyler Jordan Ankle "?" Monday vs. Iowa
12/04/16 LB Daniel McMillian Shoulder "?" Monday vs. Iowa
12/04/16 DB Duke Dawson Ankle "?" Monday vs. Iowa
12/04/16 OL Fred Johnson Undisclosed "?" Monday vs. Iowa
12/04/16 DB Jeawon Taylor Undisclosed "?" Monday vs. Iowa
11/29/16 DL Jordan Sherit Knee out for season
11/13/16 DB Marcus Maye Arm out for season
11/07/16 LB Alex Anzalone Arm out for season
09/06/16 WR Dre Massey Knee out for season
08/19/16 DB C.J. McWilliams ACL out for season
08/11/16 OL Antonio Riles Knee out indefinitely

Iowa

12/06/16 FB Drake Kulick Undisclosed expected to miss Monday vs. Florida
12/06/16 CB Manny Rugamba Undisclosed doubtful Monday vs. Florida
12/04/16 OL Cole Croston Calf "?" Monday vs. Florida
11/16/16 DB Greg Mabin Ankle out for season
09/28/16 DL Jake Hulett Undisclosed out indefinitely
09/27/16 WR Matt VandeBerg Foot out indefinitely
08/27/16 WR Emmanuel Ogwo Personal has left team
08/27/16 LB Nick Wilson Disciplinary has left team

Tony's Pick: Take Iowa +2

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