Tuesday, December 27, 2016

Cactus Bowl

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The Boise State Broncos take on the Baylor Bears on Tuesday, December 27, 2016 in the Cactus Bowl. The opening line for this game has Boise State as 10 point favorites. This season the Broncos are 3-9-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 5-7-0. The Bears have an over/under record of 4-8-0 and they are 3-9-0 against the spread.

Brett Rypien finished with 316 yards through the air for Boise State in his last game. He completed 9 passes out of 26 attempts for a 35% completion percentage. The Broncos were led in rushing by Jeremy McNichols, who finished with 88 yards on 22 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 4 yards per carry. Cedrick Wilson was the team leader in receiving with a total of 193 yards and 4 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 48 yards per reception. As a team in that game Boise State got a total of 12 first downs. Of those first downs, 3 came on the ground while 8 came through the air. They ran 51 total plays for 400 yards for the game. The Broncos ran for 84 yards on 25 attempts.

Zach Smith finished with 244 yards passing for Baylor in his last contest. He went 15 for 31, resulting in a 48% completion percentage. The Bears were led on the ground by Terence Williams, who finished with 90 yards on 11 carries. He ended the game with an average of 8 yards per rush. Ishmael Zamora led the team in receiving with 102 yards and 8 catches. He finished the game with an average of 13 yards per reception. Baylor had 19 first downs total. 7 came from running the ball and 12 came from a pass. They ran 72 total plays for 440 yards for the contest. The Bears ran for 196 yards on 41 carries as a team.

Boise State scores 35.6 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 28th in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 18.4 passes on 29.6 attempts for a 62.3 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 297.8 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 16th in college football. The Broncos run for an average of 182.1 yards per game on 37.9 attempts for an average of 4.8 yards per carry. That ranks them 57th in the nation. They also run 67.5 plays per contest and average 7.1 yards per play for an average of 479.8 yards per game, ranking their offense 20th overall this season. The Broncos average 22.9 first downs per game which ranks them 38th in the country. They accumulate 39.7 penalty yards per game via 4.4 penalties, which ranks 117th in the nation.

Boise State allows 199.5 passing yards per game, ranking 27th in D-1, and they allow 22.7 points per contest on defense, which ranks 29th. They give up 19.9 completions on 33.5 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 59.5. The Broncos allow 179.8 rushing yards per game on 40.8 carries for an average of 4.4 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 69th in the country. Boise State allows 379.3 total yards per game including 5.1 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 46th in terms of yards per game. They force 0.7 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 7.3 penalties for 56.3 yards per game, ranking them 82nd among D-1 teams.

Baylor averages 34.9 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 34th in the country. In the passing department, they complete 20 passes per game on 36.7 attempts for a 54.5 percent completion percentage. They throw for 273.1 yards through the air per game, ranking them 28th in Division 1. The Bears run for an average of 250.3 yards per game on 48.8 attempts for an average of 5.1 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 12th on the ground. They also run 85.4 plays per game and average 6.1 yards per play for a total of 523.3 yards per game, ranking them 5th in the country on offense. The Bears get an average of 25 first downs per game, which ranks 15th in the nation. They average 78.6 penalty yards per game via 9.8 penalties, ranking them 1st in college football.

Baylor allows an average of 223.9 passing yards per game, which ranks 63rd in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 30.4 points per contest, which has them ranked 81st in the nation. They give up 16.2 completions on 30.1 attempts for a completion percentage of 53.7 per game. The Bears allow 210.5 rushing yards per contest on 48.5 carries for a 4.3 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 96th in the country. Baylor allows 434.4 total yards per game for an average of 5.5 yards per play, which ranks 83rd in D-1. They force 1.6 turnovers per contest and 6.2 penalties for 50.6 yards in each contest, ranking 54th in the nation.

Boise State Betting Trends

Boise State is 5-7-0 against the over/under this season

Boise State has an ATS record of 3-9-0 this season

Baylor Betting Trends

Baylor is 4-8-0 against the over/under this season

Baylor has an ATS record of 3-9-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Boise State

11/25/16 LB Joe Martarano Leg out for season
11/25/16 LB Tanner Vallejo Undisclosed out for season
10/26/16 UT Gabe Perez Shoulder out for season
10/18/16 S Skyler Seibold Knee out for season
09/27/16 S Evan Tyler Knee out for season

Baylor

12/05/16 RB Terence Williams Knee probable Tuesday vs. Boise State
12/04/16 S Davion Hall Concussion "?" Tuesday vs. Boise State
12/04/16 WR Pooh Stricklin Leg "?" Tuesday vs. Boise State
11/29/16 WR Blake Lynch Finger out for season
11/13/16 QB Seth Russell Leg out for season
10/12/16 DB Eric Ogor Suspension out for season
08/19/16 DL Byron Bonds Knee out indefinitely
08/19/16 RB Johnny Jefferson Personal out for season

Guy's Pick: Take Baylor +10

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