September 5, 2015

The Rose Bowl

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The Virginia Cavaliers face the UCLA Bruins on Saturday at The Rose Bowl. Virginia ended last season with a 5-7 record while UCLA finished 10-3. The opening line for this game has UCLA as 14.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 53. The Cavaliers had an ATS record of 7-4 last year, which meant they covered the spread 64% of the time. Their over/under record was 4-8. The Bruins covered the spread 39% of the time, finishing the campaign with an ATS record of 5-8. Their over/under record was 5-8.

Virginia averaged 25.8 points last season on offense. In the air, they attempted 36 passes per game and completed 20.7 of them for a 57.4 percent completion percentage. They averaged 236.4 yards and 1.5 touchdowns per game through the air as well. The Cavaliers ran for an average of 137.8 yards per game on 37.6 attempts for an average of 3.7 yards per carry. These totals led to 1.1 rushing touchdowns per contest. They ran 73.6 plays per game and averaged 5.1 yards per play for a total of 374.2 yards per game. The Cavaliers averaged 20.5 first downs per contest and turned the ball over 2 times per game. They averaged 57.8 penalty yards per game via 6.5 penalties.

Virginia allowed 232.5 passing yards per game and 24.1 points per contest on defense. They gave up 18.2 completions on 32.9 attempts for a completion percentage of 55.2.The Cavaliers gave up 120.7 rushing yards on 35.9 carries for a 3.4 average. They allowed 0.9 rushing touchdowns as well.Virginia allowed 353.2 total yards per game last season including 5.1 per play. They forced 2.4 turnovers and 7.3 penalties for 59.3 yards.

UCLA averaged 33.5 points last season on offense. In the air, they attempted 33.5 passes per game and completed 22.9 of them for a 68.5 percent completion percentage. They averaged 258.3 yards and 1.8 touchdowns per game through the air as well. The Bruins ran for an average of 209.5 yards per game on 42.8 attempts for an average of 4.9 yards per carry. These totals led to 2 rushing touchdowns per contest. They ran 76.3 plays per game and averaged 6.1 yards per play for a total of 467.8 yards per game. The Bruins averaged 23.4 first downs per contest and turned the ball over 1.2 times per game. They averaged 75.3 penalty yards per game via 8 penalties.

UCLA allowed 250.6 passing yards per game and 28.1 points per contest on defense. They gave up 23.5 completions on 38.2 attempts for a completion percentage of 61.6.The Bruins gave up 147.9 rushing yards on 38.8 carries for a 3.8 average. They allowed 1.5 rushing touchdowns as well.UCLA allowed 398.5 total yards per game last season including 5.2 per play. They forced 1.2 turnovers and 5.7 penalties for 51.1 yards.

Virginia Betting Trends

Virginia was 4-8 against the over/under last season

Virginia had an ATS record of 7-4 last season

UCLA Betting Trends

UCLA was 5-8 against the over/under last season

UCLA had an ATS record of 5-8 last season

Injuries to Watch

Virginia

08/24/15 WR T.J. Thorpe Collarbone out indefinitely
08/24/15 OT Sadiq Olanrewaju Shoulder doubtful Saturday vs. UCLA
08/24/15 WR Umar Muhammad-Wyatt Knee out indefinitely
08/24/15 WR Doni Dowling Knee doubtful Saturday vs. UCLA

UCLA

08/28/15 OL Alex Redmond Undisclosed is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Virginia
08/24/15 OL Conor McDermott Knee probable Saturday vs. Virginia
08/24/15 OL Jake Brendel Calf probable Saturday vs. Virginia

Josh's Pick: Take Virginia

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