Saturday, September 19, 2015

Kenan Memorial Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The Illinois Fighting Illini matchup against the North Carolina Tar Heels on Saturday at Kenan Memorial Stadium. The opening line for this game has North Carolina as 10 point favorites and the over/under was set at 64.

The Fighting Illini are 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game, are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and are 11-24 ATS in their last 35 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. They are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following an ATS win, are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game, and are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous games, is 7-1 in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points, and is 4-1 in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

The Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game, are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. They are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous games, are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game, and are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. The under is 4-0 in the Tar Heels last 4 games following a S.U. win, is 4-0 in their last 4 games following an ATS win, and is 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

Illinois is scoring 48 points per game on offense this season. In the passing department, they are averaging 26 passes on 41.5 attempts for a 62.7 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 280.5 yards per game through the air as well. The Fighting Illini carry the ball for an average of 140.5 yards per game on 38 attempts for an average of 3.7 yards per carry this season. They run 79.5 plays per game and average 5.3 yards per play for an average of 421 total yards each outing. The Fighting Illini get 23 first downs per game and they average 52.5 penalty yards via 5.5 penalties each contest.

Illinois gives up an average of 114.5 passing yards and 1.5 points per game on the defensive side of the ball. They allow 15 completions per game on 32 attempts for a completion percentage of 46.9. The Fighting Illini give up 78.5 rushing yards per contest on 34.5 carries for a 2.3 average per carry. Illinois allows 193 total yards per game including 2.9 yards per play. They force 3 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 7.5 penalties for 59.5 yards per game.

North Carolina averages 33 points per game this season on offense. In the passing department, they complete 19.5 passes per game on 29 attempts for a 67.2 percent completion percentage. They are throwing for 240 yards through the air per game thus far. The Tar Heels carry the ball for an average of 211.5 yards per game on 38 attempts for an average of 5.6 yards per carry. They run 67 plays per game and average 6.7 yards per play for an average of 451.5 total yards per game. The Tar Heels are averaging 22 first downs per outing and accumulate 40 penalty yards via 5.5 penalties each game.

North Carolina gives up 129 passing yards per outing and 15.5 points per game on the defensive side of the ball. They allow an average of 10.5 completions on 24.5 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 42.9. The Tar Heels give up 204.5 rushing yards per game on 44 carries for an average of 4.6 yards per carry. North Carolina allows 333.5 total yards per game for an average of 4.9 yards per play. They force 1.5 turnovers per contest and 5 penalties for 35 yards in each contest.

Illinois Betting Trends

Illinois is 1-1-0 against the over/under so far this season

Illinois has an ATS record of 2-0-0 this season

North Carolina Betting Trends

North Carolina is 1-1-0 against the over/under so far this season

North Carolina has an ATS record of 1-1-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Illinois

09/14/15 TE Tim Clary Hand injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina
09/14/15 OL Zach Heath Leg injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina
09/13/15 DL Jamal Milan Lower Body "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina
08/27/15 DL Joe Fotu Suspension out indefinitely
08/26/15 DL Teko Powell Foot out for season
08/24/15 RB Dre Brown Knee out for season
08/24/15 WR Justin Hardee Foot out indefinitely
08/24/15 WR Mike Dudek Knee out indefinitely
08/24/15 RB Reggie Corbin Shoulder out for season

North Carolina

09/14/15 CB Malik Simmons Suspension Served missed last 2 games, probable Saturday vs. Illinois
08/27/15 OL Jared Cohen Undisclosed out indefinitely
08/27/15 OL Will Dancy Undisclosed out for season
08/21/15 LB Tyrell Tomlin Eligibility out for season

Guy's Pick: Take North Carolina

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