September 12, 2015

Scott Stadium

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The Notre Dame Fighting Irish matchup against the Virginia Cavaliers on Saturday at Scott Stadium. The opening line for this game has Notre Dame as 10 point favorites and the over/under was set at 50.

The Fighting Irish are 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. The under is 4-0 in the Fighting Irish last 4 games in September and 4-1 in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. The under is also 8-2 in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

The Cavaliers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. They are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and 9-4-2 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The under is 4-0 in the Cavaliers last 4 games following a S.U. loss and 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is also 7-1 in their last 8 games overall and 7-1 in their last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Notre Dame ended up with 38 points last game on the offensive side of the ball. They completed 19 passes for the game on 23 attempts for a 82.6 percent completion percentage and totaled 313 yards in the passing department. The Fighting Irish ran for a total of 214 yards last game on 52 attempts for an average of 4.1 yards per carry. They ran 75 plays last game and averaged 7 yards per play for a total of 527 yards. The Fighting Irish had 30 first downs on the night and 39 penalty yards via 6 penalties.

Notre Dame gave up 103 passing yards in their last outing and 3 points in that game on the defensive side of the ball. They allowed 8 completions on 23 attempts for a completion percentage of 34.8. The Fighting Irish allowed 60 rushing yards on 29 carries for a 2.1 average. Notre Dame gave up 163 total yards last game including 3.1 per play. They forced no turnovers and were flagged for 4 penalties that totaled 50 yards as a unit.

Virginia put 16 points on the board last game on the offensive side of the ball. They completed 21 passes per game on 35 attempts for a 60 percent completion percentage and tallied 238 yards in the passing department. The Cavaliers ran for a total of 98 yards last game on 34 attempts for an average of 2.9 yards per carry. They ran 69 plays last game and averaged 4.9 yards per play for a total of 336 yards in the game. The Cavaliers had 19 first downs and they had 45 penalty yards via 7 penalties.

Virginia gave up 351 passing yards last outing and 34 points for the game on the defensive side of the ball. They allowed 28 completions on 37 attempts for a completion percentage of 75.7. The Cavaliers allowed 152 rushing yards on 34 carries for a total of 4.5 yards per carry. Virginia gave up 503 total yards last game including an average of 7.1 per play. They forced no turnovers and 7 penalties for 75 yards as a unit.

Notre Dame Betting Trends

Notre Dame is 0-1-0 against the over/under so far this season

Notre Dame has an ATS record of 1-0-0 this season

Virginia Betting Trends

Virginia is 0-1-0 against the over/under so far this season

Virginia has an ATS record of 0-1-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Notre Dame

09/06/15 DB Avery Sebastian Foot expected to miss 4-6 weeks
09/06/15 RB Tarean Folston Knee out for season
08/28/15 DL Ishaq Williams Eligibility out for season
08/27/15 DB Shaun Crawford ACL out for season
08/15/15 DL Jarron Jones Knee out for season
08/13/15 RB Greg Bryant Eligibility out for season

Virginia

09/07/15 C Eric Tretlow Undisclosed out for season
09/07/15 OT Jake Fieler Undisclosed out for season
09/06/15 WR Doni Dowling Knee "?" Saturday vs. Notre Dame
09/06/15 OT Sadiq Olanrewaju Shoulder "?" Saturday vs. Notre Dame
09/05/15 WR T.J. Thorpe Collarbone out indefinitely
08/24/15 WR Umar Muhammad-Wyatt Knee out indefinitely

Guy's Pick: Take Notre Dame

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