Saturday, December 3, 2016

Georgia Dome

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The Alabama Crimson Tide take on the Florida Gators on Saturday, December 3, 2016 at Georgia Dome. The opening line for this game has Alabama as 21.5 point favorites. This season the Crimson Tide are 8-4-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 5-7-0. The Gators have an over/under record of 3-8-0 and they are 4-6-1 against the spread.

Jalen Hurts finished with 286 yards through the air for Alabama last week. He completed 27 passes out of 36 attempts for a 75% completion percentage. The Crimson Tide were led in rushing by Bo Scarbrough, who finished with 90 yards on 17 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 5 yards per carry. ArDarius Stewart was the team leader in receiving with a total of 127 yards and 10 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 13 yards per reception. As a team in that game Alabama got a total of 26 first downs. Of those first downs, 12 came on the ground while 13 came through the air. They ran 81 total plays for 501 yards for the game. The Crimson Tide ran for 203 yards on 44 attempts.

Austin Appleby finished with 149 yards passing for Florida last week. He went 19 for 35, resulting in a 54% completion percentage. The Gators were led on the ground by Jordan Scarlett, who finished with 53 yards on 14 carries. He ended the game with an average of 4 yards per rush. Antonio Callaway led the team in receiving with 58 yards and 6 catches. He finished the game with an average of 10 yards per reception. Florida had 14 first downs total. 7 came from running the ball and 6 came from a pass. They ran 64 total plays for 207 yards for the contest. The Gators ran for 58 yards on 29 carries as a team.

Alabama scores 39.4 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 19th in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 19.3 passes on 29.2 attempts for a 66.3 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 231.3 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 63rd in college football. The Crimson Tide run for an average of 248.3 yards per game on 43.2 attempts for an average of 5.8 yards per carry. That ranks them 13th in the nation. They also run 72.3 plays per contest and average 6.6 yards per play for an average of 479.6 yards per game, ranking their offense 23rd overall this season. The Crimson Tide average 22.1 first downs per game which ranks them 49th in the country. They accumulate 41.5 penalty yards per game via 5.3 penalties, which ranks 114th in the nation.

Alabama allows 178.1 passing yards per game, ranking 11th in D-1, and they allow 11.4 points per contest on defense, which ranks 1st. They give up 15.9 completions on 31.1 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 51.2. The Crimson Tide allow 69.1 rushing yards per game on 31.3 carries for an average of 2.2 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 1st in the country. Alabama allows 247.2 total yards per game including 4 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 1st in terms of yards per game. They force 1.8 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 3.8 penalties for 31.1 yards per game, ranking them 1st among D-1 teams.

Florida averages 24.1 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 104th in the country. In the passing department, they complete 18.3 passes per game on 31.5 attempts for a 58.1 percent completion percentage. They throw for 211.1 yards through the air per game, ranking them 86th in Division 1. The Gators run for an average of 141.6 yards per game on 35.5 attempts for an average of 4 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 104th on the ground. They also run 66.9 plays per game and average 5.3 yards per play for a total of 352.7 yards per game, ranking them 114th in the country on offense. The Gators get an average of 18.9 first downs per game, which ranks 106th in the nation. They average 58.6 penalty yards per game via 6.6 penalties, ranking them 46th in college football.

Florida allows an average of 158 passing yards per game, which ranks 4th in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 14.6 points per contest, which has them ranked 5th in the nation. They give up 11.8 completions on 25.8 attempts for a completion percentage of 45.8 per game. The Gators allow 133.9 rushing yards per contest on 37.2 carries for a 3.6 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 32nd in the country. Florida allows 291.9 total yards per game for an average of 4.6 yards per play, which ranks 6th in D-1. They force 1.9 turnovers per contest and 4.8 penalties for 40.2 yards in each contest, ranking 13th in the nation.

Alabama Betting Trends

Alabama is 5-7-0 against the over/under this season

Alabama has an ATS record of 8-4-0 this season

Florida Betting Trends

Florida is 3-8-0 against the over/under this season

Florida has an ATS record of 4-6-1 this season

Injuries to Watch

Alabama

11/28/16 DB Marlon Humphrey Undisclosed injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Florida
11/14/16 OL Alphonse Taylor Undisclosed out indefinitely
11/03/16 RB B.J. Emmons Foot out indefinitely
10/23/16 DB Eddie Jackson Leg out for season
09/29/16 QB Blake Barnett Personal has left team

Florida

11/28/16 WR Ahmad Fulwood Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Alabama
11/28/16 DL Bryan Cox, Jr. Ankle is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Alabama
11/28/16 OL Martez Ivey Leg probable Saturday vs. Alabama
11/28/16 DB Nick Washington Ankle is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Alabama
11/28/16 OL Cameron Dillard Knee is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Alabama
11/28/16 LB Daniel McMillian Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Alabama
11/28/16 DB Duke Dawson Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Alabama
11/28/16 LB Jarrad Davis Ankle doubtful Saturday vs. Alabama
11/27/16 WR C.J. Worton Ankle "?" Saturday vs. Alabama
11/27/16 QB Luke Del Rio Shoulder doubtful Saturday vs. Alabama
11/27/16 OL Tyler Jordan Ankle "?" Saturday vs. Alabama
11/27/16 DL Justus Reed Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Alabama
11/13/16 DB Marcus Maye Arm out for season
11/07/16 LB Alex Anzalone Arm out for season
09/06/16 WR Dre Massey Knee out for season
08/19/16 DB C.J. McWilliams ACL out for season
08/11/16 OL Antonio Riles Knee out indefinitely

Tony's Pick: Take Florida +21.5

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