Saturday, November 19, 2016

Davis Wade Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The Arkansas Razorbacks take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday, November 19, 2016 at Davis Wade Stadium. The opening line for this game has Mississippi State as 1 point favorites. This season the Razorbacks are 4-6-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 5-5-0. The Bulldogs have an over/under record of 5-5-0 and they are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Austin Allen finished with 243 yards through the air for Arkansas last week. He completed 15 passes out of 26 attempts for a 58% completion percentage. The Razorbacks were led in rushing by Rawleigh Williams III, who finished with 148 yards on 26 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 6 yards per carry. Drew Morgan was the team leader in receiving with a total of 95 yards and 7 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 14 yards per reception. As a team in that game Arkansas got a total of 22 first downs. Of those first downs, 9 came on the ground while 10 came through the air. They ran 75 total plays for 466 yards for the game. The Razorbacks ran for 223 yards on 49 attempts.

Nick Fitzgerald finished with 209 yards passing for Mississippi State last week. He went 18 for 31, resulting in a 58% completion percentage. The Bulldogs were led on the ground by Nick Fitzgerald, who finished with 182 yards on 20 carries. He ended the game with an average of 9 yards per rush. Fred Ross led the team in receiving with 98 yards and 6 catches. He finished the game with an average of 16 yards per reception. Mississippi State had 29 first downs total. 19 came from running the ball and 8 came from a pass. They ran 89 total plays for 574 yards for the contest. The Bulldogs ran for 365 yards on 58 carries as a team.

Arkansas scores 28.8 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 63rd in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 18.6 passes on 31 attempts for a 60 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 250.4 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 47th in college football. The Razorbacks run for an average of 158.7 yards per game on 39.6 attempts for an average of 4 yards per carry. That ranks them 82nd in the nation. They also run 70.6 plays per contest and average 5.8 yards per play for an average of 409.1 yards per game, ranking their offense 64th overall this season. The Razorbacks average 22 first downs per game which ranks them 50th in the country. They accumulate 54 penalty yards per game via 5.9 penalties, which ranks 71st in the nation.

Arkansas allows 203.6 passing yards per game, ranking 36th in D-1, and they allow 29.9 points per contest on defense, which ranks 75th. They give up 15.8 completions on 27.7 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 57. The Razorbacks allow 217.6 rushing yards per game on 34.3 carries for an average of 6.3 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 101st in the country. Arkansas allows 421.2 total yards per game including 6.8 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 77th in terms of yards per game. They force 1.8 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 4.8 penalties for 44.9 yards per game, ranking them 27th among D-1 teams.

Mississippi State averages 28.1 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 70th in the country. In the passing department, they complete 18.5 passes per game on 33.3 attempts for a 55.6 percent completion percentage. They throw for 214.7 yards through the air per game, ranking them 87th in Division 1. The Bulldogs run for an average of 214.2 yards per game on 41.8 attempts for an average of 5.1 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 30th on the ground. They also run 75.1 plays per game and average 5.7 yards per play for a total of 428.9 yards per game, ranking them 51st in the country on offense. The Bulldogs get an average of 22.1 first downs per game, which ranks 47th in the nation. They average 51.5 penalty yards per game via 5.7 penalties, ranking them 77th in college football.

Mississippi State allows an average of 277.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 116th in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 31.9 points per contest, which has them ranked 91st in the nation. They give up 22.3 completions on 36.7 attempts for a completion percentage of 60.8 per game. The Bulldogs allow 157.3 rushing yards per contest on 37.1 carries for a 4.2 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 54th in the country. Mississippi State allows 434.6 total yards per game for an average of 5.9 yards per play, which ranks 84th in D-1. They force 1.9 turnovers per contest and 6.1 penalties for 50.1 yards in each contest, ranking 49th in the nation.

Arkansas Betting Trends

Arkansas is 5-5-0 against the over/under this season

Arkansas has an ATS record of 4-6-0 this season

Mississippi State Betting Trends

Mississippi State is 5-5-0 against the over/under this season

Mississippi State has an ATS record of 4-6-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Arkansas

11/11/16 RB Kody Walker Foot out for season
10/10/16 LB Dre Greenlaw Foot expected to miss 4-6 weeks
09/07/16 DB Britto Tutt ACL out for season
09/05/16 DB Kevin Richardson II Pectoral out for season
08/19/16 RB T.J. Hammonds Knee out indefinitely

Mississippi State

08/25/16 DB Tolando Cleveland Knee out for season

Guy's Pick: Take Mississippi State Ev

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn