Saturday, September 19, 2015

Wallace Wade Stadium

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The Northwestern Wildcats matchup against the Duke Blue Devils on Saturday at Wallace Wade Stadium. The opening line for this game has Duke as 3.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 49.

The Wildcats are 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The under is 5-0 in the Wildcats last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game and 7-1 in their last 8 non-conference games. The under is also 11-2 in their last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and 7-2 in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

The Blue Devils are 10-1 against the spread vs. a team with a winning record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. The under is 5-0 in Blue Devils last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game and 5-1 in their last 6 games in September. The under is also 5-1 in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and 4-1 in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Northwestern is averaging 28.5 points per game on the offensive side of the ball. They are completing 11.5 passes per game on 20.5 attempts for a 56.1 percent completion percentage and average 128.5 yards in the passing department per game. The Wildcats are averaging 284.5 rushing yards per game on 61.5 attempts per contest for an average of 4.6 yards per carry. They run 82 plays per game and average 5 yards per play for an average of 413 total yards each outing. The Wildcats get 22.5 first downs per game and they average 41.5 penalty yards via 4 penalties each contest.

Northwestern gives up 3 points per contest and an average of 111.5 passing yards each game on the defensive side of the ball. They allow an average of 15 completed passes on 27.5 attempts for a completion percentage of 54.5. The Wildcats give up 77.5 rushing yards per contest on 28 carries for a 2.8 average per carry. Northwestern allows 189 total yards per game including 3.4 yards per play. They force 2 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 4 penalties for 21 yards per game.

Duke is putting 46 points on the board per game on the offensive side of the ball. They complete 24 passes per game on 35 attempts for a 68.6 percent completion percentage and average 345.5 yards in the passing department for each outing. The Blue Devils rush for an average of 247 yards per contest on 54 attempts for an average of 4.6 yards per carry for the season. They run 89 plays per game and average 6.7 yards per play for an average of 592.5 total yards per game. The Blue Devils are averaging 29 first downs per outing and accumulate 56 penalty yards via 5.5 penalties each game.

Duke surrenders 3.5 points per game and 189 passing yards each outing on the defensive side of the ball. They allow 18.5 completed passes per game on 35.5 attempts for a completion percentage of 52.1. The Blue Devils give up 39.5 rushing yards per game on 25 carries for an average of 1.6 yards per carry. Duke allows 228.5 total yards per game for an average of 3.8 yards per play. They force 0.5 turnovers per contest and 7 penalties for 35 yards in each contest.

Northwestern Betting Trends

Northwestern is 0-2-0 against the over/under so far this season

Northwestern has an ATS record of 2-0-0 this season

Duke Betting Trends

Duke is 0-2-0 against the over/under so far this season

Duke has an ATS record of 2-0-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Northwestern

09/14/15 OL Adam DePietro Undisclosed injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Duke
09/14/15 OL Brad North Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Duke
09/14/15 OL Ian Park Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Duke
09/13/15 WR Cameron Dickerson Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Duke
08/29/15 RB Jayme Taylor Ankle out indefinitely
08/14/15 OL Matt Frazier Staph Infection out indefinitely

Duke

08/27/15 CB Bryon Fields ACL out for season
08/22/15 RB Jela Duncan Pectoral out indefinitely
08/22/15 LB Kelby Brown ACL out for season

Guy's Pick: Take Northwestern

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